Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#255
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#266
Pace63.3#305
Improvement+0.3#154

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#291
First Shot-4.3#306
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#171
Layup/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#255
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#289
Freethrows+0.8#110
Improvement+0.1#168

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#206
First Shot-1.6#229
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#112
Layups/Dunks-8.1#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#11
Freethrows-0.3#215
Improvement+0.2#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 22 - 7
Quad 410 - 1112 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 84   @ Wake Forest L 59-71 9%     0 - 1 -2.2 -8.9 +6.3
  Nov 11, 2022 289   @ New Hampshire L 71-83 45%     0 - 2 -15.7 +4.8 -21.7
  Nov 15, 2022 13   @ Xavier L 65-78 3%     0 - 3 +4.5 -5.5 +10.7
  Nov 18, 2022 315   @ Wagner L 52-68 52%     0 - 4 -21.7 -12.1 -12.1
  Nov 25, 2022 134   Towson W 74-69 25%     1 - 4 +7.0 +11.2 -3.5
  Nov 26, 2022 226   Mercer L 58-60 42%     1 - 5 -5.1 -8.2 +2.9
  Nov 27, 2022 348   Evansville W 63-56 75%     2 - 5 -5.2 -12.6 +7.3
  Dec 01, 2022 304   @ Manhattan L 53-56 48%     2 - 6 0 - 1 -7.6 -11.4 +3.2
  Dec 03, 2022 296   St. Peter's W 67-55 69%     3 - 6 1 - 1 +1.9 -2.5 +5.5
  Dec 07, 2022 330   Sacred Heart W 61-59 77%     4 - 6 -10.9 -15.0 +4.2
  Dec 12, 2022 75   Yale L 64-77 18%     4 - 7 -8.3 +0.5 -10.1
  Dec 30, 2022 283   Marist W 73-54 66%     5 - 7 2 - 1 +9.6 -3.0 +12.6
  Jan 01, 2023 205   Siena L 61-70 49%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -13.8 -9.4 -5.0
  Jan 06, 2023 247   Niagara L 69-77 OT 60%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -15.6 -12.0 -3.1
  Jan 13, 2023 76   @ Iona L 69-75 8%     5 - 10 2 - 4 +4.6 +3.3 +1.2
  Jan 15, 2023 296   @ St. Peter's W 56-52 46%     6 - 10 3 - 4 -0.2 -5.7 +6.3
  Jan 20, 2023 249   Canisius W 67-58 60%     7 - 10 4 - 4 +1.2 -4.4 +6.3
  Jan 22, 2023 205   @ Siena W 62-52 27%     8 - 10 5 - 4 +11.2 -1.9 +14.3
  Jan 26, 2023 275   @ Mount St. Mary's W 63-60 42%     9 - 10 6 - 4 -0.1 -2.1 +2.3
  Jan 29, 2023 206   Rider L 69-78 OT 49%     9 - 11 6 - 5 -13.8 -1.7 -12.9
  Feb 03, 2023 187   @ Quinnipiac L 51-66 25%     9 - 12 6 - 6 -13.0 -18.0 +4.4
  Feb 05, 2023 76   Iona L 61-70 18%     9 - 13 6 - 7 -4.3 -7.3 +2.7
  Feb 10, 2023 206   @ Rider L 57-58 27%     9 - 14 6 - 8 +0.1 -10.1 +10.1
  Feb 12, 2023 275   Mount St. Mary's W 76-72 OT 65%     10 - 14 7 - 8 -5.1 -4.5 -0.8
  Feb 17, 2023 283   @ Marist W 70-61 44%     11 - 14 8 - 8 +5.6 +3.5 +2.9
  Feb 19, 2023 304   Manhattan L 72-73 70%     11 - 15 8 - 9 -11.6 +3.5 -15.2
  Feb 24, 2023 247   @ Niagara L 68-76 37%     11 - 16 8 - 10 -9.6 +1.6 -12.0
  Feb 26, 2023 249   @ Canisius L 51-64 38%     11 - 17 8 - 11 -14.9 -19.1 +3.2
  Mar 02, 2023 187   Quinnipiac W 92-82 45%     12 - 17 9 - 11 +6.1 +19.0 -12.8
  Mar 07, 2023 296   St. Peter's L 52-70 58%     12 - 18 -25.1 -16.1 -11.3
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%