Pre-tourney Rankings
Liberty
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#69
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#98
Pace62.2#325
Improvement+0.3#156

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#64
First Shot+6.2#28
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#306
Layup/Dunks+3.3#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.0#4
Freethrows-1.5#302
Improvement-0.2#209

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#72
First Shot+0.4#154
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#1
Layups/Dunks-0.4#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#146
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+0.5#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 36 - 37 - 8
Quad 416 - 023 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 1   @ Alabama L 59-95 10%     0 - 1 -13.3 -3.3 -8.7
  Nov 14, 2022 213   NC Central W 79-63 89%     1 - 1 +11.0 +11.6 +0.5
  Nov 18, 2022 107   Southern Miss L 72-76 75%     1 - 2 -2.9 +5.8 -9.0
  Nov 22, 2022 43   Northwestern L 52-66 41%     1 - 3 -3.3 -8.6 +4.3
  Nov 23, 2022 87   Bradley W 55-44 58%     2 - 3 +17.3 -0.2 +20.0
  Nov 26, 2022 359   Delaware St. W 80-53 98%     3 - 3 +9.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Dec 02, 2022 263   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-59 93%     4 - 3 +11.5 +16.5 -2.7
  Dec 12, 2022 68   @ Oral Roberts L 70-84 38%     4 - 4 -2.7 +1.9 -4.9
  Dec 17, 2022 208   Bryant W 82-62 83%     5 - 4 +18.1 +10.4 +8.5
  Dec 19, 2022 210   Grambling St. W 75-56 89%     6 - 4 +14.1 +4.5 +10.0
  Dec 29, 2022 256   @ Bellarmine W 70-53 84%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +14.8 +10.4 +8.2
  Jan 02, 2023 159   Lipscomb W 77-48 85%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +26.3 +9.9 +18.9
  Jan 05, 2023 233   Jacksonville St. W 75-41 91%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +27.5 +3.5 +26.0
  Jan 08, 2023 176   @ Eastern Kentucky L 59-62 72%     9 - 5 3 - 1 -0.6 -5.6 +4.6
  Jan 12, 2023 258   North Alabama W 72-54 93%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +9.8 -3.8 +14.5
  Jan 14, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 82-62 97%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +6.1 +5.5 +1.5
  Jan 19, 2023 230   @ Jacksonville W 66-52 80%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +13.6 +6.1 +10.0
  Jan 21, 2023 234   @ North Florida W 73-62 80%     13 - 5 7 - 1 +10.3 +0.6 +10.5
  Jan 26, 2023 174   Stetson W 74-45 86%     14 - 5 8 - 1 +25.5 +5.5 +24.6
  Jan 28, 2023 190   Florida Gulf Coast W 74-57 87%     15 - 5 9 - 1 +13.1 +9.3 +6.1
  Feb 02, 2023 323   @ Austin Peay W 82-70 91%     16 - 5 10 - 1 +5.8 +15.1 -8.2
  Feb 04, 2023 159   @ Lipscomb L 64-69 69%     16 - 6 10 - 2 -1.8 -6.4 +4.6
  Feb 09, 2023 256   Bellarmine W 70-50 93%     17 - 6 11 - 2 +11.9 +3.2 +11.9
  Feb 11, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky W 83-73 86%     18 - 6 12 - 2 +6.4 +9.7 -3.2
  Feb 16, 2023 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 81-88 63%     18 - 7 12 - 3 -2.0 +7.0 -8.7
  Feb 18, 2023 233   @ Jacksonville St. W 79-55 80%     19 - 7 13 - 3 +23.4 +7.8 +16.1
  Feb 22, 2023 214   @ Queens W 85-77 76%     20 - 7 14 - 3 +8.8 +10.5 -1.7
  Feb 24, 2023 214   Queens W 73-53 89%     21 - 7 15 - 3 +14.9 +0.8 +15.6
  Feb 28, 2023 256   Bellarmine W 76-56 93%     22 - 7 +11.9 +8.9 +5.9
  Mar 02, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky W 79-73 86%     23 - 7 +2.4 +13.2 -10.2
  Mar 05, 2023 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 66-67 63%     23 - 8 +4.0 -1.2 +5.2
Projected Record 23 - 8 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%