Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Illinois
Mid-American
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#248
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#244
Pace70.9#108
Improvement+2.6#15

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#262
First Shot-0.6#200
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#327
Layup/Dunks+2.0#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#236
Freethrows-1.1#269
Improvement+1.5#42

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#235
First Shot-0.5#189
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#320
Layups/Dunks-2.5#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#144
Freethrows-0.2#206
Improvement+1.0#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 30 - 72 - 14
Quad 410 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 43   @ Northwestern L 46-63 5%     0 - 1 -3.4 -12.6 +7.6
  Nov 17, 2022 143   @ Georgia Tech L 50-68 19%     0 - 2 -13.5 -21.4 +8.4
  Nov 22, 2022 81   Sam Houston St. L 54-88 13%     0 - 3 -26.8 -13.8 -11.9
  Nov 23, 2022 363   LIU Brooklyn W 86-61 92%     1 - 3 +4.4 +1.8 +1.7
  Nov 26, 2022 203   @ Northern Iowa L 76-83 28%     1 - 4 -5.7 -1.0 -4.3
  Nov 30, 2022 345   @ Eastern Illinois W 90-70 66%     2 - 4 +11.0 +13.6 -2.8
  Dec 02, 2022 305   @ Idaho L 47-84 50%     2 - 5 -41.7 -30.7 -10.7
  Dec 12, 2022 8   @ Gonzaga L 67-88 2%     2 - 6 -1.3 +2.4 -4.6
  Dec 17, 2022 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-90 7%     2 - 7 -15.1 -6.5 -5.9
  Dec 20, 2022 341   Albany L 78-83 82%     2 - 8 -19.4 -8.2 -10.9
  Dec 22, 2022 95   @ Indiana St. W 67-57 12%     3 - 8 +18.1 -4.1 +22.0
  Jan 03, 2023 109   @ Akron L 51-76 14%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -18.0 -17.3 -1.7
  Jan 07, 2023 212   @ Buffalo L 62-80 29%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -17.0 -8.3 -9.4
  Jan 10, 2023 329   Central Michigan W 73-54 78%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +6.2 -1.0 +7.6
  Jan 14, 2023 88   Toledo L 67-84 23%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -13.8 -12.5 -0.9
  Jan 17, 2023 270   @ Miami (OH) W 81-77 43%     5 - 11 2 - 3 +1.2 +3.7 -2.6
  Jan 21, 2023 310   @ Eastern Michigan W 88-67 53%     6 - 11 3 - 3 +15.7 +10.1 +5.5
  Jan 24, 2023 72   Kent St. W 86-76 18%     7 - 11 4 - 3 +14.9 +18.6 -3.6
  Jan 28, 2023 165   Ball St. L 69-87 43%     7 - 12 4 - 4 -20.9 -4.2 -17.6
  Jan 31, 2023 313   @ Western Michigan W 73-59 53%     8 - 12 5 - 4 +8.5 -2.0 +11.2
  Feb 04, 2023 281   @ Bowling Green W 86-78 45%     9 - 12 6 - 4 +4.6 +9.8 -5.1
  Feb 07, 2023 129   Ohio L 76-82 35%     9 - 13 6 - 5 -6.8 -1.7 -5.0
  Feb 11, 2023 313   Western Michigan W 81-53 74%     10 - 13 7 - 5 +16.6 +2.7 +15.0
  Feb 14, 2023 165   @ Ball St. L 77-87 23%     10 - 14 7 - 6 -7.0 +1.5 -8.2
  Feb 18, 2023 270   Miami (OH) L 65-66 OT 65%     10 - 15 7 - 7 -9.7 -18.0 +8.3
  Feb 21, 2023 129   @ Ohio L 68-77 18%     10 - 16 7 - 8 -3.9 -5.7 +1.9
  Feb 25, 2023 329   @ Central Michigan W 84-80 59%     11 - 16 8 - 8 -2.9 +3.3 -6.6
  Feb 28, 2023 212   Buffalo L 75-85 51%     11 - 17 8 - 9 -15.0 -1.6 -13.2
  Mar 03, 2023 310   Eastern Michigan W 85-66 74%     12 - 17 9 - 9 +7.7 +3.5 +4.0
  Mar 09, 2023 72   Kent St. L 57-76 12%     12 - 18 -11.1 -10.2 -0.8
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%