Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#151
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#161
Pace58.5#357
Improvement-0.5#233

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#177
First Shot-3.0#281
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#16
Layup/Dunks-0.8#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#79
Freethrows-2.7#350
Improvement+0.1#173

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#128
First Shot+1.4#123
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#188
Layups/Dunks+2.6#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#139
Freethrows+0.0#190
Improvement-0.6#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 22 - 43 - 7
Quad 34 - 57 - 12
Quad 49 - 316 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2022 77   @ BYU L 64-66 19%     0 - 1 +8.6 +1.2 +7.3
  Nov 19, 2022 122   Middle Tennessee W 75-51 55%     1 - 1 +23.8 +10.2 +16.0
  Nov 25, 2022 157   UNC Wilmington L 54-68 53%     1 - 2 -13.6 -12.5 -2.2
  Nov 26, 2022 165   Ball St. L 64-67 54%     1 - 3 -3.0 -6.2 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2022 273   Oakland W 76-64 75%     2 - 3 +5.9 +5.7 +1.4
  Nov 30, 2022 288   @ Illinois-Chicago W 66-51 68%     3 - 3 +11.4 -4.9 +16.9
  Dec 03, 2022 87   Bradley L 40-58 42%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -14.7 -23.9 +6.8
  Dec 07, 2022 15   @ St. Mary's L 46-66 8%     3 - 5 -2.9 -9.7 +3.9
  Dec 10, 2022 236   Purdue Fort Wayne L 61-65 77%     3 - 6 -10.7 -8.6 -2.5
  Dec 16, 2022 68   @ Oral Roberts L 77-80 17%     3 - 7 +8.3 +14.8 -6.8
  Dec 18, 2022 329   Central Michigan W 79-58 90%     4 - 7 +8.2 +10.1 -0.1
  Dec 28, 2022 203   @ Northern Iowa W 79-67 49%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +13.3 +11.5 +2.4
  Jan 01, 2023 73   Drake W 52-49 36%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +7.9 -9.8 +18.1
  Jan 04, 2023 348   Evansville W 85-62 93%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +7.8 +9.9 -1.6
  Jan 07, 2023 123   @ Belmont L 61-74 33%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -7.3 -4.4 -4.4
  Jan 11, 2023 267   @ Illinois St. L 66-76 OT 65%     7 - 9 3 - 3 -12.8 -6.8 -6.1
  Jan 15, 2023 95   Indiana St. W 64-62 46%     8 - 9 4 - 3 +4.1 +0.7 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2023 73   @ Drake W 65-62 OT 18%     9 - 9 5 - 3 +13.8 +1.3 +12.7
  Jan 21, 2023 137   Southern Illinois L 57-61 59%     9 - 10 5 - 4 -5.1 +4.5 -10.8
  Jan 24, 2023 288   Illinois-Chicago W 63-59 84%     10 - 10 6 - 4 -5.5 -10.9 +5.5
  Jan 28, 2023 217   @ Murray St. L 71-74 52%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -2.4 +3.1 -5.8
  Feb 01, 2023 280   Valparaiso W 76-67 OT 84%     11 - 11 7 - 5 -0.3 -0.3 +0.0
  Feb 05, 2023 137   @ Southern Illinois L 53-73 36%     11 - 12 7 - 6 -15.2 -3.7 -15.2
  Feb 08, 2023 123   Belmont W 61-59 55%     12 - 12 8 - 6 +1.8 -2.6 +4.8
  Feb 12, 2023 348   @ Evansville W 66-60 84%     13 - 12 9 - 6 -3.3 -6.4 +3.2
  Feb 15, 2023 87   @ Bradley L 54-64 22%     13 - 13 9 - 7 -0.7 -3.0 +0.5
  Feb 18, 2023 203   Northern Iowa L 66-69 71%     13 - 14 9 - 8 -7.7 +2.6 -10.8
  Feb 21, 2023 217   Murray St. W 84-69 73%     14 - 14 10 - 8 +9.6 +13.3 -2.5
  Feb 26, 2023 95   @ Indiana St. W 66-62 25%     15 - 14 11 - 8 +12.1 +2.3 +10.2
  Mar 02, 2023 288   Illinois-Chicago W 74-57 77%     16 - 14 +10.5 +13.9 -0.1
  Mar 03, 2023 137   Southern Illinois L 51-54 47%     16 - 15 -1.1 -9.7 +8.2
Projected Record 16 - 15 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%