Pre-tourney Rankings
Boise St.
Mountain West
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#38
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#34
Pace66.2#225
Improvement-0.5#234

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#89
First Shot+2.7#93
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#119
Layup/Dunks+3.4#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
Freethrows+0.4#143
Improvement+1.8#34

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#20
First Shot+6.0#33
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#39
Layups/Dunks+0.9#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#83
Freethrows+2.4#29
Improvement-2.4#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 3.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round96.8% n/a n/a
Second Round46.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 13 - 5
Quad 29 - 212 - 7
Quad 36 - 218 - 9
Quad 45 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 181   South Dakota St. L 66-68 91%     0 - 1 -5.7 -11.1 +5.5
  Nov 12, 2022 62   Washington St. W 71-61 59%     1 - 1 +18.6 +0.8 +17.6
  Nov 17, 2022 118   Charlotte L 42-54 78%     1 - 2 -9.0 -24.9 +14.6
  Nov 18, 2022 238   Loyola Chicago W 70-48 91%     2 - 2 +18.1 +0.0 +19.7
  Nov 20, 2022 59   Colorado W 68-55 58%     3 - 2 +22.0 +4.7 +17.7
  Nov 26, 2022 82   Utah Valley W 87-69 75%     4 - 2 +22.1 +20.3 +2.2
  Nov 29, 2022 321   Cal St. Northridge W 55-46 97%     5 - 2 -3.0 -13.4 +11.8
  Dec 03, 2022 27   Texas A&M W 86-71 44%     6 - 2 +27.5 +22.2 +5.8
  Dec 10, 2022 92   @ Saint Louis W 57-52 60%     7 - 2 +13.4 -11.7 +25.3
  Dec 13, 2022 337   New Orleans W 91-50 98%     8 - 2 +27.0 +8.4 +17.6
  Dec 18, 2022 273   Oakland W 77-57 96%     9 - 2 +11.0 -2.1 +13.2
  Dec 22, 2022 85   @ Santa Clara L 58-73 55%     9 - 3 -5.2 -7.7 +1.7
  Dec 28, 2022 56   @ Nevada L 72-74 46%     9 - 4 0 - 1 +10.1 +6.9 +3.1
  Jan 03, 2023 96   San Jose St. W 67-64 81%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +4.9 -1.3 +6.3
  Jan 07, 2023 28   Utah St. W 82-59 57%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +32.4 +12.3 +20.3
  Jan 11, 2023 91   @ UNLV W 84-66 60%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +26.6 +18.3 +8.6
  Jan 14, 2023 150   @ Wyoming W 85-68 75%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +21.2 +10.4 +10.3
  Jan 17, 2023 56   Nevada W 77-62 68%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +21.1 +15.3 +7.4
  Jan 20, 2023 57   @ New Mexico L 79-81 OT 46%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +10.1 -0.1 +10.5
  Jan 24, 2023 132   Fresno St. W 63-53 87%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +9.1 -6.8 +16.0
  Jan 28, 2023 105   Colorado St. W 80-59 82%     16 - 5 7 - 2 +22.4 +16.2 +9.0
  Jan 31, 2023 152   @ Air Force W 59-52 75%     17 - 5 8 - 2 +11.0 +0.0 +12.4
  Feb 03, 2023 20   @ San Diego St. L 52-72 31%     17 - 6 8 - 3 -3.9 -8.0 +3.1
  Feb 11, 2023 150   Wyoming W 75-63 88%     18 - 6 9 - 3 +10.2 +7.1 +4.3
  Feb 15, 2023 105   @ Colorado St. W 80-78 64%     19 - 6 10 - 3 +9.4 +16.6 -7.1
  Feb 19, 2023 91   UNLV W 73-69 79%     20 - 6 11 - 3 +6.7 +5.1 +1.7
  Feb 22, 2023 57   New Mexico W 82-77 68%     21 - 6 12 - 3 +11.1 +0.1 +10.4
  Feb 25, 2023 96   @ San Jose St. L 68-74 OT 63%     21 - 7 12 - 4 +1.8 -2.8 +4.7
  Feb 28, 2023 20   San Diego St. W 66-60 54%     22 - 7 13 - 4 +16.2 +12.0 +5.2
  Mar 04, 2023 28   @ Utah St. L 73-86 34%     22 - 8 13 - 5 +2.3 +9.9 -8.4
  Mar 09, 2023 91   @ UNLV W 87-76 OT 60%     23 - 8 +19.6 +18.0 +1.4
  Mar 10, 2023 28   Utah St. L 62-72 45%     23 - 9 +2.4 -7.7 +10.2
  Mar 16, 2023 43   Northwestern W 63-62 52%    
Projected Record 24 - 9 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 96.9% 96.9% 8.4 0.3 3.0 14.1 35.1 33.1 10.5 0.9 3.1 96.9%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 96.9% 0.0% 96.9% 8.4 0.3 3.0 14.1 35.1 33.1 10.5 0.9 3.1 96.9%