Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#95
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#145
Pace74.9#33
Improvement+1.1#85

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#81
First Shot+5.8#35
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#324
Layup/Dunks+3.8#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#357
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#18
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+0.9#73

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#126
First Shot-0.3#185
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#43
Layups/Dunks-0.5#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#315
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#59
Freethrows-1.1#275
Improvement+0.1#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 5
Quad 35 - 47 - 9
Quad 414 - 321 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 361   Green Bay W 80-53 98%     1 - 0 +6.7 -4.8 +10.7
  Nov 12, 2022 165   Ball St. W 83-71 78%     2 - 0 +9.1 +4.7 +4.1
  Nov 17, 2022 222   North Dakota St. W 101-75 85%     3 - 0 +20.1 +12.5 +4.5
  Nov 21, 2022 173   East Carolina W 79-75 70%     4 - 0 +3.7 -1.7 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2022 309   UMKC L 61-63 89%     4 - 1 -10.1 -11.4 +1.2
  Nov 23, 2022 201   Drexel W 85-81 74%     5 - 1 +2.5 +18.8 -16.0
  Nov 30, 2022 73   Drake W 75-73 51%     6 - 1 +6.9 -0.1 +6.8
  Dec 03, 2022 270   @ Miami (OH) W 88-61 77%     7 - 1 +24.2 +4.9 +17.2
  Dec 07, 2022 137   @ Southern Illinois W 74-71 51%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +7.8 +6.8 +1.1
  Dec 11, 2022 285   @ Southern Indiana L 85-88 OT 79%     8 - 2 -6.5 -4.5 -1.6
  Dec 17, 2022 121   @ Duquesne L 86-92 47%     8 - 3 -0.2 +6.8 -6.4
  Dec 22, 2022 248   Northern Illinois L 57-67 88%     8 - 4 -17.6 -20.2 +2.7
  Dec 29, 2022 348   Evansville W 91-63 96%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +12.8 +11.0 +0.9
  Jan 01, 2023 280   @ Valparaiso W 68-50 79%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +14.6 -2.2 +17.6
  Jan 04, 2023 267   @ Illinois St. W 76-67 77%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +6.2 +7.3 -0.4
  Jan 07, 2023 288   Illinois-Chicago W 80-60 91%     12 - 4 5 - 0 +10.5 +4.4 +6.3
  Jan 11, 2023 137   Southern Illinois L 61-69 72%     12 - 5 5 - 1 -9.1 -9.3 +0.3
  Jan 15, 2023 151   @ Missouri St. L 62-64 54%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +2.1 +1.3 +0.5
  Jan 18, 2023 87   Bradley L 67-78 57%     12 - 7 5 - 3 -7.7 -7.0 +0.1
  Jan 21, 2023 217   @ Murray St. L 73-82 67%     12 - 8 5 - 4 -8.4 -1.8 -6.5
  Jan 24, 2023 73   @ Drake L 68-70 29%     12 - 9 5 - 5 +8.8 +1.0 +7.9
  Jan 28, 2023 203   Northern Iowa W 79-71 82%     13 - 9 6 - 5 +3.3 +1.4 +1.6
  Feb 01, 2023 348   @ Evansville W 83-65 90%     14 - 9 7 - 5 +8.7 +8.1 +0.4
  Feb 04, 2023 217   Murray St. W 99-56 84%     15 - 9 8 - 5 +37.6 +28.7 +11.9
  Feb 08, 2023 280   Valparaiso W 84-62 90%     16 - 9 9 - 5 +12.7 +12.6 +1.4
  Feb 11, 2023 203   @ Northern Iowa W 80-62 64%     17 - 9 10 - 5 +19.3 +9.3 +10.3
  Feb 15, 2023 288   @ Illinois-Chicago W 79-60 79%     18 - 9 11 - 5 +15.4 +5.9 +9.6
  Feb 18, 2023 267   Illinois St. W 80-64 90%     19 - 9 12 - 5 +7.3 +2.1 +5.0
  Feb 22, 2023 123   @ Belmont L 88-89 47%     19 - 10 12 - 6 +4.7 +12.1 -7.3
  Feb 26, 2023 151   Missouri St. L 62-66 75%     19 - 11 12 - 7 -5.8 -5.1 -1.1
  Mar 02, 2023 348   Evansville W 97-58 94%     20 - 11 +26.8 +16.4 +8.3
  Mar 03, 2023 123   Belmont W 94-91 59%     21 - 11 +5.8 +15.6 -10.0
  Mar 04, 2023 87   Bradley L 70-71 45%     21 - 12 +5.3 +6.1 -0.9
Projected Record 21 - 12 12 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%