Preseason Rankings
Tulane
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#136
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.7#221
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#186
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#103
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 5.6% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.7% 4.0% 0.3%
Average Seed 9.7 9.7 11.8
.500 or above 44.5% 47.2% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 27.0% 28.6% 8.8%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.9% 17.3% 38.7%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 0.1%
First Round4.6% 4.9% 0.5%
Second Round1.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 92.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 22 - 42 - 11
Quad 34 - 46 - 14
Quad 48 - 114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 325   SE Louisiana W 78-63 92%    
  Nov 13, 2021 317   Southern W 78-64 89%    
  Nov 17, 2021 18   @ Florida St. L 63-78 10%    
  Nov 22, 2021 175   Drexel W 68-66 58%    
  Nov 30, 2021 235   @ College of Charleston W 68-65 60%    
  Dec 04, 2021 347   Alcorn St. W 81-61 95%    
  Dec 07, 2021 235   College of Charleston W 71-62 77%    
  Dec 14, 2021 94   @ Texas A&M L 63-69 30%    
  Dec 18, 2021 312   Grambling St. W 77-63 87%    
  Dec 21, 2021 298   New Orleans W 83-70 84%    
  Dec 29, 2021 11   Memphis L 66-76 21%    
  Jan 01, 2022 90   @ Cincinnati L 68-75 29%    
  Jan 05, 2022 183   @ East Carolina W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 08, 2022 177   South Florida W 70-64 67%    
  Jan 12, 2022 54   @ Wichita St. L 63-73 21%    
  Jan 15, 2022 62   SMU L 70-74 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 68   @ Central Florida L 63-72 24%    
  Jan 26, 2022 108   Tulsa W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 54   Wichita St. L 66-70 38%    
  Feb 02, 2022 13   @ Houston L 57-73 10%    
  Feb 05, 2022 183   East Carolina W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 09, 2022 11   @ Memphis L 63-79 10%    
  Feb 12, 2022 120   Temple W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 15, 2022 177   @ South Florida L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 23, 2022 13   Houston L 60-70 22%    
  Feb 27, 2022 120   @ Temple L 66-70 38%    
  Mar 03, 2022 68   Central Florida L 66-69 41%    
  Mar 06, 2022 62   @ SMU L 67-77 23%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.2 0.8 0.1 6.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.5 0.9 0.1 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.0 4.0 0.9 0.0 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.4 4.1 0.9 0.0 13.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.9 3.6 0.8 0.0 14.7 9th
10th 0.2 1.6 4.4 5.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 1.1 2.9 4.0 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 12.4 11th
Total 1.1 3.1 5.6 8.0 10.4 11.6 11.6 11.5 9.9 8.2 6.6 4.8 3.2 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 93.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 63.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 29.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 69.8% 30.2% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 51.8% 48.2% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 98.4% 31.5% 66.9% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.7%
15-3 0.6% 89.2% 28.1% 61.1% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 85.0%
14-4 1.1% 72.6% 15.8% 56.8% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 67.5%
13-5 2.1% 49.4% 9.5% 39.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 44.1%
12-6 3.2% 29.0% 6.7% 22.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.3 24.0%
11-7 4.8% 15.6% 4.0% 11.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.0 12.0%
10-8 6.6% 6.3% 2.5% 3.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 3.9%
9-9 8.2% 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.7%
8-10 9.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9 0.0%
7-11 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
4-14 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
3-15 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.0
2-16 5.6% 5.6
1-17 3.1% 3.1
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 5.2% 1.6% 3.7% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.8 3.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.6 59.4 21.9 18.8