Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-16.8#361
Expected Predictive Rating-17.3#354
Pace63.6#310
Improvement+0.1#137

Offense
Total Offense-8.9#355
First Shot-4.0#298
After Offensive Rebound-4.9#362
Layup/Dunks+0.0#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#319
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement+0.0#155

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#351
First Shot-5.0#327
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#331
Layups/Dunks-5.6#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#148
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement+0.1#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.1% 41.7% 48.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 110 - 15
Quad 43 - 134 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 100   @ Indiana St. L 53-80 2%     0 - 1 -19.5 -18.2 -0.5
  Nov 12, 2022 173   @ Georgetown L 58-92 5%     0 - 2 -31.3 -11.5 -22.0
  Nov 15, 2022 32   @ Wisconsin L 45-56 1%     0 - 3 +4.1 -10.6 +13.0
  Nov 18, 2022 241   Queens L 65-81 12%     0 - 4 -19.9 -11.4 -8.6
  Nov 20, 2022 140   Utah Valley L 56-79 5%     0 - 5 -21.0 -15.0 -6.3
  Nov 26, 2022 248   Illinois-Chicago L 64-78 18%     0 - 6 -21.2 -9.2 -12.4
  Dec 01, 2022 235   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-81 17%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -20.6 -8.0 -12.8
  Dec 05, 2022 359   IUPUI W 68-61 61%     1 - 7 1 - 1 -12.7 -13.1 +0.5
  Dec 06, 2022 175   @ Loyola Chicago L 46-70 5%     1 - 8 -21.3 -15.4 -10.2
  Dec 10, 2022 275   UMKC L 59-67 23%    
  Dec 13, 2022 282   @ St. Thomas L 61-75 10%    
  Dec 16, 2022 79   @ Stanford L 51-78 1%    
  Dec 18, 2022 188   @ Oregon St. L 55-74 4%    
  Dec 29, 2022 179   @ Detroit Mercy L 61-80 4%    
  Dec 31, 2022 312   @ Oakland L 66-77 15%    
  Jan 05, 2023 184   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 56-75 4%    
  Jan 07, 2023 181   @ Cleveland St. L 53-72 4%    
  Jan 12, 2023 212   Wright St. L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 14, 2023 228   Northern Kentucky L 56-66 17%    
  Jan 19, 2023 138   Youngstown St. L 63-79 7%    
  Jan 21, 2023 240   Robert Morris L 60-70 18%    
  Jan 26, 2023 228   @ Northern Kentucky L 53-69 7%    
  Jan 28, 2023 212   @ Wright St. L 61-79 6%    
  Feb 04, 2023 359   @ IUPUI L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 06, 2023 235   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 61-77 7%    
  Feb 09, 2023 312   Oakland L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 11, 2023 179   Detroit Mercy L 64-77 12%    
  Feb 16, 2023 240   @ Robert Morris L 57-73 8%    
  Feb 18, 2023 138   @ Youngstown St. L 60-82 2%    
  Feb 23, 2023 181   Cleveland St. L 56-69 12%    
  Feb 25, 2023 184   Purdue Fort Wayne L 59-72 13%    
Projected Record 4 - 27 3 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 2.6 3.8 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 2.2 12.7 18.1 13.9 6.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 55.4 10th
11th 11.0 12.0 5.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 30.4 11th
Total 13.1 24.7 24.5 18.1 10.6 5.3 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
8-12 0.9% 0.9
7-13 2.3% 2.3
6-14 5.3% 5.3
5-15 10.6% 10.6
4-16 18.1% 18.1
3-17 24.5% 24.5
2-18 24.7% 24.7
1-19 13.1% 13.1
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.0%