Pre-tourney Rankings
Idaho St.
Big Sky
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#257
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#296
Pace63.8#293
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#251
First Shot-0.2#185
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#334
Layup/Dunks-3.6#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#62
Freethrows-0.9#256
Improvement+0.9#78

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#264
First Shot-3.2#289
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#122
Layups/Dunks-3.9#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#45
Freethrows-2.2#328
Improvement-0.8#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 60 - 6
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 46 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 77   @ BYU L 56-60 8%     0 - 1 +6.6 -15.3 +22.3
  Nov 14, 2022 70   @ Utah L 58-70 7%     0 - 2 -0.9 -4.8 +3.5
  Nov 18, 2022 306   Denver L 69-70 70%     0 - 3 -11.7 -5.0 -6.8
  Nov 23, 2022 346   @ Lindenwood L 76-77 OT 64%     0 - 4 -10.0 -7.5 -2.4
  Nov 26, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman L 66-68 OT 77%     0 - 5 -15.0 -12.4 -2.7
  Nov 27, 2022 336   @ Central Arkansas L 77-81 60%     0 - 6 -12.0 -2.4 -9.4
  Nov 29, 2022 309   @ UMKC W 75-65 50%     1 - 6 +4.8 +9.8 -3.8
  Dec 03, 2022 115   Southern Utah L 59-69 29%     1 - 7 -9.5 -15.1 +5.5
  Dec 10, 2022 220   St. Thomas L 70-76 51%     1 - 8 -11.5 -2.3 -9.6
  Dec 17, 2022 100   @ Washington L 55-90 12%     1 - 9 -27.3 -14.6 -11.1
  Dec 20, 2022 113   @ Grand Canyon L 66-68 13%     1 - 10 +4.8 +0.3 +4.3
  Dec 29, 2022 224   Northern Arizona W 79-53 53%     2 - 10 1 - 0 +20.0 +6.0 +16.0
  Dec 31, 2022 227   Northern Colorado W 90-83 OT 53%     3 - 10 2 - 0 +0.9 -1.4 +1.4
  Jan 07, 2023 198   @ Weber St. W 67-57 26%     4 - 10 3 - 0 +11.5 +1.4 +10.7
  Jan 12, 2023 117   @ Montana St. L 68-81 15%     4 - 11 3 - 1 -7.0 +2.7 -10.2
  Jan 14, 2023 168   @ Montana L 55-84 22%     4 - 12 3 - 2 -26.2 -13.9 -14.9
  Jan 19, 2023 231   Sacramento St. W 65-61 55%     5 - 12 4 - 2 -2.4 -2.8 +0.9
  Jan 21, 2023 245   Portland St. L 65-72 59%     5 - 13 4 - 3 -14.5 -2.2 -13.3
  Jan 26, 2023 138   @ Eastern Washington L 68-81 17%     5 - 14 4 - 4 -8.3 -2.2 -6.6
  Jan 28, 2023 305   @ Idaho W 95-91 OT 48%     6 - 14 5 - 4 -0.7 +12.8 -13.7
  Feb 04, 2023 198   Weber St. L 71-72 2OT 47%     6 - 15 5 - 5 -5.4 -2.3 -3.1
  Feb 06, 2023 224   @ Northern Arizona W 75-70 31%     7 - 15 6 - 5 +5.0 +5.5 -0.1
  Feb 09, 2023 168   Montana L 61-69 42%     7 - 16 6 - 6 -11.1 -5.4 -7.1
  Feb 11, 2023 117   Montana St. L 52-58 30%     7 - 17 6 - 7 -5.9 -13.5 +6.9
  Feb 16, 2023 245   @ Portland St. L 70-79 36%     7 - 18 6 - 8 -10.6 -1.6 -9.2
  Feb 18, 2023 231   @ Sacramento St. L 65-70 32%     7 - 19 6 - 9 -5.5 -5.2 -0.6
  Feb 23, 2023 305   Idaho W 65-55 70%     8 - 19 7 - 9 -0.7 +0.7 +1.0
  Feb 25, 2023 138   Eastern Washington W 71-63 35%     9 - 19 8 - 9 +6.8 -2.3 +9.5
  Feb 27, 2023 227   @ Northern Colorado L 72-87 31%     9 - 20 8 - 10 -15.1 -4.9 -10.0
  Mar 06, 2023 168   Montana L 74-83 31%     9 - 21 -9.2 +5.1 -15.0
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%