Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#203
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#216
Pace68.2#171
Improvement-0.7#245

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#204
First Shot+2.1#112
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#353
Layup/Dunks+0.2#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#125
Freethrows-0.5#208
Improvement+0.8#88

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#103
Layups/Dunks+1.9#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#341
Freethrows+1.4#70
Improvement-1.4#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 33 - 83 - 16
Quad 410 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 147   @ Richmond L 55-68 28%     0 - 1 -8.7 -10.6 +1.0
  Nov 21, 2022 94   San Francisco L 69-75 26%     0 - 2 -0.9 -4.3 +3.6
  Nov 22, 2022 113   Grand Canyon L 67-69 30%     0 - 3 +1.8 +1.3 +0.2
  Nov 26, 2022 248   Northern Illinois W 83-76 72%     1 - 3 -0.6 +1.5 -2.6
  Nov 30, 2022 87   @ Bradley L 53-68 15%     1 - 4 -5.7 -7.3 -0.1
  Dec 03, 2022 348   Evansville W 72-55 89%     2 - 4 1 - 0 +1.8 -0.3 +3.2
  Dec 06, 2022 88   Toledo L 75-83 32%     2 - 5 -4.8 -2.5 -2.3
  Dec 09, 2022 338   McNeese St. L 49-52 87%     2 - 6 -17.1 -27.2 +9.8
  Dec 12, 2022 148   South Florida L 69-72 50%     2 - 7 -4.7 -4.7 +0.0
  Dec 17, 2022 134   Towson W 83-66 36%     3 - 7 +19.0 +10.4 +8.6
  Dec 21, 2022 182   St. Bonaventure W 62-52 58%     4 - 7 +6.2 -4.2 +11.4
  Dec 28, 2022 151   Missouri St. L 67-79 51%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -13.8 -2.1 -12.5
  Dec 31, 2022 267   @ Illinois St. W 66-60 54%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +3.2 -12.0 +14.9
  Jan 04, 2023 280   @ Valparaiso W 69-67 56%     6 - 8 3 - 1 -1.4 -3.2 +1.9
  Jan 07, 2023 137   Southern Illinois W 69-57 48%     7 - 8 4 - 1 +10.9 +6.1 +6.0
  Jan 10, 2023 217   Murray St. W 75-67 64%     8 - 8 5 - 1 +2.6 -2.3 +4.9
  Jan 14, 2023 123   @ Belmont L 72-76 24%     8 - 9 5 - 2 +1.7 +4.4 -3.0
  Jan 18, 2023 267   Illinois St. W 65-63 75%     9 - 9 6 - 2 -6.7 -7.9 +1.3
  Jan 21, 2023 288   @ Illinois-Chicago W 78-72 57%     10 - 9 7 - 2 +2.4 +9.4 -6.6
  Jan 25, 2023 280   Valparaiso W 77-66 77%     11 - 9 8 - 2 +1.7 +1.3 +0.5
  Jan 28, 2023 95   @ Indiana St. L 71-79 18%     11 - 10 8 - 3 +0.1 -1.2 +1.5
  Feb 01, 2023 73   @ Drake L 81-88 2OT 12%     11 - 11 8 - 4 +3.8 +5.0 -0.4
  Feb 04, 2023 87   Bradley L 69-77 31%     11 - 12 8 - 5 -4.7 +4.2 -9.4
  Feb 08, 2023 348   @ Evansville L 59-71 76%     11 - 13 8 - 6 -21.3 -16.7 -4.2
  Feb 11, 2023 95   Indiana St. L 62-80 36%     11 - 14 8 - 7 -15.9 -9.9 -6.3
  Feb 15, 2023 73   Drake L 74-82 26%     11 - 15 8 - 8 -3.1 +6.6 -9.9
  Feb 18, 2023 151   @ Missouri St. W 69-66 29%     12 - 15 9 - 8 +7.1 +11.1 -3.5
  Feb 22, 2023 137   @ Southern Illinois L 63-86 26%     12 - 16 9 - 9 -18.2 +2.9 -23.5
  Feb 26, 2023 123   Belmont L 75-83 44%     12 - 17 9 - 10 -8.2 -2.4 -5.7
  Mar 02, 2023 267   Illinois St. W 75-62 65%     13 - 17 +7.3 -1.7 +8.8
  Mar 03, 2023 87   Bradley L 66-72 22%     13 - 18 +0.3 +0.6 -0.5
Projected Record 13 - 18 9 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 100.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%