Pre-tourney Rankings
Sun Belt
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
83 Marshall 0.0%   23 - 8 13 - 5 23 - 8 13 - 5 +6.9      +4.4 67 +2.5 96 78.7 11 +4.9 102 +4.5 3
98 James Madison 0.0%   19 - 11 12 - 6 19 - 11 12 - 6 +4.8      +1.3 143 +3.5 78 75.1 30 +3.0 126 +4.0 4
101 Louisiana 100.0%   13   23 - 7 13 - 5 23 - 8 13 - 5 +4.7      +4.2 71 +0.6 156 70.4 120 +7.6 72 +5.5 2
107 Southern Miss 0.0%   22 - 7 14 - 4 22 - 7 14 - 4 +4.1      +1.6 129 +2.5 97 70.1 127 +7.3 76 +7.7 1
110 South Alabama 0.0%   17 - 16 9 - 9 17 - 16 9 - 9 +4.0      +1.4 139 +2.6 94 65.0 268 +0.9 152 -1.0 9
135 Troy 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 17 - 13 11 - 7 +2.0      -0.3 181 +2.3 102 68.8 160 +1.5 139 +2.8 6
167 Old Dominion 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 18 - 12 11 - 7 -0.1      -1.1 209 +1.1 139 63.3 308 +2.5 132 +3.0 5
180 Appalachian St. 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 9 13 - 16 9 - 9 -0.7      -2.8 261 +2.0 107 63.4 302 -1.7 196 -0.6 8
197 Texas St. 0.0%   14 - 18 6 - 12 14 - 18 6 - 12 -1.4      -0.5 187 -0.9 200 61.0 339 -1.4 190 -4.0 11
211 Georgia Southern 0.0%   14 - 16 9 - 9 14 - 16 9 - 9 -2.0      -3.2 273 +1.2 133 66.7 212 -1.9 203 -0.2 7
268 Georgia St. 0.0%   7 - 21 3 - 15 7 - 21 3 - 15 -5.7      -4.7 309 -1.0 205 67.6 186 -7.6 298 -9.4 14
282 Louisiana Monroe 0.0%   8 - 21 7 - 11 8 - 21 7 - 11 -6.4      -4.8 310 -1.6 226 65.6 246 -6.6 278 -2.3 10
284 Arkansas St. 0.0%   10 - 20 4 - 14 10 - 20 4 - 14 -6.4      -3.3 275 -3.2 272 60.6 344 -7.1 288 -7.5 13
290 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 13 8 - 20 5 - 13 -6.7      -0.5 186 -6.3 342 69.6 140 -6.5 276 -5.7 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Marshall 2.0 100.0
James Madison 4.0 100.0
Louisiana 2.0 100.0
Southern Miss 1.0 100.0
South Alabama 7.0 100.0
Troy 5.0 100.0
Old Dominion 5.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 7.0 100.0
Texas St. 11.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 7.0 100.0
Georgia St. 14.0 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 10.0 100.0
Arkansas St. 13.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Marshall 13 - 5 100.0
James Madison 12 - 6 100.0
Louisiana 13 - 5 100.0
Southern Miss 14 - 4 100.0
South Alabama 9 - 9 100.0
Troy 11 - 7 100.0
Old Dominion 11 - 7 100.0
Appalachian St. 9 - 9 100.0
Texas St. 6 - 12 100.0
Georgia Southern 9 - 9 100.0
Georgia St. 3 - 15 100.0
Louisiana Monroe 7 - 11 100.0
Arkansas St. 4 - 14 100.0
Coastal Carolina 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Marshall
James Madison
Louisiana
Southern Miss 100.0% 100.0
South Alabama
Troy
Old Dominion
Appalachian St.
Texas St.
Georgia Southern
Georgia St.
Louisiana Monroe
Arkansas St.
Coastal Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   2.6 52.5 40.4 4.5
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Marshall 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 16.2% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Miss 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Old Dominion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Louisiana Monroe 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 16.2% 0.2 83.8 16.2
Sweet Sixteen 4.0% 0.0 96.0 4.0
Elite Eight 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0