Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#222
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#222
Pace69.6#139
Improvement+2.7#13

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#194
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#296
Layup/Dunks-2.0#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#191
Freethrows+1.1#84
Improvement+1.2#60

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#247
First Shot-2.6#269
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#133
Layups/Dunks-1.5#247
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#143
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement+1.5#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 33 - 23 - 10
Quad 411 - 714 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 17   @ Arkansas L 58-76 5%     0 - 1 -1.8 -8.2 +7.3
  Nov 10, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 59-82 3%     0 - 2 -3.5 -4.4 +1.5
  Nov 13, 2022 178   Pacific L 86-91 53%     0 - 3 -8.6 -0.6 -7.5
  Nov 17, 2022 95   @ Indiana St. L 75-101 15%     0 - 4 -17.9 -3.9 -10.9
  Nov 25, 2022 227   Northern Colorado L 70-80 51%     0 - 5 -13.1 -8.0 -5.0
  Nov 26, 2022 57   @ New Mexico L 55-76 9%     0 - 6 -8.9 -15.9 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2022 233   Jacksonville St. L 71-81 52%     0 - 7 -13.5 -2.1 -11.6
  Dec 03, 2022 138   @ Eastern Washington L 70-78 23%     0 - 8 -3.3 -2.7 -0.6
  Dec 05, 2022 155   @ Portland W 67-62 26%     1 - 8 +8.8 -9.0 +17.8
  Dec 10, 2022 168   Montana L 75-82 51%     1 - 9 -10.1 +2.2 -12.7
  Dec 19, 2022 265   @ Western Illinois L 60-79 49%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -21.7 -14.3 -7.8
  Dec 21, 2022 220   @ St. Thomas L 68-78 37%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -9.5 -0.6 -9.9
  Dec 30, 2022 276   @ North Dakota W 71-49 51%     2 - 11 1 - 2 +18.7 +2.3 +18.7
  Jan 05, 2023 181   South Dakota St. W 65-59 53%     3 - 11 2 - 2 +2.3 +2.5 +0.9
  Jan 07, 2023 294   South Dakota W 73-61 75%     4 - 11 3 - 2 +2.0 -5.4 +7.6
  Jan 12, 2023 306   @ Denver W 90-70 57%     5 - 11 4 - 2 +15.2 +17.9 -1.9
  Jan 14, 2023 318   @ Nebraska Omaha W 78-65 61%     6 - 11 5 - 2 +7.2 +5.1 +2.7
  Jan 19, 2023 68   Oral Roberts L 69-92 22%     6 - 12 5 - 3 -17.6 -5.8 -11.1
  Jan 21, 2023 309   UMKC L 73-75 78%     6 - 13 5 - 4 -13.1 +0.1 -13.3
  Jan 27, 2023 276   North Dakota W 91-75 73%     7 - 13 6 - 4 +6.8 +14.5 -7.3
  Feb 02, 2023 294   @ South Dakota L 62-71 55%     7 - 14 6 - 5 -13.1 -15.6 +2.6
  Feb 04, 2023 181   @ South Dakota St. L 85-90 31%     7 - 15 6 - 6 -2.7 +19.8 -22.9
  Feb 09, 2023 318   Nebraska Omaha W 84-58 80%     8 - 15 7 - 6 +14.2 +3.0 +10.8
  Feb 11, 2023 306   Denver W 78-70 77%     9 - 15 8 - 6 -2.7 +2.5 -4.9
  Feb 16, 2023 309   @ UMKC W 69-58 59%     10 - 15 9 - 6 +5.8 -1.9 +8.1
  Feb 18, 2023 68   @ Oral Roberts L 66-74 10%     10 - 16 9 - 7 +3.3 -7.4 +11.1
  Feb 23, 2023 220   St. Thomas W 73-64 60%     11 - 16 10 - 7 +3.5 -6.6 +9.9
  Feb 25, 2023 265   Western Illinois W 71-69 71%     12 - 16 11 - 7 -6.7 +1.5 -7.9
  Mar 05, 2023 294   South Dakota W 70-68 66%     13 - 16 -5.1 -3.8 -1.2
  Mar 06, 2023 181   South Dakota St. W 89-79 42%     14 - 16 +9.3 +11.3 -2.5
  Mar 07, 2023 68   Oral Roberts L 58-92 15%     14 - 17 -25.7 -12.5 -13.6
Projected Record 14 - 17 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%