IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.8	#103
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.5	#252
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.7	#99

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.1	#114

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	1.1%	1.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	2.8%	3.0%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.0%	12.9%	1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	11.1%	12.0%	1.0%
Average Seed	8.4	8.4	10.0

.500 or above	46.1%	48.9%	12.7%
.500 or above in Conference	21.9%	23.3%	5.6%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.0%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	18.7%	17.1%	37.8%

First Four	1.8%	1.9%	0.3%
First Round	11.0%	11.9%	0.9%
Second Round	5.6%	6.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	2.1%	2.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
Final Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 92.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 2	3 - 4	5 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 2	8 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 1	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2021	295	William & Mary	W	78-63	92%
Nov 12, 2021	309	Western Carolina	W	82-66	93%
Nov 17, 2021	335	Charleston Southern	W	81-62	96%
Nov 20, 2021	286	N.C. A&T	W	81-66	89%
Nov 23, 2021	311	Kennesaw St.	W	78-62	92%
Nov 26, 2021	70	Oregon St.	L	67-70	39%
Nov 30, 2021	58	Northwestern	L	70-71	46%
Dec 04, 2021	34	@ Virginia Tech	L	64-74	20%
Dec 11, 2021	343	South Carolina Upstate	W	82-61	96%
Dec 14, 2021	218	VMI	W	80-69	81%
Dec 17, 2021	178	Charlotte	W	67-62	67%
Dec 22, 2021	144	Boston College	W	77-71	69%
Dec 29, 2021	27	@ Louisville	L	63-74	20%
Jan 01, 2022	85	@ Miami (FL)	L	68-73	35%
Jan 04, 2022	18	Florida St.	L	69-75	32%
Jan 08, 2022	44	Syracuse	L	71-74	42%
Jan 12, 2022	10	Duke	L	68-76	26%
Jan 15, 2022	29	@ Virginia	L	54-65	20%
Jan 19, 2022	60	@ Georgia Tech	L	66-73	29%
Jan 22, 2022	22	North Carolina	L	72-78	33%
Jan 29, 2022	44	@ Syracuse	L	68-77	25%
Feb 02, 2022	117	Pittsburgh	W	73-69	63%
Feb 05, 2022	18	@ Florida St.	L	66-78	17%
Feb 09, 2022	59	@ North Carolina St.	L	67-74	29%
Feb 12, 2022	85	Miami (FL)	W	71-70	54%
Feb 15, 2022	10	@ Duke	L	65-79	13%
Feb 19, 2022	45	Notre Dame	L	71-74	42%
Feb 23, 2022	55	@ Clemson	L	62-69	28%
Feb 26, 2022	27	Louisville	L	66-71	36%
Mar 02, 2022	59	North Carolina St.	L	70-71	46%
Projected Record						15 - 15	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.3	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0					2.1	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.8	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0						2.5	4th
5th										0.0	0.1	1.0	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0							3.3	5th
6th										0.1	0.8	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0								3.9	6th
7th									0.0	0.8	2.2	1.6	0.2	0.0									4.9	7th
8th								0.0	0.7	2.4	2.3	0.4	0.0										5.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.0	0.5	2.4	3.0	0.9	0.1											6.9	9th
10th						0.0	0.5	2.5	3.6	1.4	0.1	0.0											8.1	10th
11th					0.0	0.5	2.7	4.0	2.2	0.2	0.0												9.6	11th
12th				0.0	0.6	3.0	4.6	2.7	0.5	0.0													11.4	12th
13th			0.1	1.1	3.4	4.7	2.7	0.6	0.0														12.7	13th
14th		0.4	2.0	4.2	4.6	2.4	0.5	0.0	0.0														14.2	14th
15th	1.1	2.9	3.7	3.0	1.2	0.2	0.0																12.1	15th

Total	1.1	3.3	5.9	8.3	9.9	10.8	11.1	10.4	9.4	7.9	6.5	5.1	3.7	2.7	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	92.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	83.1%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	42.8%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
15-5	20.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	3.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	47.4%	52.6%	2.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	26.5%	73.5%	2.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	0.3%		100.0%	24.8%	75.2%	3.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
16-4	0.6%		99.6%	17.7%	82.0%	4.5		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.6%
15-5	1.0%		98.7%	12.9%	85.8%	5.9		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		98.5%
14-6	1.8%		94.3%	6.8%	87.5%	7.4			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		93.9%
13-7	2.7%		81.1%	5.8%	75.3%	8.2				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0				0.5		79.9%
12-8	3.7%		61.9%	2.9%	59.0%	9.4					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0				1.4		60.8%
11-9	5.1%		39.3%	2.1%	37.2%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0				3.1		38.0%
10-10	6.5%		18.6%	1.1%	17.5%	10.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.0				5.3		17.7%
9-11	7.9%		5.0%	0.4%	4.6%	11.2									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			7.5		4.7%
8-12	9.4%		1.1%	0.3%	0.8%	11.8										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0				9.3		0.8%
7-13	10.4%		0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	11.6											0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0		10.4		0.0%
6-14	11.1%		0.1%	0.1%		12.7												0.0	0.0		0.0			11.0
5-15	10.8%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		10.8
4-16	9.9%																							9.9
3-17	8.3%																							8.3
2-18	5.9%																							5.9
1-19	3.3%																							3.3
0-20	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		12.0%	1.0%	11.0%	8.4		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.2	1.6	1.6	1.7	1.9	1.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		88.0		11.1%