Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#240
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#245
Pace68.2#182
Improvement+1.6#115

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#160
First Shot+2.4#112
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#286
Layup/Dunks-8.2#361
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+14.7#1
Freethrows-2.5#330
Improvement+1.3#112

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#319
First Shot-6.4#352
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#50
Layups/Dunks-3.4#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#71
Freethrows-2.9#333
Improvement+0.3#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 413 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 316   @ Charleston Southern W 81-70 59%     1 - 0 +4.6 +10.0 -5.1
  Nov 13, 2023 304   @ South Carolina St. L 77-87 55%     1 - 1 -15.4 -4.1 -10.4
  Nov 16, 2023 273   Presbyterian L 69-81 67%     1 - 2 -20.4 -12.5 -7.2
  Nov 17, 2023 325   Northwestern St. W 80-74 80%     2 - 2 -7.0 +1.5 -8.5
  Nov 18, 2023 243   Maine W 67-58 60%     3 - 2 +2.3 +7.3 -3.3
  Nov 24, 2023 87   @ LSU L 63-75 11%     3 - 3 -2.8 -5.2 +2.5
  Nov 29, 2023 49   @ Iowa L 78-103 7%     3 - 4 -12.0 -1.0 -8.3
  Dec 02, 2023 124   High Point L 79-86 34%     3 - 5 -6.8 +1.0 -7.8
  Dec 09, 2023 259   Georgia Southern W 64-56 64%     4 - 5 +0.3 -14.2 +14.6
  Dec 19, 2023 79   @ Florida St. L 75-91 11%     4 - 6 -6.4 +5.7 -11.8
  Dec 22, 2023 84   @ Georgia L 60-78 11%     4 - 7 -8.7 -2.1 -8.1
  Dec 29, 2023 94   @ Miami (FL) L 55-95 12%     4 - 8 -31.3 -20.6 -6.0
  Jan 04, 2024 209   @ Stetson L 74-75 35%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -1.0 +4.6 -5.7
  Jan 06, 2024 228   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-58 38%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +19.2 +21.3 +2.0
  Jan 12, 2024 270   Jacksonville W 82-74 66%     6 - 9 2 - 1 -0.2 +13.2 -12.7
  Jan 18, 2024 264   Kennesaw St. W 84-75 65%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +1.0 +2.3 -1.5
  Jan 20, 2024 258   Queens W 91-75 64%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +8.4 +12.3 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2024 312   @ Bellarmine W 71-63 58%     9 - 9 5 - 1 +2.0 +1.1 +1.6
  Jan 27, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-89 34%     9 - 10 5 - 2 -12.9 -0.4 -12.2
  Jan 31, 2024 168   Lipscomb W 85-76 45%     10 - 10 6 - 2 +6.2 +8.4 -2.0
  Feb 03, 2024 222   @ Austin Peay L 91-95 2OT 37%     10 - 11 6 - 3 -4.5 +12.3 -16.7
  Feb 08, 2024 247   North Alabama L 74-79 61%     10 - 12 6 - 4 -11.8 -2.7 -9.2
  Feb 10, 2024 337   Central Arkansas L 77-79 84%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -16.7 -3.4 -13.2
  Feb 14, 2024 258   @ Queens W 93-79 44%     11 - 13 7 - 5 +11.6 +12.8 -2.0
  Feb 16, 2024 264   @ Kennesaw St. W 82-81 45%     12 - 13 8 - 5 -1.8 +0.2 -2.0
  Feb 23, 2024 270   @ Jacksonville L 50-62 46%     12 - 14 8 - 6 -15.0 -22.9 +7.7
  Feb 28, 2024 228   Florida Gulf Coast L 60-79 58%     12 - 15 8 - 7 -25.0 -9.4 -17.5
  Mar 01, 2024 209   Stetson W 78-59 54%     13 - 15 9 - 7 +13.8 +6.5 +9.5
  Mar 05, 2024 222   @ Austin Peay L 98-101 OT 37%     13 - 16 -3.5 +13.3 -16.5
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%