Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#82
Expected Predictive Rating+10.8#53
Pace70.4#114
Improvement+1.7#114

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#105
First Shot+3.6#80
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#248
Layup/Dunks+7.8#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#257
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#337
Freethrows+3.1#24
Improvement+0.3#163

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#60
First Shot+5.1#32
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#264
Layups/Dunks+6.2#14
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#317
Freethrows+2.0#47
Improvement+1.3#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 23 - 9
Quad 25 - 48 - 13
Quad 35 - 113 - 14
Quad 46 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 69-63 88%     1 - 0 +0.0 -0.1 +0.7
  Nov 12, 2023 336   Army W 72-64 97%     2 - 0 -6.5 -0.2 -5.9
  Nov 16, 2023 156   Wright St. W 89-80 80%     3 - 0 +6.8 +2.7 +3.5
  Nov 19, 2023 1   Connecticut L 57-77 8%     3 - 1 +2.7 -4.5 +6.2
  Nov 20, 2023 179   Louisville W 74-66 77%     4 - 1 +7.1 -2.6 +9.3
  Nov 26, 2023 235   Harvard W 89-76 89%     5 - 1 +6.7 +11.7 -5.4
  Dec 01, 2023 60   Maryland W 65-53 51%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +18.7 +2.7 +16.7
  Dec 05, 2023 117   @ Michigan W 78-75 54%     7 - 1 2 - 0 +8.9 +4.6 +4.2
  Dec 09, 2023 3   Auburn L 76-104 10%     7 - 2 -7.0 +9.2 -14.6
  Dec 16, 2023 20   Kansas L 71-75 34%     7 - 3 +7.1 +1.7 +5.6
  Dec 19, 2023 128   Morehead St. W 69-68 75%     8 - 3 +1.0 -1.3 +2.3
  Dec 21, 2023 247   North Alabama W 83-66 89%     9 - 3 +10.2 +8.2 +2.7
  Dec 29, 2023 264   Kennesaw St. W 100-87 91%     10 - 3 +5.0 +7.4 -4.2
  Jan 03, 2024 27   @ Nebraska L 70-86 20%     10 - 4 2 - 1 -0.4 +4.3 -4.7
  Jan 06, 2024 38   Ohio St. W 71-65 42%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +14.8 +8.3 +7.1
  Jan 09, 2024 96   @ Rutgers L 57-66 43%     11 - 5 3 - 2 -0.5 -7.8 +7.9
  Jan 12, 2024 69   Minnesota W 74-62 57%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +17.1 +0.3 +16.6
  Jan 16, 2024 4   Purdue L 66-87 16%     12 - 6 4 - 3 -3.3 -1.9 -1.1
  Jan 19, 2024 19   @ Wisconsin L 79-91 18%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +4.6 +18.5 -14.8
  Jan 27, 2024 10   @ Illinois L 62-70 12%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +11.5 -4.9 +16.2
  Jan 30, 2024 49   Iowa W 74-68 46%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +13.8 +5.5 +8.8
  Feb 03, 2024 68   Penn St. L 71-85 56%     13 - 9 5 - 6 -8.8 +10.2 -20.9
  Feb 06, 2024 38   @ Ohio St. W 76-73 25%     14 - 9 6 - 6 +17.0 +8.8 +8.2
  Feb 10, 2024 4   @ Purdue L 59-79 8%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +2.8 -4.4 +7.0
  Feb 18, 2024 40   Northwestern L 72-76 43%     14 - 11 6 - 8 +4.7 +4.4 +0.2
  Feb 21, 2024 27   Nebraska L 70-85 36%     14 - 12 6 - 9 -4.6 +0.9 -5.3
  Feb 24, 2024 68   @ Penn St. L 74-83 36%     14 - 13 6 - 10 +1.4 +6.4 -5.0
  Feb 27, 2024 19   Wisconsin W 74-70 33%     15 - 13 7 - 10 +15.4 +13.2 +2.7
  Mar 03, 2024 60   @ Maryland W 83-78 31%     16 - 13 8 - 10 +16.9 +18.6 -1.8
  Mar 06, 2024 69   @ Minnesota W 70-58 37%     17 - 13 9 - 10 +22.3 +1.6 +21.0
  Mar 10, 2024 18   Michigan St. W 65-64 31%     18 - 13 10 - 10 +12.9 +3.4 +9.6
  Mar 14, 2024 68   Penn St. W 61-59 46%     19 - 13 +9.8 -4.6 +14.5
  Mar 15, 2024 27   Nebraska L 66-93 28%     19 - 14 -14.0 -5.5 -6.7
Projected Record 19 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 0.6% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 99.4 0.6%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 99.4 0.6%