Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 Texas 100.0%   2   26 - 8 12 - 6 27 - 8 12 - 6 +17.0      +8.0 20 +9.0 10 70.9 109 +17.6 8 +16.6 2
9 Kansas 100.0%   1   27 - 7 13 - 5 28 - 7 13 - 5 +16.5      +7.0 25 +9.5 6 71.9 78 +19.2 4 +18.2 1
14 Baylor 100.0%   3   22 - 10 11 - 7 23 - 10 11 - 7 +14.4      +11.7 2 +2.7 93 67.6 185 +15.7 10 +15.6 4
16 West Virginia 97.8%   9   19 - 14 7 - 11 20 - 14 7 - 11 +13.7      +8.5 13 +5.2 48 70.8 114 +12.0 32 +10.4 8
18 Iowa St. 100.0%   5   19 - 13 9 - 9 19 - 13 9 - 9 +13.2      +4.0 79 +9.2 8 62.3 324 +13.0 25 +13.1 6
21 TCU 100.0%   5   21 - 12 9 - 9 21 - 12 9 - 9 +13.1      +5.6 44 +7.6 21 73.2 47 +12.9 26 +13.1 5
23 Kansas St. 100.0%   4   23 - 9 11 - 7 24 - 9 11 - 7 +12.9      +5.1 53 +7.7 19 73.4 44 +14.9 15 +15.8 3
41 Oklahoma St. 66.0%   11   18 - 15 8 - 10 18 - 15 8 - 10 +10.7      +2.0 116 +8.7 11 68.8 162 +10.6 46 +12.1 7
48 Texas Tech 0.0%   16 - 16 5 - 13 16 - 16 5 - 13 +9.8      +4.9 57 +4.9 54 68.3 170 +8.1 67 +7.9 10
53 Oklahoma 0.0%   15 - 17 5 - 13 15 - 17 5 - 13 +9.5      +4.1 74 +5.4 46 64.2 284 +9.3 59 +8.0 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas 2.0 100.0
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Baylor 3.0 100.0
West Virginia 8.0 100.0
Iowa St. 5.0 100.0
TCU 5.0 100.0
Kansas St. 3.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 7.0 100.0
Texas Tech 9.0 100.0
Oklahoma 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas 12 - 6 100.0
Kansas 13 - 5 100.0
Baylor 11 - 7 100.0
West Virginia 7 - 11 100.0
Iowa St. 9 - 9 100.0
TCU 9 - 9 100.0
Kansas St. 11 - 7 100.0
Oklahoma St. 8 - 10 100.0
Texas Tech 5 - 13 100.0
Oklahoma 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Baylor
West Virginia
Iowa St.
TCU
Kansas St.
Oklahoma St.
Texas Tech
Oklahoma


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   41.3 55.1 3.6 0.0
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   47.6 51.3 1.1 100.0%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   1.1 16.7 65.3 16.4 0.5 0.0 100.0%
West Virginia 97.8% 0.0% 97.8% 9   0.0 0.3 1.6 5.7 18.3 37.3 29.4 5.4 0.0 2.2 97.8%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 5.8 33.7 48.5 11.6 0.4 100.0%
TCU 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   0.0 0.6 7.3 34.8 42.5 14.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kansas St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 0.2 14.5 46.8 33.4 4.9 0.2 100.0%
Oklahoma St. 66.0% 0.0% 66.0% 11   0.0 0.1 1.6 11.4 49.0 3.9 34.0 66.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.4% 66.0% 41.7% 23.3% 12.5% 6.4%
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.5% 63.9% 39.1% 21.2% 10.8% 5.2%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 84.9% 50.7% 24.2% 11.0% 5.0% 2.1%
West Virginia 97.8% 0.8% 97.6% 57.1% 21.3% 10.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 71.1% 37.8% 14.2% 5.9% 2.3% 0.8%
TCU 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 64.2% 31.3% 12.7% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
Kansas St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 72.5% 38.2% 14.2% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7%
Oklahoma St. 66.0% 38.6% 48.1% 20.7% 7.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 7.6 0.6 34.9 64.5 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 7.5 1.0 52.2 46.7 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 5.6 0.0 0.3 2.9 12.6 29.1 34.3 18.1 2.7
Sweet Sixteen 99.1% 3.2 0.9 6.5 21.0 33.3 26.0 10.4 1.9 0.1 0.0
Elite Eight 88.0% 1.6 12.0 36.0 35.5 13.8 2.5 0.2 0.0
Final Four 61.3% 0.8 38.7 46.0 13.9 1.3 0.0
Final Game 34.4% 0.4 65.6 32.0 2.5
Champion 16.7% 0.2 83.3 16.7