Pre-tourney Rankings
Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#131
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#88
Pace70.1#129
Improvement+2.2#24

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#151
First Shot+0.0#178
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#109
Layup/Dunks-0.8#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#136
Freethrows+0.5#131
Improvement+0.2#154

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#132
First Shot+0.5#152
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#94
Layups/Dunks+0.5#160
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#140
Freethrows-1.3#288
Improvement+2.0#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round8.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 02 - 4
Quad 38 - 210 - 6
Quad 413 - 223 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 54   @ Florida L 78-88 17%     0 - 1 +2.3 +8.3 -5.4
  Nov 18, 2022 266   SE Louisiana W 72-68 77%     1 - 1 -1.7 -3.8 +2.2
  Nov 19, 2022 180   @ Appalachian St. W 71-67 49%     2 - 1 +6.3 +7.1 -0.5
  Nov 20, 2022 229   Campbell L 61-85 70%     2 - 2 -27.3 -11.0 -17.8
  Nov 26, 2022 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-64 18%     2 - 3 +8.9 +1.5 +7.2
  Dec 02, 2022 226   @ Mercer W 66-63 58%     3 - 3 +2.9 +0.0 +3.2
  Dec 05, 2022 301   @ Charleston Southern W 76-65 74%     4 - 3 +6.5 -7.4 +13.3
  Dec 12, 2022 20   @ San Diego St. L 54-88 10%     4 - 4 -17.9 -12.1 -3.6
  Dec 20, 2022 259   South Carolina Upstate W 65-56 83%     5 - 4 +0.8 -8.7 +9.7
  Dec 23, 2022 24   @ Indiana L 55-69 11%     5 - 5 +1.7 -6.6 +7.3
  Dec 31, 2022 336   Central Arkansas W 82-66 92%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +2.1 -6.4 +6.9
  Jan 02, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky W 79-75 71%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +0.4 -3.0 +3.0
  Jan 05, 2023 234   @ North Florida L 86-89 61%     7 - 6 2 - 1 -3.7 +10.6 -14.4
  Jan 07, 2023 214   @ Queens W 76-67 55%     8 - 6 3 - 1 +9.8 +0.1 +9.6
  Jan 12, 2023 230   Jacksonville W 81-68 79%     9 - 6 4 - 1 +6.6 +8.8 -1.8
  Jan 14, 2023 234   North Florida W 86-72 80%     10 - 6 5 - 1 +7.3 +7.6 +0.2
  Jan 19, 2023 174   @ Stetson W 82-81 OT 48%     11 - 6 6 - 1 +3.5 -0.6 +4.0
  Jan 21, 2023 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 65-63 50%     12 - 6 7 - 1 +4.0 +5.7 -1.3
  Jan 26, 2023 323   Austin Peay W 84-57 90%     13 - 6 8 - 1 +14.8 -0.5 +13.2
  Jan 28, 2023 159   Lipscomb W 85-72 68%     14 - 6 9 - 1 +10.3 +6.0 +3.5
  Feb 02, 2023 256   @ Bellarmine W 90-84 2OT 66%     15 - 6 10 - 1 +3.8 +2.9 +0.1
  Feb 04, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 74-77 49%     15 - 7 10 - 2 -0.6 +0.5 -1.0
  Feb 09, 2023 233   @ Jacksonville St. W 54-52 60%     16 - 7 11 - 2 +1.4 -11.2 +12.9
  Feb 11, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. W 74-71 79%     17 - 7 12 - 2 -3.5 +3.5 -6.8
  Feb 16, 2023 69   Liberty W 88-81 37%     18 - 7 13 - 2 +12.3 +13.3 -1.3
  Feb 18, 2023 214   Queens L 76-83 75%     18 - 8 13 - 3 -12.1 -4.2 -7.6
  Feb 22, 2023 258   @ North Alabama W 79-66 66%     19 - 8 14 - 3 +10.7 +6.8 +4.6
  Feb 24, 2023 336   @ Central Arkansas W 72-56 83%     20 - 8 15 - 3 +8.0 -4.0 +12.3
  Feb 28, 2023 214   Queens W 67-66 75%     21 - 8 -4.1 -11.2 +7.1
  Mar 02, 2023 159   Lipscomb W 80-71 68%     22 - 8 +6.3 +8.7 -2.1
  Mar 05, 2023 69   Liberty W 67-66 37%     23 - 8 +6.3 -0.6 +7.0
  Mar 17, 2023 13   Xavier L 72-84 13%    
Projected Record 23 - 9 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.3 0.1 12.1 44.8 42.9 0.1
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 12.1 44.8 42.9 0.1