Pre-tourney Rankings
Big East
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Connecticut 100.0%   3   25 - 8 13 - 7 26 - 8 13 - 7 +17.7      +9.9 8 +7.8 16 67.5 190 +15.6 11 +12.9 5
11 Marquette 100.0%   2   28 - 6 17 - 3 29 - 6 17 - 3 +15.5      +10.1 6 +5.5 44 70.8 113 +18.4 6 +20.3 1
12 Creighton 99.3%   6   21 - 12 14 - 6 22 - 12 14 - 6 +14.7      +6.8 27 +7.9 14 69.2 152 +12.3 28 +14.8 3
13 Xavier 100.0%   3   25 - 9 15 - 5 26 - 9 15 - 5 +14.5      +10.4 5 +4.1 67 74.4 40 +15.3 13 +16.5 2
36 Providence 81.4%   10   21 - 11 13 - 7 21 - 12 13 - 7 +11.3      +8.4 17 +2.9 88 67.3 196 +11.4 37 +13.7 4
55 Villanova 0.1%   17 - 16 10 - 10 17 - 16 10 - 10 +9.3      +6.1 37 +3.2 84 61.0 340 +8.0 69 +9.7 7
58 Seton Hall 1.7%   16 - 15 10 - 10 16 - 15 10 - 10 +9.1      +1.2 144 +7.8 15 66.7 210 +8.3 65 +9.7 6
80 St. John's 0.0%   18 - 15 7 - 13 18 - 15 7 - 13 +7.4      +2.4 110 +5.0 51 81.5 1 +7.3 75 +5.6 8
102 Butler 0.0%   14 - 18 6 - 14 14 - 18 6 - 14 +4.5      -1.1 206 +5.6 43 64.7 276 +6.1 90 +4.4 9
125 DePaul 0.0%   10 - 23 3 - 17 10 - 23 3 - 17 +2.3      +2.3 111 0.0 174 71.2 99 +1.8 135 -1.2 10
209 Georgetown 0.0%   7 - 25 2 - 18 7 - 25 2 - 18 -1.9      -0.4 184 -1.5 218 71.5 96 -3.9 239 -3.0 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Connecticut 4.0 100.0
Marquette 1.0 100.0
Creighton 3.0 100.0
Xavier 2.0 100.0
Providence 4.0 100.0
Villanova 6.0 100.0
Seton Hall 6.0 100.0
St. John's 8.0 100.0
Butler 9.0 100.0
DePaul 10.0 100.0
Georgetown 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Connecticut 13 - 7 100.0
Marquette 17 - 3 100.0
Creighton 14 - 6 100.0
Xavier 15 - 5 100.0
Providence 13 - 7 100.0
Villanova 10 - 10 100.0
Seton Hall 10 - 10 100.0
St. John's 7 - 13 100.0
Butler 6 - 14 100.0
DePaul 3 - 17 100.0
Georgetown 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Connecticut
Marquette 100.0% 100.0
Creighton
Xavier
Providence
Villanova
Seton Hall
St. John's
Butler
DePaul
Georgetown


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   3.6 23.9 53.5 18.0 1.0 0.0 100.0%
Marquette 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   11.6 50.3 34.8 3.2 0.0 0.0
Creighton 99.3% 0.0% 99.3% 6   0.0 1.3 9.6 22.8 31.7 25.5 7.2 1.2 0.1 0.7 99.3%
Xavier 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   0.3 5.6 46.3 41.1 6.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Providence 81.4% 0.0% 81.4% 10   0.0 0.0 0.6 6.5 20.2 31.5 22.3 0.2 18.6 81.4%
Villanova 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Seton Hall 1.7% 0.0% 1.7% 0.7 1.0 0.1 98.3 1.7%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Connecticut 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.2% 65.7% 40.0% 23.1% 12.9% 7.0%
Marquette 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.5% 57.2% 31.3% 15.3% 7.3% 3.3%
Creighton 99.3% 0.0% 99.3% 67.4% 34.5% 16.9% 7.9% 3.6% 1.5%
Xavier 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 82.9% 49.9% 22.9% 10.5% 4.5% 1.9%
Providence 81.4% 8.3% 77.7% 36.9% 11.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Villanova 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seton Hall 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. John's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Butler 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 4.8 0.1 18.7 79.8 1.4
1st Round 100.0% 4.8 0.1 22.6 76.6 0.6
2nd Round 100.0% 3.7 0.0 0.8 7.5 30.7 44.8 16.2 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 96.5% 2.2 3.5 19.8 39.0 29.7 7.5 0.4
Elite Eight 77.9% 1.2 22.1 46.0 26.2 5.3 0.3 0.0
Final Four 49.0% 0.6 51.0 40.1 8.4 0.5 0.0
Final Game 27.3% 0.3 72.7 25.7 1.5
Champion 13.8% 0.1 86.2 13.8