Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#123
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#121
Pace70.8#112
Improvement+1.6#63

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#76
First Shot+5.1#43
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#262
Layup/Dunks+1.4#115
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#16
Freethrows-2.6#347
Improvement+1.4#48

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#214
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#247
Layups/Dunks-2.3#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#87
Freethrows+0.9#110
Improvement+0.2#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 42 - 5
Quad 37 - 59 - 10
Quad 411 - 120 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 129   Ohio W 70-69 64%     1 - 0 +0.2 -5.6 +5.8
  Nov 11, 2022 90   @ Furman L 74-89 28%     1 - 1 -6.2 +0.0 -5.8
  Nov 14, 2022 159   @ Lipscomb L 75-77 48%     1 - 2 +1.2 +2.0 -0.7
  Nov 18, 2022 164   Tarleton St. L 81-89 60%     1 - 3 -7.9 +3.5 -10.9
  Nov 19, 2022 141   George Mason W 66-62 55%     2 - 3 +5.6 +1.3 +4.6
  Nov 21, 2022 228   Howard W 96-73 71%     3 - 3 +19.9 +15.6 +2.9
  Nov 27, 2022 268   @ Georgia St. W 68-66 70%     4 - 3 -0.8 -0.6 +0.0
  Dec 01, 2022 280   Valparaiso W 76-64 87%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +2.7 +3.2 +0.0
  Dec 04, 2022 267   @ Illinois St. L 77-87 70%     5 - 4 1 - 1 -12.8 +1.6 -14.2
  Dec 10, 2022 122   Middle Tennessee L 75-85 OT 61%     5 - 5 -10.2 -5.2 -3.9
  Dec 18, 2022 177   @ Chattanooga W 83-79 OT 52%     6 - 5 +6.3 +6.5 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2022 136   Samford W 79-56 65%     7 - 5 +21.9 +13.5 +11.3
  Dec 28, 2022 87   Bradley W 63-60 48%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +6.3 -0.9 +7.5
  Jan 01, 2023 137   @ Southern Illinois L 45-63 42%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -13.2 -18.2 +3.7
  Jan 04, 2023 288   @ Illinois-Chicago W 77-71 73%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +2.4 -6.1 +7.7
  Jan 07, 2023 151   Missouri St. W 74-61 67%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +11.2 +9.7 +2.9
  Jan 10, 2023 280   @ Valparaiso W 74-59 72%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +11.6 +1.4 +10.4
  Jan 14, 2023 203   Northern Iowa W 76-72 76%     12 - 6 6 - 2 -0.7 +6.2 -6.6
  Jan 17, 2023 217   Murray St. W 80-65 78%     13 - 6 7 - 2 +9.6 +9.8 +1.2
  Jan 21, 2023 87   @ Bradley W 78-76 27%     14 - 6 8 - 2 +11.3 +13.2 -1.9
  Jan 25, 2023 348   @ Evansville W 73-64 87%     15 - 6 9 - 2 -0.3 -1.2 +0.9
  Jan 29, 2023 73   Drake L 61-79 42%     15 - 7 9 - 3 -13.1 -6.8 -6.8
  Feb 01, 2023 217   @ Murray St. L 82-83 58%     15 - 8 9 - 4 -0.4 +6.1 -6.5
  Feb 04, 2023 267   Illinois St. W 90-75 86%     16 - 8 10 - 4 +6.3 +21.3 -13.6
  Feb 08, 2023 151   @ Missouri St. L 59-61 45%     16 - 9 10 - 5 +2.1 +0.5 +1.2
  Feb 11, 2023 288   Illinois-Chicago W 98-71 87%     17 - 9 11 - 5 +17.5 +17.7 -1.3
  Feb 15, 2023 348   Evansville W 95-63 94%     18 - 9 12 - 5 +16.8 +11.5 +3.1
  Feb 19, 2023 73   @ Drake L 56-70 22%     18 - 10 12 - 6 -3.2 -13.1 +10.6
  Feb 22, 2023 95   Indiana St. W 89-88 53%     19 - 10 13 - 6 +3.1 +12.6 -9.6
  Feb 26, 2023 203   @ Northern Iowa W 83-75 56%     20 - 10 14 - 6 +9.3 +8.9 +0.2
  Mar 03, 2023 95   Indiana St. L 91-94 41%     20 - 11 +2.1 +15.3 -13.1
Projected Record 20 - 11 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%