Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#296
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#271
Pace59.9#348
Improvement+1.1#82

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#322
First Shot-8.7#354
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#9
Layup/Dunks-4.9#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#288
Freethrows-1.6#309
Improvement+0.8#87

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#229
First Shot-2.2#248
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#131
Layups/Dunks+0.8#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#106
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#88
Freethrows-6.0#363
Improvement+0.4#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Away) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 413 - 1013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 13, 2022 187   @ Quinnipiac L 62-71 19%    
  Nov 07, 2022 328   NJIT W 73-59 71%     1 - 0 +1.2 -2.0 +3.9
  Nov 12, 2022 58   @ Seton Hall L 44-80 5%     1 - 1 -23.9 -18.2 -6.7
  Nov 15, 2022 300   Bucknell W 82-71 62%     2 - 1 +0.6 +15.1 -13.0
  Nov 19, 2022 355   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 58-61 63%     2 - 2 -13.7 -15.1 +1.3
  Nov 27, 2022 320   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-63 68%     3 - 2 +2.1 -0.6 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2022 275   Mount St. Mary's L 58-73 58%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -24.1 -9.9 -16.1
  Dec 03, 2022 255   @ Fairfield L 55-67 31%     3 - 4 0 - 2 -14.1 -12.0 -3.4
  Dec 10, 2022 171   @ Saint Joseph's L 57-73 18%     3 - 5 -13.4 -13.1 -0.7
  Dec 13, 2022 362   @ Hartford W 58-57 81%     4 - 5 -15.3 -17.9 +2.7
  Dec 18, 2022 187   Quinnipiac W 63-56 38%     5 - 5 1 - 2 +3.1 -6.2 +9.9
  Dec 22, 2022 25   @ Maryland L 45-75 3%     5 - 6 -14.3 -13.8 -4.5
  Dec 30, 2022 304   Manhattan W 67-57 63%     6 - 6 2 - 2 -0.6 -10.5 +9.9
  Jan 01, 2023 76   @ Iona L 55-73 6%     6 - 7 2 - 3 -7.4 -2.9 -7.6
  Jan 06, 2023 205   @ Siena L 60-70 21%     6 - 8 2 - 4 -8.8 -6.5 -3.2
  Jan 08, 2023 249   Canisius L 60-67 OT 53%     6 - 9 2 - 5 -14.8 -8.6 -7.2
  Jan 13, 2023 187   @ Quinnipiac L 51-58 19%     6 - 10 2 - 6 -5.0 -15.1 +9.4
  Jan 15, 2023 255   Fairfield L 52-56 54%     6 - 11 2 - 7 -12.1 -12.7 -0.2
  Jan 20, 2023 283   @ Marist W 61-57 36%     7 - 11 3 - 7 +0.6 -5.6 +6.6
  Jan 22, 2023 247   Niagara L 57-59 52%     7 - 12 3 - 8 -9.6 -7.9 -2.1
  Jan 28, 2023 275   @ Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 35%     8 - 12 4 - 8 +7.9 +12.6 -3.0
  Feb 03, 2023 206   @ Rider L 61-82 22%     8 - 13 4 - 9 -19.9 -10.3 -10.5
  Feb 10, 2023 283   Marist W 67-56 59%     9 - 13 5 - 9 +1.6 -5.2 +7.4
  Feb 12, 2023 304   @ Manhattan L 52-68 40%     9 - 14 5 - 10 -20.6 -18.6 -3.0
  Feb 19, 2023 76   Iona L 53-73 14%     9 - 15 5 - 11 -15.3 -6.5 -12.9
  Feb 24, 2023 249   @ Canisius L 53-66 30%     9 - 16 5 - 12 -14.9 -12.2 -4.8
  Feb 26, 2023 247   @ Niagara W 66-65 30%     10 - 16 6 - 12 -0.6 +4.6 -5.0
  Mar 02, 2023 206   Rider L 60-73 41%     10 - 17 6 - 13 -17.8 -8.3 -11.4
  Mar 04, 2023 205   Siena W 73-72 OT 41%     11 - 17 7 - 13 -3.8 +8.9 -12.5
  Mar 07, 2023 255   Fairfield W 70-52 42%     12 - 17 +12.9 +4.9 +10.2
  Mar 08, 2023 206   Rider W 70-62 30%     13 - 17 +6.2 +4.2 +3.1
  Mar 10, 2023 283   Marist L 57-69 47%     13 - 18 -18.4 -12.3 -7.1
Projected Record 13 - 19 7 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 19.2 19.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 80.8 80.8 10th
11th 11th
Total 80.8 19.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 19.2% 19.2
7-13 80.8% 80.8
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 19.2%
Lose Out 80.8%