Pre-tourney Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#21
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#26
Pace73.2#47
Improvement+1.2#81

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#44
First Shot+3.7#74
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#52
Layup/Dunks+8.8#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#221
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#345
Freethrows+1.1#88
Improvement+1.1#63

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#21
First Shot+7.0#18
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#114
Layups/Dunks+1.5#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#47
Freethrows+1.6#55
Improvement+0.0#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 8.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 85.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round64.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen31.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.7% n/a n/a
Final Four5.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 48 - 11
Quad 25 - 013 - 11
Quad 30 - 013 - 11
Quad 48 - 121 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73-72 98%     1 - 0 -12.1 -8.3 -3.8
  Nov 11, 2022 356   Lamar W 77-66 99%     2 - 0 -6.3 -6.5 -0.1
  Nov 14, 2022 225   Northwestern St. L 63-64 95%     2 - 1 -7.0 -12.0 +4.9
  Nov 17, 2022 282   Louisiana Monroe W 95-60 97%     3 - 1 +25.6 +10.1 +12.2
  Nov 25, 2022 243   California W 59-48 94%     4 - 1 +6.6 -4.6 +12.9
  Nov 26, 2022 34   Iowa W 79-66 56%     5 - 1 +24.6 +5.0 +19.3
  Nov 30, 2022 36   Providence W 75-62 68%     6 - 1 +21.3 +5.3 +16.4
  Dec 06, 2022 311   Jackson St. W 78-51 98%     7 - 1 +15.7 -5.9 +19.5
  Dec 10, 2022 169   SMU W 83-75 89%     8 - 1 +7.7 +3.2 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 88-43 99%     9 - 1 +27.4 +12.6 +17.0
  Dec 21, 2022 70   Utah W 75-71 69%     10 - 1 +12.1 +6.8 +5.2
  Dec 28, 2022 336   Central Arkansas W 103-57 99%     11 - 1 +32.1 +12.5 +15.0
  Dec 31, 2022 48   Texas Tech W 67-61 73%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +12.9 -5.6 +18.2
  Jan 04, 2023 14   @ Baylor W 88-87 34%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +18.4 +14.9 +3.4
  Jan 07, 2023 18   Iowa St. L 67-69 61%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +8.2 +5.2 +2.9
  Jan 11, 2023 5   @ Texas L 75-79 26%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +16.0 +10.5 +5.6
  Jan 14, 2023 23   Kansas St. W 82-68 62%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +23.9 +9.3 +13.5
  Jan 18, 2023 16   @ West Virginia L 65-74 37%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +7.7 +0.4 +7.0
  Jan 21, 2023 9   @ Kansas W 83-60 27%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +42.5 +20.1 +22.1
  Jan 24, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 79-52 74%     16 - 4 5 - 3 +33.5 +10.9 +22.9
  Jan 28, 2023 49   @ Mississippi St. L 74-81 OT 52%     16 - 5 +5.7 +9.3 -3.4
  Jan 31, 2023 16   West Virginia W 76-72 59%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +14.7 +9.1 +5.7
  Feb 04, 2023 41   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-79 48%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +7.7 +4.6 +3.6
  Feb 07, 2023 23   @ Kansas St. L 61-82 40%     17 - 7 6 - 5 -5.1 -6.7 +2.9
  Feb 11, 2023 14   Baylor L 68-72 57%     17 - 8 6 - 6 +7.4 +2.9 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2023 18   @ Iowa St. L 59-70 38%     17 - 9 6 - 7 +5.2 -0.7 +5.4
  Feb 18, 2023 41   Oklahoma St. W 100-75 70%     18 - 9 7 - 7 +32.7 +27.2 +3.7
  Feb 20, 2023 9   Kansas L 58-63 48%     18 - 10 7 - 8 +8.5 -6.2 +14.7
  Feb 25, 2023 48   @ Texas Tech W 83-82 51%     19 - 10 8 - 8 +13.8 +15.3 -1.5
  Mar 01, 2023 5   Texas W 75-73 47%     20 - 10 9 - 8 +16.0 +6.2 +9.7
  Mar 04, 2023 53   @ Oklahoma L 60-74 53%     20 - 11 9 - 9 -1.5 -0.4 -2.5
  Mar 09, 2023 23   Kansas St. W 80-67 51%     21 - 11 +25.9 +13.2 +12.4
  Mar 10, 2023 5   Texas L 60-66 35%     21 - 12 +11.0 -0.9 +11.6
Projected Record 21 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.6 0.0 0.6 7.3 34.8 42.5 14.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.6 0.0 0.6 7.3 34.8 42.5 14.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%