Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#119
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#142
Pace65.1#267
Improvement+2.1#30

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#224
First Shot-1.6#237
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#169
Layup/Dunks-0.9#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#150
Freethrows+0.3#149
Improvement+2.2#24

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+3.4#72
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#79
Layups/Dunks+3.5#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#223
Freethrows+1.2#85
Improvement-0.1#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 36 - 67 - 9
Quad 411 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 37   @ Miami (FL) L 65-79 15%     0 - 1 +0.3 -1.2 +0.8
  Nov 17, 2022 134   Towson L 53-56 65%     0 - 2 -4.0 -13.1 +8.7
  Nov 22, 2022 246   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-72 84%     1 - 2 -3.5 +3.8 -7.0
  Nov 25, 2022 117   Montana St. W 77-66 50%     2 - 2 +14.0 +6.2 +7.7
  Nov 26, 2022 93   Hofstra L 53-65 41%     2 - 3 -6.7 -16.6 +9.5
  Nov 27, 2022 144   Stephen F. Austin L 58-75 56%     2 - 4 -15.6 -12.3 -3.6
  Nov 30, 2022 316   @ N.C. A&T L 56-73 80%     2 - 5 -22.7 -18.8 -4.2
  Dec 03, 2022 334   @ Elon W 65-61 84%     3 - 5 -3.7 -9.5 +5.9
  Dec 06, 2022 17   @ Arkansas L 58-65 11%     3 - 6 +9.2 -8.2 +17.8
  Dec 13, 2022 83   Marshall W 75-67 47%     4 - 6 +11.9 +4.4 +7.6
  Dec 22, 2022 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 64-68 52%     4 - 7 -1.6 -8.2 +6.7
  Dec 29, 2022 237   @ Western Carolina W 72-47 65%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +24.2 +1.0 +24.1
  Dec 31, 2022 223   @ Wofford W 73-64 61%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +9.0 -4.3 +13.2
  Jan 04, 2023 177   Chattanooga W 73-61 74%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +8.4 -1.6 +10.4
  Jan 07, 2023 136   Samford L 68-70 65%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -3.1 -0.6 -2.7
  Jan 11, 2023 350   @ VMI W 72-57 88%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +5.4 +0.2 +7.0
  Jan 14, 2023 90   @ Furman W 88-80 OT 29%     9 - 8 5 - 1 +16.8 +8.8 +7.4
  Jan 19, 2023 324   The Citadel W 70-60 91%     10 - 8 6 - 1 -2.2 -6.2 +4.5
  Jan 21, 2023 226   Mercer W 59-48 80%     11 - 8 7 - 1 +5.0 -5.8 +12.4
  Jan 25, 2023 350   VMI W 62-50 95%     12 - 8 8 - 1 -3.5 -16.8 +14.1
  Jan 29, 2023 90   Furman L 57-69 51%     12 - 9 8 - 2 -9.1 -11.9 +1.5
  Feb 02, 2023 226   @ Mercer W 69-49 62%     13 - 9 9 - 2 +19.9 +4.8 +17.0
  Feb 04, 2023 324   @ The Citadel W 79-59 81%     14 - 9 10 - 2 +13.8 +11.3 +4.6
  Feb 07, 2023 241   East Tennessee St. W 91-65 83%     15 - 9 11 - 2 +19.0 +15.5 +3.5
  Feb 12, 2023 223   Wofford W 97-89 OT 80%     16 - 9 12 - 2 +2.1 +8.3 -6.9
  Feb 15, 2023 136   @ Samford L 71-83 43%     16 - 10 12 - 3 -7.1 -3.0 -3.9
  Feb 18, 2023 177   @ Chattanooga W 93-76 53%     17 - 10 13 - 3 +19.3 +18.2 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2023 237   Western Carolina W 71-52 82%     18 - 10 14 - 3 +12.2 +1.4 +12.8
  Feb 25, 2023 241   @ East Tennessee St. L 62-63 65%     18 - 11 14 - 4 -2.1 -3.2 +1.0
  Mar 04, 2023 223   Wofford L 66-67 72%     18 - 12 -4.0 +0.7 -4.8
Projected Record 18 - 12 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%