Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#110
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#152
Pace65.0#268
Improvement+3.1#8

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#139
First Shot+2.5#98
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#263
Layup/Dunks+6.0#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#155
Freethrows-3.3#361
Improvement+2.2#25

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#94
First Shot+2.6#91
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#179
Layups/Dunks-2.5#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#6
Freethrows+0.7#130
Improvement+0.9#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 42 - 9
Quad 35 - 47 - 13
Quad 410 - 317 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 57   @ New Mexico L 74-80 22%     0 - 1 +6.1 +1.6 +4.7
  Nov 15, 2022 1   Alabama L 55-65 12%     0 - 2 +6.7 -10.6 +17.8
  Nov 18, 2022 53   @ Oklahoma L 60-64 21%     0 - 3 +8.5 -1.0 +9.1
  Nov 25, 2022 348   Evansville W 78-67 93%     1 - 3 -1.2 +6.0 -6.7
  Nov 26, 2022 134   Towson L 60-62 58%     1 - 4 +0.0 -10.4 +10.3
  Nov 27, 2022 240   Robert Morris W 84-70 78%     2 - 4 +10.0 +16.3 -5.5
  Nov 30, 2022 33   @ Florida Atlantic L 59-84 16%     2 - 5 -10.4 -5.9 -5.0
  Dec 04, 2022 64   @ UAB L 68-76 24%     2 - 6 +3.6 -3.3 +7.3
  Dec 12, 2022 317   @ Alabama A&M W 78-71 82%     3 - 6 +1.2 +6.4 -5.1
  Dec 21, 2022 233   Jacksonville St. W 71-66 84%     4 - 6 -1.5 +4.5 -5.4
  Dec 29, 2022 211   @ Georgia Southern L 50-64 62%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -13.0 -17.3 +3.5
  Dec 31, 2022 268   @ Georgia St. L 58-68 74%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -12.8 -11.0 -2.4
  Jan 05, 2023 284   Arkansas St. W 63-45 89%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +8.6 -5.6 +16.7
  Jan 07, 2023 197   Texas St. L 58-64 79%     5 - 9 1 - 3 -10.3 -10.6 -0.4
  Jan 12, 2023 98   James Madison W 63-62 59%     6 - 9 2 - 3 +2.8 -6.6 +9.4
  Jan 14, 2023 101   Louisiana L 76-79 59%     6 - 10 2 - 4 -1.2 +2.6 -3.8
  Jan 19, 2023 107   @ Southern Miss L 72-76 38%     6 - 11 2 - 5 +3.1 +2.2 +1.0
  Jan 21, 2023 290   @ Coastal Carolina L 81-85 OT 77%     6 - 12 2 - 6 -7.8 -0.7 -6.9
  Jan 26, 2023 167   Old Dominion L 64-66 75%     6 - 13 2 - 7 -5.1 -8.0 +2.9
  Jan 28, 2023 135   Troy W 77-60 69%     7 - 13 3 - 7 +16.0 +14.8 +3.4
  Feb 02, 2023 284   @ Arkansas St. W 82-62 76%     8 - 13 4 - 7 +16.5 +14.2 +4.0
  Feb 04, 2023 282   @ Louisiana Monroe W 72-64 76%     9 - 13 5 - 7 +4.6 +1.2 +3.6
  Feb 09, 2023 135   @ Troy L 57-61 46%     9 - 14 5 - 8 +1.0 -12.9 +14.0
  Feb 11, 2023 180   Appalachian St. W 74-57 77%     10 - 14 6 - 8 +13.3 +12.0 +3.6
  Feb 13, 2023 362   Hartford W 77-53 98%     11 - 14 +1.7 +3.1 +1.6
  Feb 16, 2023 107   Southern Miss W 85-54 61%     12 - 14 7 - 8 +32.1 +18.0 +15.9
  Feb 18, 2023 282   Louisiana Monroe W 81-45 89%     13 - 14 8 - 8 +26.6 +23.6 +11.2
  Feb 22, 2023 197   @ Texas St. W 76-67 59%     14 - 14 9 - 8 +10.6 +13.5 -1.8
  Feb 24, 2023 101   @ Louisiana L 64-74 36%     14 - 15 9 - 9 -2.3 -3.5 +0.7
  Mar 02, 2023 180   Appalachian St. W 68-61 68%     15 - 15 +6.3 +4.4 +2.6
  Mar 04, 2023 107   Southern Miss W 78-61 50%     16 - 15 +21.1 +10.3 +11.3
  Mar 05, 2023 98   James Madison W 75-66 47%     17 - 15 +13.8 +11.1 +3.3
  Mar 06, 2023 101   Louisiana L 66-71 47%     17 - 16 -0.3 -0.6 -0.1
Projected Record 17 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%