Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#122
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#125
Pace67.0#204
Improvement+0.4#149

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#153
First Shot-0.4#192
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#90
Layup/Dunks+3.1#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#287
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#215
Freethrows-1.0#265
Improvement+1.0#68

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#108
First Shot+1.3#125
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#97
Layups/Dunks-0.4#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#46
Freethrows-1.9#320
Improvement-0.7#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 4
Quad 23 - 24 - 6
Quad 36 - 510 - 11
Quad 47 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 244   @ Winthrop L 68-76 66%     0 - 1 -9.4 -15.6 +6.9
  Nov 15, 2022 216   Rice W 81-46 77%     1 - 1 +29.9 +8.2 +24.0
  Nov 19, 2022 151   @ Missouri St. L 51-75 45%     1 - 2 -19.9 -13.9 -8.4
  Nov 25, 2022 93   Hofstra W 64-54 40%     2 - 2 +15.3 -2.0 +18.0
  Nov 26, 2022 144   Stephen F. Austin W 75-63 55%     3 - 2 +13.4 -0.1 +12.9
  Nov 27, 2022 117   Montana St. W 72-71 49%     4 - 2 +4.0 +0.8 +3.2
  Nov 30, 2022 182   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-71 52%     4 - 3 -4.8 -1.1 -4.2
  Dec 10, 2022 123   @ Belmont W 85-75 OT 39%     5 - 3 +15.7 +3.4 +11.2
  Dec 15, 2022 177   Chattanooga L 73-82 73%     5 - 4 -12.6 +0.2 -13.4
  Dec 21, 2022 217   Murray St. W 83-67 78%     6 - 4 +10.6 +7.5 +3.4
  Dec 29, 2022 118   @ Charlotte L 67-82 38%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -9.0 +3.6 -14.1
  Dec 31, 2022 170   Western Kentucky W 65-60 72%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +1.7 -6.7 +8.7
  Jan 05, 2023 293   @ Texas San Antonio L 72-75 74%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -6.9 +3.1 -10.3
  Jan 07, 2023 65   North Texas L 51-56 39%     7 - 7 1 - 3 +0.5 -8.6 +8.3
  Jan 11, 2023 216   @ Rice W 71-68 58%     8 - 7 2 - 3 +3.8 +0.4 +3.6
  Jan 16, 2023 64   UAB W 74-73 OT 39%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +6.6 -3.1 +9.7
  Jan 19, 2023 118   Charlotte W 62-58 60%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +4.0 -7.0 +11.3
  Jan 21, 2023 163   @ Louisiana Tech W 68-51 49%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +20.1 +3.9 +18.1
  Jan 26, 2023 33   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-85 14%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -3.4 +2.9 -6.8
  Jan 28, 2023 219   @ Florida International L 74-82 59%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -7.5 -0.9 -6.3
  Feb 02, 2023 188   UTEP W 84-72 74%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +8.1 +13.0 -4.9
  Feb 04, 2023 293   Texas San Antonio W 84-60 88%     13 - 9 7 - 5 +14.1 +2.9 +10.7
  Feb 09, 2023 170   @ Western Kentucky L 89-93 50%     13 - 10 7 - 6 -1.3 +15.8 -17.1
  Feb 11, 2023 64   @ UAB L 69-92 20%     13 - 11 7 - 7 -11.4 +4.7 -17.4
  Feb 16, 2023 33   Florida Atlantic W 74-70 29%     14 - 11 8 - 7 +12.6 +3.9 +8.7
  Feb 18, 2023 219   Florida International W 69-58 78%     15 - 11 9 - 7 +5.6 -1.7 +8.0
  Feb 25, 2023 163   Louisiana Tech W 63-49 71%     16 - 11 10 - 7 +11.1 -4.9 +17.5
  Mar 02, 2023 65   @ North Texas L 50-64 20%     16 - 12 10 - 8 -2.5 -8.4 +3.9
  Mar 04, 2023 188   @ UTEP L 65-77 53%     16 - 13 10 - 9 -10.0 -3.3 -6.6
  Mar 09, 2023 118   Charlotte W 66-65 49%     17 - 13 +4.0 +7.5 -3.3
  Mar 10, 2023 33   Florida Atlantic L 65-68 20%     17 - 14 +8.6 +5.4 +2.8
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%