IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Illinois
Summit League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.0	#274
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.3	#42
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#204

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#314

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.4%	9.8%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.5	15.3

.500 or above	34.1%	73.0%	31.5%
.500 or above in Conference	50.1%	79.1%	48.2%
Conference Champion	3.1%	8.8%	2.7%
Last Place in Conference	3.9%	0.5%	4.1%

First Four	1.0%	1.3%	1.0%
First Round	2.9%	9.1%	2.5%
Second Round	0.2%	1.0%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 11
Quad 4	11 - 6	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	75	@ Nebraska	L	74-90	6%
Nov 20, 2021	112	@ DePaul	L	72-85	12%
Nov 22, 2021	166	@ Northern Kentucky	L	70-79	21%
Nov 24, 2021	300	@ Eastern Michigan	L	76-77	45%
Nov 27, 2021	152	Miami (OH)	L	74-78	37%
Dec 01, 2021	199	Ball St.	L	80-81	46%
Dec 04, 2021	349	Tennessee Martin	W	85-72	85%
Dec 05, 2021	279	@ Central Michigan	L	83-86	41%
Dec 18, 2021	330	Eastern Illinois	W	83-75	74%
Dec 20, 2021	344	@ Denver	W	84-80	63%
Dec 22, 2021	326	@ Nebraska Omaha	W	82-81	53%
Dec 29, 2021	39	@ Iowa	L	72-92	5%
Jan 01, 2022	353	@ St. Thomas	W	83-73	79%
Jan 06, 2022	233	UMKC	W	70-69	53%
Jan 08, 2022	154	Oral Roberts	L	82-86	39%
Jan 13, 2022	313	@ North Dakota	L	77-78	48%
Jan 15, 2022	130	@ North Dakota St.	L	68-80	18%
Jan 20, 2022	186	South Dakota	L	80-82	44%
Jan 22, 2022	99	South Dakota St.	L	81-89	25%
Jan 29, 2022	353	St. Thomas	W	86-70	90%
Feb 03, 2022	154	@ Oral Roberts	L	79-89	22%
Feb 05, 2022	233	@ UMKC	L	67-72	34%
Feb 10, 2022	130	North Dakota St.	L	71-77	34%
Feb 12, 2022	313	North Dakota	W	80-75	67%
Feb 17, 2022	99	@ South Dakota St.	L	78-92	13%
Feb 19, 2022	186	@ South Dakota	L	77-85	26%
Feb 24, 2022	326	Nebraska Omaha	W	85-78	71%
Feb 26, 2022	344	Denver	W	87-77	78%
Projected Record						12 - 16	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.9	2.1	2.1	0.8	0.1				6.2	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.5	2.1	3.7	2.5	0.6	0.0					9.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.3	4.1	4.9	2.4	0.3	0.0						13.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	2.6	5.6	5.0	1.8	0.2								15.7	5th
6th						0.1	1.1	4.2	6.4	4.2	1.1	0.1									17.2	6th
7th					0.2	1.8	4.8	5.2	2.5	0.4	0.0										15.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.5	2.4	4.1	3.1	1.2	0.1	0.0											11.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.7	2.0	2.4	1.2	0.3	0.0													6.7	9th
10th	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0															2.0	10th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	3.1	5.1	7.3	9.3	11.1	11.9	11.6	10.8	9.0	7.2	5.1	3.4	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	83.8%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
15-3	56.5%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1
14-4	22.4%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-5	3.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.6	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		63.4%	53.7%	9.7%	12.0						0.0	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		21.0%
17-1	0.3%		37.0%	34.7%	2.4%	13.7										0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2		3.6%
16-2	0.8%		33.0%	32.7%	0.3%	14.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5		0.4%
15-3	1.9%		24.6%	24.6%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.4
14-4	3.4%		15.2%	15.2%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.9
13-5	5.1%		10.4%	10.4%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	4.6
12-6	7.2%		6.8%	6.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	6.7
11-7	9.0%		3.7%	3.7%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	8.7
10-8	10.8%		2.7%	2.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	10.5
9-9	11.6%		1.4%	1.4%		15.9																0.0	0.2	11.4
8-10	11.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0															0.0		0.1	11.8
7-11	11.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
6-12	9.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
5-13	7.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.3
4-14	5.1%																							5.1
3-15	3.1%																							3.1
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.4%	3.4%	0.0%	15.1						0.0	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.7	96.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%