Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
81 Sam Houston St. 0.5%   21 - 7 14 - 4 21 - 7 14 - 4 +7.2      +0.6 154 +6.6 30 62.7 319 +8.5 62 +7.4 2
82 Utah Valley 0.5%   22 - 8 15 - 3 22 - 8 15 - 3 +7.1      +1.4 141 +5.7 40 73.1 50 +8.1 66 +9.5 1
113 Grand Canyon 100.0%   14   21 - 11 10 - 7 21 - 12 10 - 7 +3.8      +4.8 59 -1.0 207 63.7 299 +4.7 107 +2.6 6
115 Southern Utah 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 6 18 - 12 12 - 6 +3.5      +3.5 86 -0.1 175 77.2 16 +4.5 108 +5.4 3
144 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   16 - 13 11 - 7 16 - 13 11 - 7 +1.4      -0.1 174 +1.5 122 71.9 77 +1.2 146 +3.4 5
153 Seattle 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 18 - 12 11 - 7 +1.1      -2.2 245 +3.2 83 71.8 87 +3.5 118 +3.7 4
158 Utah Tech 0.0%   11 - 19 5 - 13 11 - 19 5 - 13 +0.3      +1.1 148 -0.8 197 71.0 107 -2.1 205 -4.4 12
161 California Baptist 0.0%   15 - 16 7 - 10 15 - 16 7 - 10 +0.2      -1.3 217 +1.5 121 62.4 323 -0.9 183 -0.7 8
164 Tarleton St. 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 9 13 - 16 8 - 9 +0.1      -1.3 218 +1.4 125 66.4 220 +0.9 150 +0.3 7
184 New Mexico St. 0.0%   6 - 15 2 - 10 6 - 15 2 - 10 -0.8      0.0 172 -0.8 198 71.5 97 -3.3 230 -7.4 13
204 Abilene Christian 0.0%   9 - 17 5 - 11 9 - 17 5 - 11 -1.8      +0.1 170 -1.9 233 71.9 80 -2.8 220 -2.6 9
242 Texas Arlington 0.0%   8 - 21 6 - 12 8 - 21 6 - 12 -4.1      -3.6 281 -0.5 192 65.1 265 -3.6 234 -2.6 10
254 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   11 - 17 5 - 12 11 - 17 5 - 12 -5.1      -1.1 207 -4.0 297 79.5 6 -3.3 231 -4.1 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Sam Houston St. 2.0 100.0
Utah Valley 1.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 6.0 100.0
Southern Utah 3.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 4.0 100.0
Seattle 4.0 100.0
Utah Tech 10.0 100.0
California Baptist 8.0 100.0
Tarleton St. 7.0 100.0
New Mexico St. 13.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 10.0 100.0
Texas Arlington 9.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Sam Houston St. 14 - 4 100.0
Utah Valley 15 - 3 100.0
Grand Canyon 10 - 8 100.0
Southern Utah 12 - 6 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 11 - 7 100.0
Seattle 11 - 7 100.0
Utah Tech 5 - 13 100.0
California Baptist 7 - 11 100.0
Tarleton St. 8 - 10 100.0
New Mexico St. 2 - 16 100.0
Abilene Christian 5 - 13 100.0
Texas Arlington 6 - 12 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Sam Houston St.
Utah Valley 100.0% 100.0
Grand Canyon
Southern Utah
Stephen F. Austin
Seattle
Utah Tech
California Baptist
Tarleton St.
New Mexico St.
Abilene Christian
Texas Arlington
UT Rio Grande Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Sam Houston St. 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.0 99.5 0.5%
Utah Valley 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.2 0.3 0.0 99.5 0.5%
Grand Canyon 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.8 39.9 48.9 10.4 0.0
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Sam Houston St. 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 13.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Utah 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Arlington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.0 1.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.6 0.4
2nd Round 13.6% 0.1 86.4 13.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 3.0% 0.0 97.0 3.0
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0