Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#49
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#57
Pace77.1#18
Improvement-1.8#265

Offense
Total Offense+9.7#13
First Shot+8.6#14
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#108
Layup/Dunks+5.4#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#237
Freethrows+1.7#67
Improvement-0.6#211

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#146
First Shot+0.9#149
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#198
Layups/Dunks-4.4#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#64
Freethrows+0.8#135
Improvement-1.2#238
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.2% n/a n/a
First Round2.3% n/a n/a
Second Round1.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 13 - 8
Quad 24 - 47 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 232   North Dakota W 110-68 93%     1 - 0 +35.9 +17.4 +12.7
  Nov 10, 2023 323   Alabama St. W 98-67 97%     2 - 0 +18.4 +17.0 -0.7
  Nov 14, 2023 11   @ Creighton L 84-92 21%     2 - 1 +11.0 +13.5 -1.9
  Nov 17, 2023 133   Arkansas St. W 88-74 84%     3 - 1 +13.7 +3.0 +9.4
  Nov 23, 2023 37   Oklahoma L 67-79 46%     3 - 2 -0.5 -0.8 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2023 58   Seton Hall W 85-72 54%     4 - 2 +22.4 +15.8 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2023 240   North Florida W 103-78 93%     5 - 2 +18.4 +13.4 +2.4
  Dec 04, 2023 4   @ Purdue L 68-87 13%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +3.8 +9.0 -6.7
  Dec 07, 2023 7   @ Iowa St. L 65-90 17%     5 - 4 -4.2 +3.1 -6.0
  Dec 10, 2023 117   Michigan L 80-90 82%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -9.3 +1.4 -10.1
  Dec 16, 2023 345   Florida A&M W 88-52 98%     6 - 5 +22.6 +2.1 +16.9
  Dec 20, 2023 268   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 103-81 95%     7 - 5 +13.8 +14.4 -2.7
  Dec 29, 2023 306   Northern Illinois W 103-74 96%     8 - 5 +18.2 +6.2 +7.1
  Jan 02, 2024 19   @ Wisconsin L 72-83 28%     8 - 6 0 - 3 +5.6 +0.8 +5.5
  Jan 06, 2024 96   Rutgers W 86-77 75%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +12.3 +12.2 -0.9
  Jan 12, 2024 27   Nebraska W 94-76 50%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +28.4 +25.4 +2.9
  Jan 15, 2024 69   @ Minnesota W 86-77 51%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +19.3 +10.9 +7.9
  Jan 20, 2024 4   Purdue L 70-84 24%     11 - 7 3 - 4 +3.7 +3.8 -0.2
  Jan 24, 2024 60   Maryland L 67-69 64%     11 - 8 3 - 5 +4.7 +4.5 +0.0
  Jan 27, 2024 117   @ Michigan W 88-78 67%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +15.9 +17.5 -1.6
  Jan 30, 2024 82   @ Indiana L 68-74 54%     12 - 9 4 - 6 +3.4 +5.1 -2.1
  Feb 02, 2024 38   Ohio St. W 79-77 56%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +10.8 +16.0 -5.0
  Feb 08, 2024 68   @ Penn St. L 79-89 50%     13 - 10 5 - 7 +0.4 +10.1 -9.5
  Feb 11, 2024 69   Minnesota W 90-85 70%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +10.1 +16.0 -6.0
  Feb 14, 2024 60   @ Maryland L 66-78 44%     14 - 11 6 - 8 -0.1 +6.9 -7.8
  Feb 17, 2024 19   Wisconsin W 88-86 OT 46%     15 - 11 7 - 8 +13.4 +14.1 -0.9
  Feb 20, 2024 18   @ Michigan St. W 78-71 26%     16 - 11 8 - 8 +24.1 +21.8 +2.8
  Feb 24, 2024 10   @ Illinois L 85-95 19%     16 - 12 8 - 9 +9.5 +11.5 -1.4
  Feb 27, 2024 68   Penn St. W 90-81 69%     17 - 12 9 - 9 +14.2 +9.8 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2024 40   @ Northwestern W 87-80 37%     18 - 12 10 - 9 +20.9 +28.5 -6.8
  Mar 10, 2024 10   Illinois L 61-73 35%     18 - 13 10 - 10 +2.3 -13.6 +16.6
  Mar 14, 2024 38   Ohio St. L 78-90 46%     18 - 14 -0.6 +7.0 -7.2
Projected Record 18 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 5.2% 5.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2 4.8 0.2 94.8 5.2%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.2% 0.0% 5.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2 4.8 0.2 94.8 5.2%