Pre-tourney Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.6#342
Expected Predictive Rating-11.3#337
Pace67.1#202
Improvement-0.2#197

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#332
First Shot-2.9#277
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#357
Layup/Dunks-0.1#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#320
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement+0.8#86

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#329
First Shot-4.9#333
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#230
Layups/Dunks-4.2#336
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#214
Freethrows-0.9#263
Improvement-1.0#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 48 - 139 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 276   North Dakota L 57-65 41%     0 - 1 -17.2 -17.5 -0.4
  Nov 12, 2022 91   @ UNLV L 63-88 4%     0 - 2 -16.4 -8.2 -6.6
  Nov 19, 2022 280   @ Valparaiso L 64-68 22%     0 - 3 -7.4 -5.0 -2.6
  Nov 25, 2022 272   Dartmouth W 69-64 30%     1 - 3 -1.0 -8.6 +7.4
  Nov 27, 2022 210   Grambling St. W 63-61 18%     2 - 3 +0.0 -4.9 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2022 293   @ Texas San Antonio L 62-68 23%     2 - 4 -9.9 -6.9 -3.7
  Dec 03, 2022 210   @ Grambling St. L 39-72 12%     2 - 5 -32.0 -29.4 -3.4
  Dec 11, 2022 23   @ Kansas St. L 50-98 1%     2 - 6 -32.1 -13.4 -19.0
  Dec 16, 2022 352   Bethune-Cookman W 77-65 67%     3 - 6 -4.0 -5.7 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2022 219   @ Florida International L 74-79 13%     3 - 7 -4.5 -1.4 -2.9
  Dec 31, 2022 314   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 74-82 OT 28%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -13.5 -6.7 -6.4
  Jan 04, 2023 193   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-91 11%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -28.2 -14.2 -13.1
  Jan 07, 2023 193   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-80 24%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -13.1 -7.0 -5.9
  Jan 12, 2023 337   New Orleans L 79-85 OT 59%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -20.0 -14.0 -5.1
  Jan 14, 2023 266   SE Louisiana L 71-75 39%     3 - 12 0 - 5 -12.7 -4.2 -8.7
  Jan 19, 2023 354   @ Houston Christian W 89-78 46%     4 - 12 1 - 5 +0.5 +4.4 -4.2
  Jan 21, 2023 356   @ Lamar W 70-64 49%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -5.4 -6.2 +1.0
  Jan 26, 2023 338   McNeese St. W 70-65 60%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -9.1 -7.7 -1.2
  Jan 28, 2023 271   Nicholls St. W 69-67 39%     7 - 12 4 - 5 -6.8 -4.1 -2.6
  Feb 02, 2023 266   @ SE Louisiana L 67-77 20%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -12.7 -9.1 -3.7
  Feb 04, 2023 337   @ New Orleans W 78-70 37%     8 - 13 5 - 6 -0.1 +3.9 -3.6
  Feb 09, 2023 356   Lamar L 59-68 71%     8 - 14 5 - 7 -26.3 -13.3 -14.4
  Feb 11, 2023 354   Houston Christian L 78-84 68%     8 - 15 5 - 8 -22.4 -1.0 -21.8
  Feb 16, 2023 338   @ McNeese St. L 76-78 OT 37%     8 - 16 5 - 9 -10.2 -7.2 -2.9
  Feb 18, 2023 271   @ Nicholls St. L 74-84 20%     8 - 17 5 - 10 -12.8 +0.5 -13.3
  Feb 23, 2023 225   Northwestern St. L 66-71 30%     8 - 18 5 - 11 -11.0 -6.9 -4.5
  Feb 25, 2023 314   Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-75 50%     9 - 18 6 - 11 -7.5 +0.0 -7.4
  Mar 01, 2023 225   @ Northwestern St. L 64-81 14%     9 - 19 6 - 12 -17.1 -13.1 -3.3
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%