Pre-tourney Rankings
Bellarmine
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#223
Pace58.5#356
Improvement-0.2#208

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#225
First Shot+1.3#133
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#347
Layup/Dunks-1.5#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#100
Freethrows-0.9#250
Improvement-0.5#238

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#293
First Shot-3.7#303
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#178
Layups/Dunks+2.9#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#360
Freethrows-0.5#232
Improvement+0.2#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 20 - 8
Quad 33 - 63 - 14
Quad 49 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 261   @ Louisville W 67-66 39%     1 - 0 -1.3 +1.6 -2.8
  Nov 12, 2022 252   @ Morehead St. L 55-62 38%     1 - 1 -9.0 -11.7 +1.9
  Nov 18, 2022 50   @ Clemson L 66-76 6%     1 - 2 +2.6 +7.7 -6.3
  Nov 21, 2022 19   @ Duke L 57-74 3%     1 - 3 -0.9 +5.5 -10.0
  Nov 25, 2022 111   @ Loyola Marymount L 59-80 13%     1 - 4 -14.1 -7.7 -7.7
  Nov 27, 2022 3   @ UCLA L 60-81 2%     1 - 5 +0.6 +3.6 -4.1
  Nov 29, 2022 26   @ Kentucky L 41-60 4%     1 - 6 -3.5 -18.2 +11.0
  Dec 10, 2022 217   Murray St. W 69-58 51%     2 - 6 +5.6 -0.5 +7.4
  Dec 17, 2022 270   Miami (OH) L 67-71 64%     2 - 7 -12.7 -7.2 -5.8
  Dec 21, 2022 348   @ Evansville L 61-73 66%     2 - 8 -21.3 -9.0 -13.0
  Dec 29, 2022 69   Liberty L 53-70 16%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -11.7 -5.8 -9.6
  Jan 02, 2023 258   @ North Alabama W 69-65 39%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +1.7 +4.1 -1.7
  Jan 05, 2023 214   Queens L 74-75 50%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -6.1 +1.6 -7.8
  Jan 07, 2023 233   @ Jacksonville St. W 75-62 33%     4 - 10 2 - 2 +12.4 +13.5 +0.9
  Jan 12, 2023 174   Stetson L 51-80 43%     4 - 11 2 - 3 -32.5 -18.0 -20.7
  Jan 14, 2023 190   Florida Gulf Coast W 61-41 45%     5 - 11 3 - 3 +16.1 -5.1 +24.1
  Jan 19, 2023 323   @ Austin Peay W 56-45 54%     6 - 11 4 - 3 +4.8 -5.3 +12.8
  Jan 21, 2023 159   @ Lipscomb L 49-69 21%     6 - 12 4 - 4 -16.8 -20.6 +3.3
  Jan 26, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky W 72-71 44%     7 - 12 5 - 4 -2.6 +11.2 -13.6
  Jan 28, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 63-73 24%     7 - 13 5 - 5 -7.6 +1.2 -10.2
  Feb 02, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. L 84-90 2OT 34%     7 - 14 5 - 6 -6.9 -0.3 -5.9
  Feb 04, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. W 71-64 55%     8 - 14 6 - 6 +0.5 -2.4 +3.1
  Feb 09, 2023 69   @ Liberty L 50-70 7%     8 - 15 6 - 7 -8.7 -9.5 -2.4
  Feb 11, 2023 214   @ Queens W 88-84 28%     9 - 15 7 - 7 +4.8 +11.8 -7.0
  Feb 16, 2023 258   North Alabama L 57-70 62%     9 - 16 7 - 8 -21.2 -17.4 -4.9
  Feb 19, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 68-67 80%     10 - 16 8 - 8 -12.9 -10.4 -2.5
  Feb 22, 2023 230   @ Jacksonville W 63-61 32%     11 - 16 9 - 8 +1.6 +10.6 -8.4
  Feb 24, 2023 234   @ North Florida L 67-79 33%     11 - 17 9 - 9 -12.7 -3.8 -10.1
  Feb 27, 2023 234   North Florida W 76-74 44%     12 - 17 -1.7 +2.9 -4.4
  Feb 28, 2023 69   @ Liberty L 56-76 7%     12 - 18 -8.7 -3.5 -8.1
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%