Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#36
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#37
Pace67.3#196
Improvement+0.4#146

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#17
First Shot+5.1#44
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#8
Layup/Dunks+2.6#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#200
Freethrows+2.9#14
Improvement+1.1#66

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#88
First Shot+2.9#81
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#180
Layups/Dunks-1.9#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#142
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#82
Freethrows+2.2#36
Improvement-0.7#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 81.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 81.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.3% n/a n/a
First Round77.7% n/a n/a
Second Round36.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 8
Quad 23 - 17 - 9
Quad 33 - 210 - 11
Quad 411 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 206   Rider W 66-65 93%     1 - 0 -3.8 -5.9 +2.2
  Nov 12, 2022 299   Northeastern W 89-65 97%     2 - 0 +13.6 +15.0 -0.6
  Nov 15, 2022 333   Stonehill W 100-76 98%     3 - 0 +10.4 +19.5 -9.8
  Nov 19, 2022 37   Miami (FL) L 64-74 50%     3 - 1 +1.3 -5.2 +6.2
  Nov 20, 2022 92   Saint Louis L 73-76 71%     3 - 2 +2.5 +2.9 -0.5
  Nov 23, 2022 312   Merrimack W 71-57 97%     4 - 2 +2.6 +4.8 -1.0
  Nov 26, 2022 347   Columbia W 78-64 98%     5 - 2 -1.2 -2.0 +0.6
  Nov 30, 2022 21   @ TCU L 62-75 32%     5 - 3 +3.1 -0.4 +3.2
  Dec 03, 2022 239   @ Rhode Island W 88-74 87%     6 - 3 +13.1 +17.5 -4.4
  Dec 07, 2022 304   Manhattan W 99-59 97%     7 - 3 +29.4 +9.6 +14.8
  Dec 10, 2022 341   Albany W 93-55 98%     8 - 3 +23.6 +7.4 +14.5
  Dec 17, 2022 58   @ Seton Hall W 71-67 47%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +16.1 +5.4 +10.5
  Dec 20, 2022 11   Marquette W 103-98 2OT 45%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +17.5 +15.4 +1.3
  Dec 29, 2022 102   @ Butler W 72-52 64%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +27.5 +9.7 +18.7
  Jan 01, 2023 125   @ DePaul W 74-59 72%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +20.3 -1.5 +20.9
  Jan 04, 2023 4   Connecticut W 73-61 37%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +26.7 +17.5 +11.0
  Jan 07, 2023 80   St. John's W 83-80 75%     14 - 3 6 - 0 +7.4 +4.9 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2023 12   @ Creighton L 67-73 27%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +11.7 +5.1 +6.5
  Jan 18, 2023 11   @ Marquette L 75-83 25%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +10.5 +14.0 -4.0
  Jan 21, 2023 125   DePaul W 75-64 87%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +10.3 +4.9 +6.0
  Jan 25, 2023 102   Butler W 79-58 82%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +22.6 +14.3 +9.3
  Jan 29, 2023 55   @ Villanova W 70-65 46%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +17.3 +10.7 +7.2
  Feb 01, 2023 13   @ Xavier L 83-85 OT 28%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +15.5 +13.8 +1.7
  Feb 08, 2023 209   Georgetown W 74-62 93%     18 - 6 10 - 3 +7.1 +1.1 +6.4
  Feb 11, 2023 80   @ St. John's L 68-73 54%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +5.4 -0.9 +6.5
  Feb 14, 2023 12   Creighton W 94-86 2OT 48%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +19.7 +9.7 +8.5
  Feb 18, 2023 55   Villanova W 85-72 69%     20 - 7 12 - 4 +19.3 +17.3 +2.6
  Feb 22, 2023 4   @ Connecticut L 69-87 19%     20 - 8 12 - 5 +2.7 +11.9 -10.9
  Feb 26, 2023 209   @ Georgetown W 88-68 83%     21 - 8 13 - 5 +21.0 +14.6 +6.3
  Mar 01, 2023 13   Xavier L 89-94 49%     21 - 9 13 - 6 +6.5 +17.8 -11.2
  Mar 04, 2023 58   Seton Hall L 58-82 69%     21 - 10 13 - 7 -17.9 +2.2 -24.5
  Mar 09, 2023 4   Connecticut L 66-73 27%     21 - 11 +10.7 +7.0 +3.1
  Mar 17, 2023 26   Kentucky L 73-74 45%    
Projected Record 21 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 81.4% 81.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.5 20.2 31.5 22.3 0.2 18.6 81.4%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 81.4% 0.0% 81.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.5 20.2 31.5 22.3 0.2 18.6 81.4%