Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#301
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.0#128
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#276
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#300
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 7.8% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.0 15.1
.500 or above 20.6% 67.4% 20.3%
.500 or above in Conference 41.6% 78.5% 41.4%
Conference Champion 1.8% 8.3% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 2.0% 9.1%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
First Round1.9% 7.2% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 62 - 12
Quad 410 - 711 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 11   @ Memphis L 62-88 1%    
  Nov 16, 2021 135   @ Chattanooga L 66-79 13%    
  Nov 18, 2021 252   UNC Asheville L 74-77 41%    
  Nov 23, 2021 226   Lipscomb L 71-72 47%    
  Nov 26, 2021 23   @ Tennessee L 59-83 2%    
  Nov 30, 2021 135   Chattanooga L 69-76 29%    
  Dec 04, 2021 198   @ Evansville L 63-72 24%    
  Dec 08, 2021 309   @ Western Carolina L 76-78 43%    
  Dec 11, 2021 243   Troy L 72-73 50%    
  Dec 18, 2021 115   @ Wright St. L 69-84 12%    
  Dec 21, 2021 90   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 9%    
  Dec 30, 2021 289   @ Tennessee St. L 74-78 39%    
  Jan 01, 2022 125   @ Murray St. L 64-78 14%    
  Jan 06, 2022 158   Morehead St. L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 08, 2022 330   Eastern Illinois W 78-72 69%    
  Jan 13, 2022 268   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 71-76 35%    
  Jan 15, 2022 349   @ Tennessee Martin W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 20, 2022 328   SIU Edwardsville W 75-69 67%    
  Jan 22, 2022 81   @ Belmont L 69-86 8%    
  Jan 27, 2022 125   Murray St. L 67-75 27%    
  Jan 29, 2022 285   Austin Peay W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 03, 2022 158   @ Morehead St. L 64-75 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 81   Belmont L 72-83 18%    
  Feb 10, 2022 330   @ Eastern Illinois W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 12, 2022 328   @ SIU Edwardsville L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 17, 2022 268   Southeast Missouri St. W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 19, 2022 285   @ Austin Peay L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 24, 2022 289   Tennessee St. W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 26, 2022 349   Tennessee Martin W 79-68 81%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.5 3.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.7 5.6 3.6 1.0 0.1 14.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.6 5.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 14.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.1 4.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.5 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 10th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.9 4.7 6.9 8.8 10.5 11.4 11.6 10.8 9.5 7.7 5.5 3.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 83.9% 0.4    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 45.9% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 17.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 42.4% 35.4% 7.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9%
17-1 0.1% 41.1% 39.8% 1.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3%
16-2 0.5% 25.6% 25.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.2% 23.3% 23.1% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.2%
14-4 2.3% 17.2% 17.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
13-5 3.9% 10.2% 10.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.5
12-6 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.2
11-7 7.7% 2.8% 2.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.5
10-8 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.4
9-9 10.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.7
8-10 11.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.5
7-11 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.3
6-12 10.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 4.7% 4.7
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 1.2% 1.2
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%