Pre-tourney Rankings
Pac-12
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
3 UCLA 100.0%   1   29 - 5 18 - 2 30 - 5 18 - 2 +18.6      +6.7 28 +11.8 1 65.9 236 +18.5 5 +21.4 1
10 Arizona 100.0%   3   28 - 6 14 - 6 29 - 6 14 - 6 +16.4      +10.5 4 +5.8 38 79.2 7 +17.3 9 +12.9 3
42 USC 87.4%   10   22 - 10 13 - 6 22 - 11 13 - 6 +10.7      +5.6 42 +5.1 49 69.6 142 +11.6 36 +13.7 2
47 Oregon 42.8%   19 - 14 12 - 8 19 - 14 12 - 8 +10.0      +6.4 32 +3.6 77 66.1 230 +9.5 53 +10.7 4
59 Colorado 0.1%   17 - 16 8 - 12 17 - 16 8 - 12 +9.0      +1.5 132 +7.5 22 71.7 91 +6.5 84 +4.6 9
62 Washington St. 0.0%   17 - 16 11 - 9 17 - 16 11 - 9 +8.6      +4.4 66 +4.3 64 62.2 326 +6.9 81 +10.0 5
66 Arizona St. 58.3%   11   22 - 12 11 - 9 22 - 13 11 - 9 +8.5      +1.5 135 +7.0 26 69.8 135 +10.8 43 +9.9 6
70 Utah 0.0%   17 - 15 10 - 10 17 - 15 10 - 10 +8.1      +2.0 118 +6.2 34 66.2 229 +6.4 85 +8.3 7
86 Stanford 0.0%   14 - 19 7 - 13 14 - 19 7 - 13 +6.8      +6.0 38 +0.8 147 65.4 258 +3.8 115 +3.4 10
100 Washington 0.0%   16 - 16 8 - 12 16 - 16 8 - 12 +4.8      +0.5 155 +4.2 66 71.8 84 +5.9 94 +5.6 8
196 Oregon St. 0.0%   10 - 21 5 - 15 10 - 21 5 - 15 -1.3      -2.7 257 +1.4 124 61.4 336 -0.7 177 +1.4 11
243 California 0.0%   3 - 29 2 - 17 3 - 29 2 - 17 -4.4      -4.6 304 +0.2 168 60.8 342 -9.3 326 -4.8 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
UCLA 1.0 100.0
Arizona 2.0 100.0
USC 3.0 100.0
Oregon 4.0 100.0
Colorado 8.0 100.0
Washington St. 5.0 100.0
Arizona St. 5.0 100.0
Utah 7.0 100.0
Stanford 10.0 100.0
Washington 8.0 100.0
Oregon St. 11.0 100.0
California 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
UCLA 18 - 2 100.0
Arizona 14 - 6 100.0
USC 13 - 7 100.0
Oregon 12 - 8 100.0
Colorado 8 - 12 100.0
Washington St. 11 - 9 100.0
Arizona St. 11 - 9 100.0
Utah 10 - 10 100.0
Stanford 7 - 13 100.0
Washington 8 - 12 100.0
Oregon St. 5 - 15 100.0
California 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UCLA 100.0% 100.0
Arizona
USC
Oregon
Colorado
Washington St.
Arizona St.
Utah
Stanford
Washington
Oregon St.
California


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UCLA 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   64.5 33.9 1.6 0.0 100.0%
Arizona 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3   2.3 25.8 59.9 11.8 0.3 0.0
USC 87.4% 0.0% 87.4% 10   0.0 0.1 1.1 9.0 26.7 34.0 16.4 0.1 12.6 87.4%
Oregon 42.8% 0.0% 42.8% 0.0 0.2 2.9 33.2 6.5 0.0 57.2 42.8%
Colorado 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Arizona St. 58.3% 0.0% 58.3% 11   0.1 2.0 13.7 41.1 1.4 41.7 58.3%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Stanford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
California 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UCLA 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.0% 72.6% 50.3% 31.7% 18.9% 10.7%
Arizona 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.4% 60.0% 33.3% 17.4% 8.7% 4.2%
USC 87.4% 4.6% 85.2% 38.8% 11.3% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Oregon 42.8% 34.4% 26.1% 10.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Colorado 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arizona St. 58.3% 25.3% 44.1% 15.1% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
California 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.9 2.1 26.8 51.5 19.6 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 3.6 4.7 43.2 43.9 8.1
2nd Round 99.8% 2.5 0.2 6.2 45.7 39.3 8.3 0.4
Sweet Sixteen 91.5% 1.5 8.5 38.9 45.5 6.8 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 70.3% 0.9 29.7 51.1 18.4 0.8 0.0
Final Four 45.9% 0.5 54.1 40.9 5.0 0.1
Final Game 27.2% 0.3 72.8 26.3 0.9
Champion 15.0% 0.2 85.0 15.0