Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.8#7
Expected Predictive Rating+19.2#3
Pace62.1#327
Improvement-1.8#321

Offense
Total Offense+9.9#7
First Shot+6.0#32
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#6
Layup/Dunks+3.4#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
Freethrows+3.7#6
Improvement-0.8#270

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#29
First Shot+5.3#41
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#46
Layups/Dunks+4.3#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#117
Freethrows+3.9#4
Improvement-1.0#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 5.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 43.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 95.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round94.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen65.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight40.7% n/a n/a
Final Four22.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.7% n/a n/a
National Champion6.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 35 - 3
Quad 1b4 - 19 - 4
Quad 210 - 119 - 5
Quad 35 - 024 - 5
Quad 45 - 029 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 232   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 84-53 97%     1 - 0 +24.5 +2.2 +20.3
  Nov 11, 2022 323   Austin Peay W 63-44 99%     2 - 0 +6.8 -1.5 +12.4
  Nov 15, 2022 11   Marquette W 75-70 66%     3 - 0 +17.5 +10.2 +7.6
  Nov 24, 2022 16   West Virginia W 80-68 62%     4 - 0 +25.7 +14.5 +11.5
  Nov 25, 2022 8   Gonzaga W 84-66 50%     5 - 0 +34.8 +18.5 +17.0
  Nov 27, 2022 19   Duke W 75-56 64%     6 - 0 +32.2 +15.3 +18.3
  Nov 30, 2022 179   @ Florida St. W 79-69 91%     7 - 0 +12.3 +4.6 +7.4
  Dec 04, 2022 183   Minnesota W 89-70 96%     8 - 0 1 - 0 +15.2 +17.6 -1.9
  Dec 07, 2022 93   Hofstra W 85-66 91%     9 - 0 +21.3 +16.9 +5.4
  Dec 10, 2022 89   @ Nebraska W 65-62 OT 77%     10 - 0 2 - 0 +12.0 +2.1 +10.0
  Dec 17, 2022 124   Davidson W 69-61 91%     11 - 0 +10.3 -1.7 +12.2
  Dec 21, 2022 337   New Orleans W 74-53 99%     12 - 0 +7.0 +11.6 +0.5
  Dec 29, 2022 357   Florida A&M W 82-49 99.5%    13 - 0 +15.5 +11.6 +6.9
  Jan 02, 2023 35   Rutgers L 64-65 79%     13 - 1 2 - 1 +7.4 +8.1 -0.9
  Jan 05, 2023 46   @ Ohio St. W 71-69 63%     14 - 1 3 - 1 +15.3 +13.7 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2023 40   @ Penn St. W 76-63 62%     15 - 1 4 - 1 +26.8 +17.1 +11.3
  Jan 13, 2023 89   Nebraska W 73-55 90%     16 - 1 5 - 1 +21.0 +14.1 +9.5
  Jan 16, 2023 31   @ Michigan St. W 64-63 57%     17 - 1 6 - 1 +15.9 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 19, 2023 183   @ Minnesota W 61-39 91%     18 - 1 7 - 1 +24.1 -4.0 +30.2
  Jan 22, 2023 25   Maryland W 58-55 75%     19 - 1 8 - 1 +12.7 +0.0 +13.2
  Jan 26, 2023 44   @ Michigan W 75-70 63%     20 - 1 9 - 1 +18.5 +14.3 +4.6
  Jan 29, 2023 31   Michigan St. W 77-61 77%     21 - 1 10 - 1 +24.9 +12.8 +13.0
  Feb 01, 2023 40   Penn St. W 80-60 80%     22 - 1 11 - 1 +27.8 +22.7 +8.8
  Feb 04, 2023 24   @ Indiana L 74-79 54%     22 - 2 11 - 2 +10.7 +14.3 -4.0
  Feb 09, 2023 34   Iowa W 87-73 78%     23 - 2 12 - 2 +22.6 +12.1 +10.3
  Feb 12, 2023 43   @ Northwestern L 58-64 62%     23 - 3 12 - 3 +7.6 -1.0 +8.2
  Feb 16, 2023 25   @ Maryland L 54-68 54%     23 - 4 12 - 4 +1.7 -0.3 -0.7
  Feb 19, 2023 46   Ohio St. W 82-55 81%     24 - 4 13 - 4 +34.4 +16.2 +20.2
  Feb 25, 2023 24   Indiana L 71-79 75%     24 - 5 13 - 5 +1.8 +3.7 -2.1
  Mar 02, 2023 61   @ Wisconsin W 63-61 68%     25 - 5 14 - 5 +13.8 +9.5 +4.7
  Mar 05, 2023 30   Illinois W 76-71 76%     26 - 5 15 - 5 +14.2 +13.7 +0.9
  Mar 10, 2023 35   Rutgers W 70-65 70%     27 - 5 +16.3 +18.0 -0.9
  Mar 11, 2023 46   Ohio St. W 80-66 73%     28 - 5 +24.3 +17.2 +8.5
  Mar 12, 2023 40   Penn St. W 67-65 72%     29 - 5 +12.8 +2.0 +10.9
Projected Record 29 - 5 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.6 43.7 52.1 4.2 0.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.6 43.7 52.1 4.2 0.0