New Mexico
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#230
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#185
Pace78.5#24
Improvement-1.7#304

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#185
First Shot+2.5#106
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#324
Layup/Dunks+0.7#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement-2.2#339

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#274
First Shot-4.0#293
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#120
Layups/Dunks-0.2#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows-2.5#306
Improvement+0.6#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 12.5 14.3
.500 or above 10.4% 25.9% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 16.8% 8.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 15.2% 23.8%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Away) - 12.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 71 - 12
Quad 33 - 64 - 18
Quad 47 - 211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 200   Florida Atlantic W 99-92 56%     1 - 0 +2.2 +11.9 -10.5
  Nov 13, 2021 75   @ Colorado L 76-87 11%     1 - 1 -1.2 +1.1 -1.3
  Nov 15, 2021 332   Grambling St. W 86-61 84%     2 - 1 +11.0 -1.8 +10.1
  Nov 20, 2021 184   Montana St. W 81-78 53%     3 - 1 -1.1 -0.4 -0.9
  Nov 25, 2021 52   UAB L 73-86 13%     3 - 2 -4.2 -0.1 -3.2
  Nov 26, 2021 164   Towson L 58-73 37%     3 - 3 -15.0 -10.5 -5.8
  Nov 30, 2021 93   @ New Mexico St. L 67-79 13%    
  Dec 06, 2021 93   New Mexico St. L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 09, 2021 324   Denver W 81-71 81%    
  Dec 12, 2021 159   UTEP L 72-73 47%    
  Dec 19, 2021 94   SMU L 76-82 29%    
  Dec 21, 2021 257   Norfolk St. W 82-77 67%    
  Dec 28, 2021 41   Colorado St. L 76-87 16%    
  Jan 01, 2022 88   @ Nevada L 75-87 13%    
  Jan 08, 2022 47   Utah St. L 72-82 19%    
  Jan 11, 2022 148   @ UNLV L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 15, 2022 50   San Diego St. L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 19, 2022 41   @ Colorado St. L 73-90 8%    
  Jan 22, 2022 91   @ Wyoming L 71-83 14%    
  Jan 25, 2022 121   Fresno St. L 71-74 38%    
  Jan 28, 2022 289   San Jose St. W 82-75 72%    
  Jan 31, 2022 50   @ San Diego St. L 63-78 9%    
  Feb 05, 2022 256   @ Air Force L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 08, 2022 67   Boise St. L 68-76 26%    
  Feb 15, 2022 91   Wyoming L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 19, 2022 289   @ San Jose St. W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 22, 2022 47   @ Utah St. L 69-85 8%    
  Feb 26, 2022 256   Air Force W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 01, 2022 121   @ Fresno St. L 68-77 21%    
  Mar 05, 2022 148   UNLV L 72-74 44%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.6 4th
5th 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.6 1.2 0.1 9.8 7th
8th 0.4 2.7 6.7 5.6 1.5 0.1 16.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.7 6.6 9.7 6.6 1.5 0.2 26.2 9th
10th 0.2 2.7 7.6 7.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 22.2 10th
11th 0.8 3.1 5.3 3.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 13.7 11th
Total 0.8 3.2 8.0 12.6 15.7 16.0 15.1 11.1 7.6 5.0 2.5 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 25.0% 0.0    0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.7% 5.8% 5.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 2.5
9-9 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
8-10 7.6% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
7-11 11.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.1
5-13 16.0% 16.0
4-14 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
3-15 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
2-16 8.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.0
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%