Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#190
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#194
Pace66.2#224
Improvement-3.9#363

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#178
First Shot+0.4#165
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks-1.8#259
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#12
Freethrows-0.6#229
Improvement-2.6#358

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#196
First Shot-0.8#201
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#176
Layups/Dunks-1.4#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#188
Freethrows+0.4#147
Improvement-1.2#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 20 - 01 - 3
Quad 36 - 77 - 10
Quad 49 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 42   @ USC W 74-61 9%     1 - 0 +26.7 +6.6 +19.9
  Nov 09, 2022 221   @ San Diego L 73-79 46%     1 - 1 -5.9 -6.7 +0.9
  Nov 16, 2022 6   @ Tennessee L 50-81 4%     1 - 2 -11.1 -5.8 -7.7
  Nov 21, 2022 172   Northern Kentucky W 82-61 48%     2 - 2 +20.7 +12.5 +8.7
  Nov 22, 2022 201   Drexel W 67-59 52%     3 - 2 +6.5 +0.6 +6.5
  Nov 23, 2022 309   UMKC W 73-59 75%     4 - 2 +5.9 +10.2 -2.0
  Nov 30, 2022 211   @ Georgia Southern W 70-53 42%     5 - 2 +18.0 +9.4 +10.9
  Dec 04, 2022 219   Florida International W 74-65 67%     6 - 2 +3.6 -1.1 +4.7
  Dec 07, 2022 33   @ Florida Atlantic L 53-85 8%     6 - 3 -17.4 -5.3 -16.7
  Dec 10, 2022 226   Mercer W 67-62 69%     7 - 3 -1.0 -4.3 +3.5
  Dec 16, 2022 182   @ St. Bonaventure W 71-58 38%     8 - 3 +15.2 +9.2 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2022 249   Canisius W 84-81 74%     9 - 3 -4.8 +11.8 -16.4
  Dec 31, 2022 230   Jacksonville W 72-65 70%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +0.6 +9.4 -7.6
  Jan 02, 2023 336   @ Central Arkansas W 84-79 OT 75%     11 - 3 2 - 0 -3.0 -8.1 +4.2
  Jan 05, 2023 323   @ Austin Peay L 59-61 69%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -8.2 -11.8 +3.4
  Jan 07, 2023 234   North Florida W 82-57 71%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +18.3 -2.0 +19.4
  Jan 12, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-97 37%     12 - 5 3 - 2 -18.6 +2.9 -20.9
  Jan 14, 2023 256   @ Bellarmine L 41-61 55%     12 - 6 3 - 3 -22.2 -28.0 +2.9
  Jan 19, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. W 55-51 70%     13 - 6 4 - 3 -2.5 -15.3 +13.2
  Jan 21, 2023 131   Kennesaw St. L 63-65 50%     13 - 7 4 - 4 -2.9 +2.4 -5.7
  Jan 26, 2023 214   @ Queens L 82-84 43%     13 - 8 4 - 5 -1.2 +8.4 -9.6
  Jan 28, 2023 69   @ Liberty L 57-74 13%     13 - 9 4 - 6 -5.7 -2.5 -5.6
  Feb 02, 2023 336   Central Arkansas L 87-91 88%     13 - 10 4 - 7 -17.9 +2.7 -20.4
  Feb 04, 2023 258   North Alabama L 85-87 OT 76%     13 - 11 4 - 8 -10.2 +6.1 -16.4
  Feb 09, 2023 234   @ North Florida W 68-66 49%     14 - 11 5 - 8 +1.3 -0.8 +2.4
  Feb 11, 2023 230   @ Jacksonville W 62-51 48%     15 - 11 6 - 8 +10.6 +1.4 +11.1
  Feb 15, 2023 174   @ Stetson L 72-75 37%     15 - 12 6 - 9 -0.5 -4.1 +3.5
  Feb 18, 2023 174   Stetson L 84-88 60%     15 - 13 6 - 10 -7.5 +8.5 -16.2
  Feb 22, 2023 159   Lipscomb L 64-73 57%     15 - 14 6 - 11 -11.7 -12.7 +1.4
  Feb 24, 2023 323   Austin Peay W 89-71 85%     16 - 14 7 - 11 +5.8 +11.8 -5.8
  Feb 27, 2023 214   Queens L 55-61 55%     16 - 15 -8.1 -21.8 +13.7
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%