Pre-tourney Rankings
Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#247
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#229
Pace60.1#346
Improvement+0.2#166

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#255
First Shot-1.5#236
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#266
Layup/Dunks-0.1#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#182
Freethrows-1.0#264
Improvement+0.7#101

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#239
First Shot-3.2#288
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#63
Layups/Dunks-1.6#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#85
Freethrows-1.8#315
Improvement-0.5#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 13 - 6
Quad 412 - 915 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 25   @ Maryland L 49-71 4%     0 - 1 -6.3 -4.8 -6.4
  Nov 12, 2022 300   @ Bucknell L 50-68 49%     0 - 2 -22.4 -15.7 -9.9
  Nov 18, 2022 336   Central Arkansas W 73-64 73%     1 - 2 -1.9 -3.1 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2022 174   Stetson W 66-62 34%     2 - 2 +3.5 -1.0 +5.2
  Nov 26, 2022 80   @ St. John's L 70-78 9%     2 - 3 +2.4 -2.1 +5.1
  Dec 02, 2022 76   @ Iona L 56-78 8%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -11.4 -10.2 -1.6
  Dec 04, 2022 187   @ Quinnipiac W 64-60 26%     3 - 4 1 - 1 +6.0 +5.3 +1.6
  Dec 11, 2022 310   Eastern Michigan W 67-60 74%     4 - 4 -4.3 -2.9 -0.3
  Dec 18, 2022 328   @ NJIT L 53-62 58%     4 - 5 -15.8 -20.8 +4.8
  Dec 21, 2022 308   Binghamton W 73-67 73%     5 - 5 -5.0 -3.4 -1.4
  Dec 31, 2022 275   Mount St. Mary's W 67-55 67%     6 - 5 2 - 1 +2.9 +3.8 +1.2
  Jan 02, 2023 206   Rider W 61-59 51%     7 - 5 3 - 1 -2.8 -9.6 +7.0
  Jan 06, 2023 255   @ Fairfield W 77-69 OT 40%     8 - 5 4 - 1 +5.9 -0.6 +5.9
  Jan 08, 2023 304   @ Manhattan L 59-64 50%     8 - 6 4 - 2 -9.6 -7.0 -3.3
  Jan 13, 2023 205   Siena L 64-70 51%     8 - 7 4 - 3 -10.8 -2.5 -9.0
  Jan 15, 2023 283   Marist L 64-66 68%     8 - 8 4 - 4 -11.4 +1.1 -12.9
  Jan 20, 2023 206   @ Rider L 62-65 29%     8 - 9 4 - 5 -1.9 +0.2 -2.6
  Jan 22, 2023 296   @ St. Peter's W 59-57 48%     9 - 9 5 - 5 -2.2 -2.3 +0.5
  Jan 27, 2023 304   Manhattan W 68-62 72%     10 - 9 6 - 5 -4.6 -4.7 +0.5
  Feb 03, 2023 249   Canisius W 76-73 62%     11 - 9 7 - 5 -4.8 +5.2 -9.8
  Feb 05, 2023 205   @ Siena W 56-54 29%     12 - 9 8 - 5 +3.2 -5.4 +8.9
  Feb 10, 2023 187   Quinnipiac W 79-73 OT 47%     13 - 9 9 - 5 +2.1 -4.6 +6.0
  Feb 12, 2023 76   Iona L 55-72 19%     13 - 10 9 - 6 -12.3 -12.4 -0.8
  Feb 17, 2023 275   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-70 44%     13 - 11 9 - 7 -7.1 +1.8 -9.4
  Feb 19, 2023 283   @ Marist L 52-61 45%     13 - 12 9 - 8 -12.4 -13.6 -0.1
  Feb 24, 2023 255   Fairfield W 76-68 63%     14 - 12 10 - 8 -0.1 +8.4 -7.7
  Feb 26, 2023 296   St. Peter's L 65-66 70%     14 - 13 10 - 9 -11.1 +0.6 -11.9
  Mar 04, 2023 249   @ Canisius L 68-81 39%     14 - 14 10 - 10 -14.9 -9.6 -4.5
  Mar 09, 2023 205   Siena W 71-65 39%     15 - 14 +4.2 +6.3 -1.4
  Mar 10, 2023 76   Iona L 59-71 13%     15 - 15 -4.3 +0.7 -7.2
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%