IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#289
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.9	#61
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#285

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#276

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	3.4%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.1	15.6

.500 or above	42.9%	55.9%	23.8%
.500 or above in Conference	45.3%	54.6%	31.7%
Conference Champion	2.2%	3.3%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	7.8%	4.8%	12.0%

First Four	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%
First Round	2.1%	3.0%	0.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 8	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	340	@ Alabama A&M	W	71-68	59%
Nov 13, 2021	291	Norfolk St.	W	73-72	50%
Nov 21, 2021	186	@ South Dakota	L	73-82	22%
Nov 23, 2021	75	@ Nebraska	L	70-87	7%
Nov 28, 2021	317	Southern	W	79-74	66%
Dec 01, 2021	121	@ Georgia St.	L	72-85	13%
Dec 04, 2021	357	@ Chicago St.	W	83-71	83%
Dec 10, 2021	333	IUPUI	W	83-76	72%
Dec 12, 2021	226	@ Lipscomb	L	70-76	30%
Dec 16, 2021	335	@ Charleston Southern	W	76-75	54%
Dec 18, 2021	352	@ South Carolina St.	W	84-75	75%
Dec 30, 2021	301	Tennessee Tech	W	78-74	61%
Jan 01, 2022	158	@ Morehead St.	L	66-76	20%
Jan 06, 2022	349	Tennessee Martin	W	81-69	82%
Jan 08, 2022	268	Southeast Missouri St.	W	76-74	55%
Jan 13, 2022	125	@ Murray St.	L	66-79	15%
Jan 15, 2022	158	Morehead St.	L	69-73	36%
Jan 20, 2022	268	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	73-77	37%
Jan 22, 2022	285	Austin Peay	W	76-73	58%
Jan 27, 2022	328	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	74-73	51%
Jan 29, 2022	330	@ Eastern Illinois	W	76-75	53%
Feb 03, 2022	81	Belmont	L	74-85	19%
Feb 05, 2022	349	@ Tennessee Martin	W	78-72	67%
Feb 10, 2022	125	Murray St.	L	69-76	29%
Feb 12, 2022	285	@ Austin Peay	L	73-76	40%
Feb 17, 2022	328	SIU Edwardsville	W	77-71	69%
Feb 19, 2022	330	Eastern Illinois	W	79-72	71%
Feb 24, 2022	301	@ Tennessee Tech	L	75-77	42%
Feb 26, 2022	81	@ Belmont	L	71-88	10%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.7	1.7	0.8	0.1				5.7	2nd
3rd										0.2	0.9	2.6	3.4	2.1	0.5	0.0					9.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	2.4	4.8	4.3	1.8	0.2	0.0						13.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.9	3.7	5.8	3.7	1.0	0.1								15.2	5th
6th						0.1	1.3	4.5	5.7	2.8	0.5	0.0									14.9	6th
7th					0.2	1.8	5.1	4.7	1.8	0.3	0.0										13.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.4	2.3	4.3	3.4	0.9	0.1	0.0											11.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.8	2.3	3.2	1.8	0.4	0.0													8.6	9th
10th	0.2	1.0	1.5	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0														4.7	10th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.3	3.9	6.3	8.2	10.2	10.9	11.6	11.3	10.0	8.2	6.3	4.3	2.8	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	83.3%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	45.4%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	19.4%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	3.1%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.2%	2.2		1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		38.8%	38.8%		11.9						0.0							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.2%		52.3%	52.3%		13.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.6%		27.1%	27.1%		14.1											0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
15-3	1.6%		19.8%	19.8%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	1.3
14-4	2.8%		16.2%	16.2%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.3
13-5	4.3%		11.2%	11.2%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.8
12-6	6.3%		5.8%	5.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	5.9
11-7	8.2%		2.9%	2.9%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	7.9
10-8	10.0%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.8
9-9	11.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																0.0	0.1	11.2
8-10	11.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
7-11	10.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
6-12	10.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
5-13	8.2%																							8.2
4-14	6.3%																							6.3
3-15	3.9%																							3.9
2-16	2.3%																							2.3
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.5%	2.5%	0.0%	15.2						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.2	97.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%