Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#42
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#36
Pace69.6#142
Improvement+2.9#10

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#42
First Shot+5.0#48
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#122
Layup/Dunks+1.6#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#253
Freethrows+2.3#30
Improvement+2.4#19

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#49
First Shot+6.5#25
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#325
Layups/Dunks+5.6#15
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#228
Freethrows+0.8#117
Improvement+0.5#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 87.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four4.6% n/a n/a
First Round85.2% n/a n/a
Second Round38.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.4% n/a n/a
Final Four1.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 6
Quad 27 - 210 - 8
Quad 36 - 116 - 9
Quad 46 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 190   Florida Gulf Coast L 61-74 91%     0 - 1 -16.9 -15.0 -1.7
  Nov 10, 2022 353   Alabama St. W 96-58 98%     1 - 1 +21.9 +8.8 +9.8
  Nov 15, 2022 120   Vermont W 59-57 84%     2 - 1 +2.0 -13.2 +15.3
  Nov 18, 2022 275   Mount St. Mary's W 83-74 96%     3 - 1 -0.1 +2.9 -3.5
  Nov 23, 2022 77   BYU W 82-76 62%     4 - 1 +13.6 +8.3 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2022 6   Tennessee L 66-73 OT 28%     4 - 2 +9.9 +1.2 +9.1
  Nov 25, 2022 61   Wisconsin L 59-64 57%     4 - 3 +3.9 +0.7 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2022 243   @ California W 66-51 87%     5 - 3 +13.6 +3.0 +12.4
  Dec 04, 2022 196   Oregon St. W 63-62 91%     6 - 3 1 - 0 -3.3 -1.0 -2.1
  Dec 07, 2022 127   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-50 86%     7 - 3 +13.3 -5.9 +19.5
  Dec 14, 2022 162   Long Beach St. W 88-78 89%     8 - 3 +7.2 +8.0 -1.4
  Dec 18, 2022 29   Auburn W 74-71 56%     9 - 3 +12.3 +6.6 +5.7
  Dec 21, 2022 105   Colorado St. W 73-64 73%     10 - 3 +13.4 -1.6 +14.8
  Dec 30, 2022 100   @ Washington W 80-67 61%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +20.7 +13.2 +7.6
  Jan 01, 2023 62   @ Washington St. L 71-81 47%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +1.6 +9.4 -8.5
  Jan 05, 2023 3   @ UCLA L 58-60 16%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +19.6 +9.4 +9.8
  Jan 12, 2023 59   Colorado W 68-61 68%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +13.0 +1.0 +12.0
  Jan 14, 2023 70   Utah W 71-56 70%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +20.2 +11.0 +10.9
  Jan 19, 2023 10   @ Arizona L 66-81 21%     13 - 6 4 - 3 +4.3 -3.9 +9.2
  Jan 21, 2023 66   @ Arizona St. W 77-69 47%     14 - 6 5 - 3 +19.5 +14.6 +5.1
  Jan 26, 2023 3   UCLA W 77-64 32%     15 - 6 6 - 3 +28.6 +22.4 +7.5
  Feb 02, 2023 62   Washington St. W 80-70 69%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +15.7 +13.2 +2.8
  Feb 04, 2023 100   Washington W 80-74 80%     17 - 6 8 - 3 +7.8 +4.2 +3.2
  Feb 09, 2023 47   @ Oregon L 60-78 41%     17 - 7 8 - 4 -5.0 -2.9 -3.5
  Feb 11, 2023 196   @ Oregon St. L 58-61 80%     17 - 8 8 - 5 -1.3 -7.6 +6.1
  Feb 16, 2023 243   California W 97-60 94%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +29.7 +23.7 +6.3
  Feb 18, 2023 86   Stanford W 85-75 75%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +13.8 +9.9 +3.7
  Feb 23, 2023 59   @ Colorado W 84-65 45%     20 - 8 11 - 5 +31.0 +21.2 +10.0
  Feb 25, 2023 70   @ Utah W 62-49 48%     21 - 8 12 - 5 +24.1 +5.5 +20.4
  Mar 02, 2023 10   Arizona L 81-87 40%     21 - 9 12 - 6 +7.4 +11.7 -4.3
  Mar 04, 2023 66   Arizona St. W 68-65 69%     22 - 9 13 - 6 +8.5 +2.4 +6.2
  Mar 09, 2023 66   Arizona St. L 72-77 59%     22 - 10 +3.5 +5.3 -1.8
  Mar 17, 2023 31   Michigan St. L 68-69 45%    
Projected Record 22 - 11 13 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 87.4% 87.4% 9.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 9.0 26.7 34.0 16.4 0.1 12.6 87.4%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 87.4% 0.0% 87.4% 9.6 0.0 0.1 1.1 9.0 26.7 34.0 16.4 0.1 12.6 87.4%