Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
90 Furman 100.0%   14   24 - 7 15 - 3 24 - 8 15 - 3 +5.8      +6.3 33 -0.5 190 70.2 123 +5.6 96 +6.6 2
119 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   18 - 12 14 - 4 18 - 12 14 - 4 +3.0      -1.4 224 +4.4 61 65.1 267 +1.4 142 +4.9 3
136 Samford 0.0%   18 - 10 15 - 3 18 - 10 15 - 3 +1.9      +3.1 96 -1.2 211 69.6 141 +1.8 136 +7.3 1
177 Chattanooga 0.0%   15 - 17 7 - 11 15 - 17 7 - 11 -0.7      +2.2 112 -2.9 266 69.5 145 -2.3 214 -5.7 7
223 Wofford 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 10 14 - 16 8 - 10 -3.0      +2.6 104 -5.6 332 63.7 298 -2.6 217 -3.9 6
226 Mercer 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 12 12 - 19 6 - 12 -3.1      -3.4 279 +0.4 162 62.8 317 -4.9 256 -7.1 8
237 Western Carolina 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 8 15 - 15 10 - 8 -3.8      -1.4 220 -2.4 254 68.7 165 -2.2 212 -0.8 4
241 East Tennessee St. 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 10 10 - 20 8 - 10 -4.1      -2.6 254 -1.5 217 65.2 264 -7.2 291 -3.8 5
324 The Citadel 0.0%   9 - 22 5 - 13 9 - 22 5 - 13 -9.2      -4.5 301 -4.7 313 68.1 175 -8.3 308 -7.9 9
350 VMI 0.0%   4 - 25 2 - 16 4 - 25 2 - 16 -12.5      -3.9 286 -8.6 360 67.3 194 -12.6 348 -14.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Furman 1.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 3.0 100.0
Samford 1.0 100.0
Chattanooga 7.0 100.0
Wofford 5.0 100.0
Mercer 8.0 100.0
Western Carolina 4.0 100.0
East Tennessee St. 5.0 100.0
The Citadel 9.0 100.0
VMI 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Furman 15 - 3 100.0
UNC Greensboro 14 - 4 100.0
Samford 15 - 3 100.0
Chattanooga 7 - 11 100.0
Wofford 8 - 10 100.0
Mercer 6 - 12 100.0
Western Carolina 10 - 8 100.0
East Tennessee St. 8 - 10 100.0
The Citadel 5 - 13 100.0
VMI 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Furman 100.0% 100.0
UNC Greensboro
Samford 100.0% 100.0
Chattanooga
Wofford
Mercer
Western Carolina
East Tennessee St.
The Citadel
VMI


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Furman 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.9 37.4 49.8 11.9
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Furman 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 18.1% 5.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercer 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 18.1% 0.2 81.9 18.1
Sweet Sixteen 5.1% 0.1 94.9 5.1
Elite Eight 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0