Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#280
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#283
Pace68.9#158
Improvement+1.0#87

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#300
First Shot-1.4#231
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#352
Layup/Dunks+0.6#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#296
Freethrows-1.0#261
Improvement+0.7#91

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#238
First Shot-1.3#216
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#256
Layups/Dunks-0.7#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#115
Freethrows-1.0#267
Improvement+0.3#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 30 - 81 - 16
Quad 49 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 88   @ Toledo L 70-85 8%     0 - 1 -5.9 -9.3 +4.4
  Nov 13, 2022 313   Western Michigan W 81-65 69%     1 - 1 +4.6 -4.3 +8.1
  Nov 16, 2022 307   @ Chicago St. L 74-87 45%     1 - 2 -18.0 -0.3 -18.2
  Nov 19, 2022 342   Incarnate Word W 68-64 78%     2 - 2 -10.5 -7.1 -3.2
  Nov 23, 2022 136   @ Samford L 49-79 15%     2 - 3 -25.1 -22.7 -2.9
  Nov 25, 2022 181   South Dakota St. L 50-61 29%     2 - 4 -11.7 -18.9 +6.3
  Nov 27, 2022 98   James Madison W 81-79 OT 15%     3 - 4 +6.8 +3.3 +3.2
  Dec 01, 2022 123   @ Belmont L 64-76 13%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -6.3 -5.6 -1.2
  Dec 04, 2022 217   Murray St. L 70-77 OT 46%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -12.4 -9.3 -2.9
  Dec 10, 2022 106   @ Mississippi L 61-98 11%     3 - 7 -29.7 -12.4 -14.4
  Dec 18, 2022 334   Elon W 71-66 76%     4 - 7 -8.7 -10.2 +1.4
  Dec 21, 2022 333   Stonehill W 77-67 76%     5 - 7 -3.6 -7.0 +2.6
  Dec 29, 2022 73   @ Drake L 63-68 6%     5 - 8 0 - 3 +5.8 -0.7 +6.3
  Jan 01, 2023 95   Indiana St. L 50-68 21%     5 - 9 0 - 4 -15.9 -20.7 +3.9
  Jan 04, 2023 203   Northern Iowa L 67-69 44%     5 - 10 0 - 5 -6.7 -7.0 +0.3
  Jan 07, 2023 87   @ Bradley L 66-88 8%     5 - 11 0 - 6 -12.7 +5.4 -20.1
  Jan 10, 2023 123   Belmont L 59-74 28%     5 - 12 0 - 7 -15.2 -16.0 +0.7
  Jan 14, 2023 348   @ Evansville W 76-69 61%     6 - 12 1 - 7 -2.3 +1.7 -4.0
  Jan 17, 2023 288   Illinois-Chicago W 76-66 62%     7 - 12 2 - 7 +0.5 +1.3 -0.6
  Jan 21, 2023 267   @ Illinois St. W 71-51 36%     8 - 12 3 - 7 +17.2 +4.0 +15.2
  Jan 25, 2023 203   @ Northern Iowa L 66-77 23%     8 - 13 3 - 8 -9.7 -5.6 -4.2
  Jan 28, 2023 348   Evansville W 81-69 80%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -3.2 +0.9 -4.6
  Feb 01, 2023 151   @ Missouri St. L 67-76 OT 16%     9 - 14 4 - 9 -4.9 -3.1 -1.8
  Feb 04, 2023 73   Drake L 82-85 2OT 15%     9 - 15 4 - 10 +1.9 +0.1 +2.3
  Feb 08, 2023 95   @ Indiana St. L 62-84 10%     9 - 16 4 - 11 -13.9 -4.4 -10.8
  Feb 11, 2023 267   Illinois St. W 81-76 59%     10 - 16 5 - 11 -3.7 +10.2 -13.5
  Feb 14, 2023 137   Southern Illinois L 62-66 31%     10 - 17 5 - 12 -5.1 -3.6 -1.7
  Feb 19, 2023 288   @ Illinois-Chicago L 73-74 39%     10 - 18 5 - 13 -4.6 +3.1 -7.8
  Feb 22, 2023 87   Bradley L 66-76 18%     10 - 19 5 - 14 -6.7 -0.9 -6.1
  Feb 26, 2023 217   @ Murray St. L 76-77 OT 25%     10 - 20 5 - 15 -0.4 -6.2 +5.9
  Mar 02, 2023 217   Murray St. L 50-78 35%     10 - 21 -30.4 -27.9 -1.3
Projected Record 10 - 21 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%