IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Washington
Pac-12
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.6	#95
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.8	#65
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.8	#95

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.8	#96

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.2%	2.4%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	4.8%	5.1%	0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.3%	19.2%	2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	16.7%	17.5%	2.1%
Average Seed	8.2	8.2	9.1

.500 or above	45.7%	47.7%	12.0%
.500 or above in Conference	29.3%	30.5%	8.1%
Conference Champion	1.7%	1.8%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	20.0%	18.6%	43.1%

First Four	2.5%	2.7%	0.5%
First Round	16.9%	17.7%	2.2%
Second Round	8.6%	9.1%	0.8%
Sweet Sixteen	3.0%	3.1%	0.2%
Elite Eight	1.1%	1.2%	0.1%
Final Four	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 94.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 3	2 - 9
Quad 2	3 - 4	5 - 14
Quad 3	5 - 3	10 - 16
Quad 4	6 - 1	15 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	314	Northern Illinois	W	80-63	95%
Nov 11, 2021	324	Northern Arizona	W	79-61	95%
Nov 15, 2021	211	Texas Southern	W	84-73	83%
Nov 18, 2021	156	Wyoming	W	81-73	76%
Nov 22, 2021	169	George Mason	W	76-71	68%
Nov 23, 2021	99	South Dakota St.	W	82-81	51%
Nov 24, 2021	63	Nevada	L	77-80	40%
Nov 27, 2021	143	Winthrop	W	84-77	71%
Dec 02, 2021	31	@ Arizona	L	70-80	21%
Dec 05, 2021	3	UCLA	L	66-75	24%
Dec 12, 2021	1	@ Gonzaga	L	75-94	7%
Dec 18, 2021	179	Seattle	W	81-72	77%
Dec 21, 2021	209	Utah Valley	W	82-71	81%
Dec 29, 2021	69	@ Washington St.	L	70-76	33%
Jan 06, 2022	88	@ Utah	L	73-77	39%
Jan 09, 2022	47	@ Colorado	L	67-75	27%
Jan 12, 2022	113	California	W	72-67	64%
Jan 15, 2022	71	Stanford	W	74-73	52%
Jan 20, 2022	70	@ Oregon St.	L	69-75	33%
Jan 23, 2022	19	@ Oregon	L	70-81	19%
Jan 27, 2022	47	Colorado	L	70-72	45%
Jan 29, 2022	88	Utah	W	76-74	58%
Feb 03, 2022	113	@ California	L	69-70	45%
Feb 06, 2022	71	@ Stanford	L	71-76	34%
Feb 10, 2022	61	Arizona St.	L	80-81	49%
Feb 12, 2022	31	Arizona	L	73-77	39%
Feb 17, 2022	20	@ USC	L	67-78	19%
Feb 19, 2022	3	@ UCLA	L	63-78	12%
Feb 26, 2022	69	Washington St.	W	74-73	51%
Mar 03, 2022	19	Oregon	L	73-78	34%
Mar 05, 2022	70	Oregon St.	W	73-72	51%
Projected Record						15 - 16	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Pac-12 Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0				3.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.0	1.5	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0					4.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.3	1.5	2.1	1.3	0.4	0.0							5.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	1.8	2.6	1.5	0.3	0.0								6.6	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.2	3.4	1.8	0.3	0.0									8.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.5	2.5	3.7	2.0	0.3	0.0										9.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.7	2.8	4.2	2.0	0.3	0.0											10.1	8th
9th					0.1	1.0	3.3	4.4	2.3	0.4	0.0												11.6	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.6	3.9	4.3	2.1	0.3	0.0													12.6	10th
11th		0.1	0.8	2.6	4.3	3.8	1.6	0.2	0.0														13.4	11th
12th	0.9	2.5	3.6	3.6	2.3	0.7	0.1	0.0															13.7	12th

Total	0.9	2.5	4.5	6.5	8.4	9.4	10.0	10.2	9.7	8.7	7.8	6.4	5.1	3.6	2.8	1.7	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	96.7%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	72.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	44.7%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
15-5	20.4%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	6.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	50.9%	49.1%	1.1		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	30.7%	69.3%	1.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	40.2%	59.8%	2.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	0.5%		99.5%	23.4%	76.1%	3.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.4%
16-4	1.0%		99.6%	20.4%	79.2%	4.2		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.5%
15-5	1.7%		97.6%	14.2%	83.4%	5.7		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		97.2%
14-6	2.8%		95.0%	9.8%	85.3%	7.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1		94.5%
13-7	3.6%		82.8%	6.7%	76.1%	8.3		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0				0.6		81.5%
12-8	5.1%		66.1%	5.4%	60.7%	9.2				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.0				1.7		64.2%
11-9	6.4%		46.6%	2.6%	44.1%	10.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0			3.4		45.2%
10-10	7.8%		24.7%	1.6%	23.1%	10.5							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0			5.9		23.5%
9-11	8.7%		7.3%	0.9%	6.4%	11.2								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			8.0		6.5%
8-12	9.7%		1.3%	0.3%	1.0%	11.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			9.6		1.0%
7-13	10.2%		0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.2		0.1%
6-14	10.0%		0.2%	0.2%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.0
5-15	9.4%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		9.4
4-16	8.4%																							8.4
3-17	6.5%																							6.5
2-18	4.5%																							4.5
1-19	2.5%																							2.5
0-20	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		18.3%	1.9%	16.3%	8.2		0.2	0.4	0.7	0.9	1.2	1.4	1.7	2.2	2.4	2.5	2.6	1.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	81.7		16.7%