Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
117 Montana St. 100.0%   14   23 - 9 15 - 3 23 - 10 15 - 3 +3.0      -0.1 175 +3.1 85 66.4 221 +4.9 104 +6.3 2
138 Eastern Washington 0.0%   21 - 10 16 - 2 21 - 10 16 - 2 +1.8      +3.7 83 -1.9 234 70.9 110 +3.3 122 +9.2 1
168 Montana 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 7 16 - 14 10 - 7 -0.2      +2.2 113 -2.4 251 61.3 337 -0.4 176 -0.2 4
198 Weber St. 0.0%   16 - 15 12 - 6 16 - 15 12 - 6 -1.5      -3.2 271 +1.7 114 63.9 288 0.0 169 +1.7 3
224 Northern Arizona 0.0%   10 - 23 5 - 13 10 - 23 5 - 13 -3.0      +1.6 128 -4.6 312 67.0 206 -5.2 259 -8.0 9
227 Northern Colorado 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -3.1      +1.5 137 -4.6 309 72.8 56 -3.7 235 -6.5 8
231 Sacramento St. 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 11 12 - 18 7 - 11 -3.5      -1.0 205 -2.4 253 59.2 353 -3.4 232 -5.0 6
245 Portland St. 0.0%   10 - 19 6 - 11 10 - 19 6 - 11 -4.5      -1.9 238 -2.7 261 78.7 10 -4.3 246 -6.1 7
257 Idaho St. 0.0%   9 - 21 8 - 10 9 - 21 8 - 10 -5.2      -2.5 251 -2.8 264 63.8 293 -7.5 296 -3.4 5
305 Idaho 0.0%   8 - 22 4 - 14 8 - 22 4 - 14 -7.7      -1.8 236 -5.9 337 65.6 247 -8.6 314 -9.1 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Montana St. 2.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 1.0 100.0
Montana 4.0 100.0
Weber St. 3.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 9.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 6.0 100.0
Portland St. 7.0 100.0
Idaho St. 5.0 100.0
Idaho 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Montana St. 15 - 3 100.0
Eastern Washington 16 - 2 100.0
Montana 10 - 8 100.0
Weber St. 12 - 6 100.0
Northern Arizona 5 - 13 100.0
Northern Colorado 6 - 12 100.0
Sacramento St. 7 - 11 100.0
Portland St. 6 - 12 100.0
Idaho St. 8 - 10 100.0
Idaho 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana St.
Eastern Washington 100.0% 100.0
Montana
Weber St.
Northern Arizona
Northern Colorado
Sacramento St.
Portland St.
Idaho St.
Idaho


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 13.4 44.7 41.6 0.2
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 10.3% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 10.3% 0.1 89.7 10.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0