Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#217
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#162
Pace66.6#213
Improvement-0.8#256

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#157
First Shot+0.2#174
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#145
Layup/Dunks+0.0#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#283
Freethrows+0.5#135
Improvement+0.5#117

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#268
First Shot-1.3#213
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#337
Layups/Dunks-0.6#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#225
Freethrows+0.9#116
Improvement-1.3#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 2
Quad 21 - 72 - 9
Quad 33 - 45 - 13
Quad 411 - 216 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 92   @ Saint Louis L 68-91 16%     0 - 1 -14.6 -6.2 -7.1
  Nov 17, 2022 27   Texas A&M W 88-79 9%     1 - 1 +21.5 +15.2 +5.7
  Nov 18, 2022 195   Massachusetts L 69-71 45%     1 - 2 -3.2 -4.3 +1.2
  Nov 20, 2022 297   Tulsa W 77-60 68%     2 - 2 +9.8 -3.9 +12.7
  Nov 26, 2022 177   @ Chattanooga L 66-69 32%     2 - 3 -0.7 -3.8 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2022 267   Illinois St. W 70-67 OT 73%     3 - 3 1 - 0 -5.7 -4.9 -0.7
  Dec 04, 2022 280   @ Valparaiso W 77-70 OT 54%     4 - 3 2 - 0 +3.6 +1.5 +1.9
  Dec 10, 2022 256   @ Bellarmine L 58-69 49%     4 - 4 -13.2 -10.6 -3.8
  Dec 13, 2022 307   Chicago St. W 66-65 79%     5 - 4 -10.0 -9.4 -0.5
  Dec 16, 2022 323   Austin Peay W 68-60 82%     6 - 4 -4.2 -6.9 +3.1
  Dec 21, 2022 122   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-83 22%     6 - 5 -10.3 -0.9 -9.7
  Dec 29, 2022 137   Southern Illinois L 57-63 45%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -7.1 +0.8 -9.4
  Jan 01, 2023 348   @ Evansville W 78-61 75%     7 - 6 3 - 1 +7.7 +8.1 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2023 87   Bradley W 67-58 29%     8 - 6 4 - 1 +12.3 +1.6 +11.2
  Jan 07, 2023 73   @ Drake L 64-82 11%     8 - 7 4 - 2 -7.2 -1.9 -5.4
  Jan 10, 2023 203   @ Northern Iowa L 67-75 36%     8 - 8 4 - 3 -6.7 -5.2 -1.6
  Jan 14, 2023 288   Illinois-Chicago W 81-64 75%     9 - 8 5 - 3 +7.5 +9.3 -0.9
  Jan 17, 2023 123   @ Belmont L 65-80 22%     9 - 9 5 - 4 -9.3 -1.9 -8.7
  Jan 21, 2023 95   Indiana St. W 82-73 33%     10 - 9 6 - 4 +11.1 +8.4 +2.7
  Jan 24, 2023 137   @ Southern Illinois L 64-68 24%     10 - 10 6 - 5 +0.8 +1.1 -0.5
  Jan 28, 2023 151   Missouri St. W 74-71 48%     11 - 10 7 - 5 +1.2 +7.6 -6.2
  Feb 01, 2023 123   Belmont W 83-82 42%     12 - 10 8 - 5 +0.8 +5.8 -5.1
  Feb 04, 2023 95   @ Indiana St. L 56-99 16%     12 - 11 8 - 6 -34.9 -10.1 -27.9
  Feb 07, 2023 73   Drake L 68-92 24%     12 - 12 8 - 7 -19.1 +6.3 -28.2
  Feb 11, 2023 87   @ Bradley L 48-83 14%     12 - 13 8 - 8 -25.7 -13.1 -16.5
  Feb 15, 2023 267   @ Illinois St. W 76-75 51%     13 - 13 9 - 8 -1.8 +8.3 -9.9
  Feb 18, 2023 348   Evansville W 74-58 88%     14 - 13 10 - 8 +0.8 +0.9 +0.7
  Feb 21, 2023 151   @ Missouri St. L 69-84 27%     14 - 14 10 - 9 -10.9 +4.4 -16.4
  Feb 26, 2023 280   Valparaiso W 77-76 OT 75%     15 - 14 11 - 9 -8.3 -7.3 -1.1
  Mar 02, 2023 280   Valparaiso W 78-50 65%     16 - 14 +21.7 -0.1 +20.6
  Mar 03, 2023 73   Drake L 62-74 17%     16 - 15 -4.1 +1.3 -6.9
Projected Record 16 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%