Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.8#8
Expected Predictive Rating+17.9#7
Pace73.9#43
Improvement+2.3#22

Offense
Total Offense+13.0#1
First Shot+10.7#2
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#34
Layup/Dunks+8.3#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#56
Freethrows+1.5#66
Improvement+2.9#9

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#75
First Shot+3.7#66
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#165
Layups/Dunks+0.2#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#118
Freethrows+2.0#45
Improvement-0.7#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 15.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 64.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round91.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen62.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight37.7% n/a n/a
Final Four20.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game10.5% n/a n/a
National Champion5.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 44 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 06 - 4
Quad 25 - 011 - 4
Quad 38 - 119 - 5
Quad 48 - 027 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 234   North Florida W 104-63 97%     1 - 0 +34.3 +9.5 +19.5
  Nov 11, 2022 31   Michigan St. W 64-63 68%     2 - 0 +12.9 -4.4 +17.3
  Nov 16, 2022 5   @ Texas L 74-93 38%     2 - 1 +1.0 +7.9 -6.0
  Nov 20, 2022 26   Kentucky W 88-72 75%     3 - 1 +25.6 +10.6 +13.7
  Nov 24, 2022 245   Portland St. W 102-78 97%     4 - 1 +19.5 +22.0 -3.6
  Nov 25, 2022 7   Purdue L 66-84 50%     4 - 2 -1.2 +2.9 -4.8
  Nov 27, 2022 13   Xavier W 88-84 59%     5 - 2 +18.5 +14.1 +4.2
  Dec 02, 2022 14   Baylor L 63-64 59%     5 - 3 +13.4 -10.9 +24.4
  Dec 05, 2022 72   Kent St. W 73-66 86%     6 - 3 +11.9 +6.3 +5.8
  Dec 09, 2022 100   Washington W 77-60 91%     7 - 3 +18.8 +6.8 +12.0
  Dec 12, 2022 248   Northern Illinois W 88-67 98%     8 - 3 +13.4 +15.7 -1.4
  Dec 17, 2022 1   Alabama W 100-90 39%     9 - 3 +29.7 +23.1 +5.1
  Dec 20, 2022 168   Montana W 85-75 96%     10 - 3 +6.9 +9.7 -2.7
  Dec 31, 2022 185   Pepperdine W 111-88 96%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +19.2 +16.0 -0.9
  Jan 05, 2023 94   @ San Francisco W 77-75 79%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +10.1 +7.3 +2.8
  Jan 07, 2023 85   @ Santa Clara W 81-76 75%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +14.8 +11.7 +3.1
  Jan 12, 2023 77   @ BYU W 75-74 72%     14 - 3 4 - 0 +11.6 +4.2 +7.4
  Jan 14, 2023 155   Portland W 115-75 95%     15 - 3 5 - 0 +37.9 +27.8 +6.8
  Jan 19, 2023 111   Loyola Marymount L 67-68 92%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +0.0 -2.5 +2.4
  Jan 21, 2023 178   @ Pacific W 99-90 91%     16 - 4 6 - 1 +11.3 +19.2 -8.5
  Jan 28, 2023 155   @ Portland W 82-67 88%     17 - 4 7 - 1 +18.8 +9.2 +10.0
  Feb 02, 2023 85   Santa Clara W 88-70 88%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +21.9 +20.6 +2.1
  Feb 04, 2023 15   @ St. Mary's L 70-78 OT 49%     18 - 5 8 - 2 +9.1 +7.8 +1.3
  Feb 09, 2023 94   San Francisco W 99-81 91%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +20.2 +22.7 -3.2
  Feb 11, 2023 77   BYU W 88-81 87%     20 - 5 10 - 2 +11.7 +15.2 -3.8
  Feb 16, 2023 111   @ Loyola Marymount W 108-65 82%     21 - 5 11 - 2 +49.9 +26.2 +19.1
  Feb 18, 2023 185   @ Pepperdine W 97-88 91%     22 - 5 12 - 2 +11.1 +19.5 -8.9
  Feb 23, 2023 221   San Diego W 97-72 97%     23 - 5 13 - 2 +19.1 +14.7 +4.0
  Feb 25, 2023 15   St. Mary's W 77-68 70%     24 - 5 14 - 2 +20.2 +21.8 -0.4
  Mar 01, 2023 307   Chicago St. W 104-65 99%     25 - 5 +28.0 +29.6 +0.6
  Mar 06, 2023 94   San Francisco W 84-73 86%     26 - 5 +16.1 +17.7 -0.9
  Mar 07, 2023 15   St. Mary's W 77-51 60%     27 - 5 +40.2 +22.7 +20.7
  Mar 17, 2023 113   Grand Canyon W 85-72 88%    
Projected Record 28 - 5 14 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.2 15.8 48.3 31.7 4.1 0.1
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.2 15.8 48.3 31.7 4.1 0.1