Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#257
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#80
Pace77.4#31
Improvement-0.5#231

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#280
First Shot-0.7#194
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#333
Layup/Dunks+1.8#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#76
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#318
Freethrows+0.9#127
Improvement+0.4#124

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#231
First Shot-1.4#225
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#190
Layups/Dunks+6.0#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.9#357
Freethrows+0.6#156
Improvement-1.0#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.9% 36.5% 27.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 86.4% 91.2% 74.5%
.500 or above in Conference 93.7% 95.0% 90.5%
Conference Champion 46.0% 49.4% 37.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 0.9%
First Four21.0% 21.1% 20.8%
First Round22.0% 24.3% 16.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Neutral) - 71.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 11 - 5
Quad 416 - 617 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 313   Tennessee St. W 66-59 62%     1 - 0 -1.5 -19.2 +16.8
  Nov 16, 2021 338   William & Mary W 91-74 81%     2 - 0 +2.4 +6.7 -5.4
  Nov 19, 2021 220   @ Bowling Green W 90-84 29%     3 - 0 +6.3 +8.4 -2.5
  Nov 21, 2021 40   @ Xavier L 48-88 5%     3 - 1 -26.4 -21.4 -1.4
  Nov 28, 2021 335   Hampton W 80-74 71%    
  Nov 29, 2021 332   Grambling St. W 77-71 69%    
  Dec 01, 2021 279   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 04, 2021 335   @ Hampton W 78-75 61%    
  Dec 11, 2021 58   @ Wichita St. L 61-78 6%    
  Dec 19, 2021 32   @ Loyola Chicago L 59-79 4%    
  Dec 21, 2021 230   @ New Mexico L 77-82 33%    
  Dec 29, 2021 181   @ Campbell L 62-69 25%    
  Jan 08, 2022 351   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 10, 2022 356   Delaware St. W 87-70 93%    
  Jan 15, 2022 314   @ Howard W 80-79 51%    
  Jan 22, 2022 309   Coppin St. W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 24, 2022 305   Morgan St. W 81-75 69%    
  Jan 29, 2022 354   @ South Carolina St. W 83-74 80%    
  Jan 31, 2022 336   @ NC Central W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-63 87%    
  Feb 14, 2022 356   @ Delaware St. W 84-73 82%    
  Feb 19, 2022 309   @ Coppin St. L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 21, 2022 305   @ Morgan St. L 78-79 49%    
  Feb 26, 2022 354   South Carolina St. W 86-71 91%    
  Feb 28, 2022 336   NC Central W 76-67 79%    
  Mar 03, 2022 314   Howard W 83-77 71%    
Projected Record 16 - 10 10 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 5.3 12.8 14.4 9.5 3.1 46.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.9 9.4 5.2 0.7 22.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.2 2.1 0.1 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 2.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.5 6.7 10.3 14.0 16.9 18.1 15.1 9.5 3.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 3.1    3.1
13-1 100.0% 9.5    9.1 0.5
12-2 95.1% 14.4    12.0 2.4 0.0
11-3 70.5% 12.8    7.3 4.8 0.7 0.0
10-4 31.7% 5.3    1.5 2.6 1.2 0.1
9-5 6.1% 0.9    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 46.0% 46.0 33.0 10.4 2.2 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 3.1% 70.4% 70.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9
13-1 9.5% 56.9% 56.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 3.2 4.1
12-2 15.1% 49.8% 49.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.3 6.1 7.6
11-3 18.1% 41.6% 41.6% 15.9 0.0 0.5 7.0 10.6
10-4 16.9% 31.6% 31.6% 16.0 0.1 5.2 11.5
9-5 14.0% 23.3% 23.3% 16.0 0.0 3.2 10.7
8-6 10.3% 16.4% 16.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7 8.6
7-7 6.7% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.7 6.1
6-8 3.5% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.2 3.3
5-9 1.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-10 0.8% 0.8
3-11 0.2% 0.2
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 33.9% 33.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.6 28.3 66.1 0.0%