Pre-tourney Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#161
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#183
Pace62.4#323
Improvement-0.2#206

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#217
First Shot-1.4#232
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#177
Layup/Dunks+0.1#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#70
Freethrows-1.6#311
Improvement+0.3#139

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#121
First Shot+0.2#162
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#57
Layups/Dunks-1.4#246
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#50
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement-0.5#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 36 - 47 - 10
Quad 48 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 162   Long Beach St. L 64-79 62%     0 - 1 -17.8 -10.5 -7.3
  Nov 11, 2022 328   NJIT W 59-43 88%     1 - 1 +3.2 -4.2 +11.6
  Nov 15, 2022 321   Cal St. Northridge W 62-55 87%     2 - 1 -5.0 -10.9 +6.3
  Nov 17, 2022 100   @ Washington W 73-64 24%     3 - 1 +16.7 +8.4 +8.6
  Nov 21, 2022 183   Minnesota L 61-62 OT 54%     3 - 2 -1.8 -9.6 +7.8
  Nov 23, 2022 137   Southern Illinois L 61-64 OT 44%     3 - 3 -1.1 -3.8 +2.5
  Nov 26, 2022 329   Central Michigan W 77-61 88%     4 - 3 +3.2 +3.1 +0.5
  Nov 30, 2022 146   UC Riverside W 65-60 57%     5 - 3 +3.4 -5.7 +9.4
  Dec 03, 2022 278   @ Cal Poly L 53-64 63%     5 - 4 -14.3 -10.8 -5.0
  Dec 07, 2022 198   Weber St. W 64-52 67%     6 - 4 +7.6 +1.8 +7.7
  Dec 10, 2022 221   @ San Diego W 76-73 51%     7 - 4 +3.1 +0.6 +2.5
  Dec 22, 2022 245   Portland St. L 72-74 77%     7 - 5 -9.5 -9.4 +0.0
  Dec 29, 2022 113   @ Grand Canyon L 59-73 27%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -7.2 -11.9 +4.3
  Dec 31, 2022 153   @ Seattle L 65-71 36%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -2.0 -3.0 +1.0
  Jan 05, 2023 158   Utah Tech W 72-58 61%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +11.3 -3.5 +14.8
  Jan 07, 2023 184   @ New Mexico St. W 70-61 43%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +11.1 +6.2 +6.0
  Jan 11, 2023 82   Utah Valley L 67-71 35%     9 - 8 2 - 3 +0.1 +2.5 -2.7
  Jan 14, 2023 113   Grand Canyon W 79-74 48%     10 - 8 3 - 3 +5.8 +10.3 -4.1
  Jan 21, 2023 164   Tarleton St. W 77-48 62%     11 - 8 4 - 3 +26.1 +23.1 +10.1
  Jan 25, 2023 242   @ Texas Arlington W 74-66 55%     12 - 8 5 - 3 +6.8 +7.3 +0.1
  Jan 28, 2023 254   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-64 59%     12 - 9 5 - 4 -8.1 -16.8 +8.6
  Feb 01, 2023 115   Southern Utah L 71-72 49%     12 - 10 5 - 5 -0.5 -1.7 +1.2
  Feb 04, 2023 204   Abilene Christian L 71-87 69%     12 - 11 5 - 6 -20.7 -0.2 -21.7
  Feb 08, 2023 82   @ Utah Valley L 55-71 18%     12 - 12 5 - 7 -6.0 -4.6 -3.1
  Feb 15, 2023 153   Seattle W 84-63 58%     13 - 12 6 - 7 +19.1 +16.5 +3.4
  Feb 23, 2023 81   @ Sam Houston St. L 45-56 17%     13 - 13 6 - 8 -0.8 -11.2 +8.3
  Feb 26, 2023 144   @ Stephen F. Austin L 58-80 34%     13 - 14 6 - 9 -17.6 -6.7 -12.9
  Mar 01, 2023 254   UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-70 79%     14 - 14 7 - 9 +9.9 +5.1 +3.9
  Mar 03, 2023 115   @ Southern Utah L 71-81 28%     14 - 15 7 - 10 -3.6 +3.0 -7.1
  Mar 07, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 69-62 58%     15 - 15 +5.2 -7.2 +12.2
  Mar 09, 2023 81   Sam Houston St. L 51-64 25%     15 - 16 -5.8 -10.9 +4.0
Projected Record 15 - 16 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%