Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#230
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#200
Pace69.1#153
Improvement+0.4#161

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#262
First Shot-3.0#266
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks-2.6#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#280
Freethrows+0.3#152
Improvement-2.5#310

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#181
First Shot+1.3#132
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#304
Layups/Dunks+2.4#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#309
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement+2.9#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 22 - 3
Quad 35 - 67 - 9
Quad 47 - 714 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 123   @ Akron L 54-72 20%     0 - 1 -12.5 -13.8 +0.8
  Nov 19, 2023 169   Utah Valley L 65-67 38%     0 - 2 -2.2 -3.1 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2023 225   Cal St. Fullerton L 67-74 49%     0 - 3 -10.3 +1.7 -12.7
  Nov 22, 2023 139   South Dakota St. L 54-65 40%     0 - 4 -11.9 -14.4 +1.5
  Nov 25, 2023 219   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90-84 38%     1 - 4 +5.6 +15.4 -9.7
  Dec 01, 2023 99   @ UAB W 85-82 15%     2 - 4 +10.8 +13.6 -2.8
  Dec 09, 2023 325   Northwestern St. W 83-74 82%     3 - 4 -4.0 +9.1 -12.6
  Dec 13, 2023 75   @ McNeese St. L 48-67 11%     3 - 5 -9.1 -15.1 +3.9
  Dec 18, 2023 226   @ Lamar W 82-79 39%     4 - 5 +2.3 +1.6 +0.4
  Dec 23, 2023 83   Mississippi L 72-89 17%     4 - 6 -10.2 +3.1 -13.9
  Dec 30, 2023 259   @ Georgia Southern L 67-88 46%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -23.5 -14.8 -6.9
  Jan 04, 2024 216   Georgia St. W 79-73 58%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +0.5 -5.9 +5.8
  Jan 06, 2024 64   James Madison W 81-71 18%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +16.2 +8.8 +7.1
  Jan 11, 2024 291   @ Louisiana Monroe W 71-58 54%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +8.6 -5.0 +13.3
  Jan 13, 2024 131   @ Troy L 56-82 21%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -20.9 -12.0 -9.7
  Jan 17, 2024 133   Arkansas St. W 69-66 38%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +2.7 -9.5 +12.1
  Jan 20, 2024 131   Troy W 64-63 37%     9 - 8 5 - 2 +0.9 -2.5 +3.5
  Jan 24, 2024 307   @ Coastal Carolina W 79-63 58%     10 - 8 6 - 2 +10.3 +10.7 +1.1
  Jan 27, 2024 236   @ Marshall L 67-83 41%     10 - 9 6 - 3 -17.1 +0.7 -19.2
  Jan 31, 2024 133   @ Arkansas St. L 71-78 21%     10 - 10 6 - 4 -2.1 +1.3 -3.9
  Feb 03, 2024 187   @ Texas St. L 55-60 32%     10 - 11 6 - 5 -3.5 -10.3 +6.5
  Feb 07, 2024 289   Old Dominion W 78-73 71%     11 - 11 7 - 5 -4.3 -3.5 -1.2
  Feb 10, 2024 301   Western Michigan W 86-54 74%     12 - 11 +21.7 +13.2 +10.3
  Feb 15, 2024 291   Louisiana Monroe L 59-68 72%     12 - 12 7 - 6 -18.6 -13.0 -6.5
  Feb 17, 2024 187   Texas St. W 78-74 51%     13 - 12 8 - 6 +0.3 +8.9 -8.5
  Feb 22, 2024 220   South Alabama L 64-83 58%     13 - 13 8 - 7 -24.6 -18.3 -4.4
  Feb 24, 2024 153   Louisiana W 82-71 44%     14 - 13 9 - 7 +9.1 +8.0 +1.0
  Feb 28, 2024 220   @ South Alabama L 70-73 38%     14 - 14 9 - 8 -3.4 -5.2 +1.9
  Mar 01, 2024 153   @ Louisiana L 61-77 26%     14 - 15 9 - 9 -12.7 -12.9 +1.1
  Mar 07, 2024 187   Texas St. L 59-75 41%     14 - 16 -17.1 -10.5 -6.9
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%