Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah
Pac-12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#47
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#65
Pace72.8#67
Improvement-5.8#348

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#55
First Shot+5.5#42
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#190
Layup/Dunks+5.8#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#75
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-4.9#353

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#36
First Shot+3.2#74
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#40
Layups/Dunks+4.2#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#327
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#298
Freethrows+4.2#6
Improvement-0.8#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.5% n/a n/a
First Round5.1% n/a n/a
Second Round2.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 54 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 36 - 214 - 14
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 152   Eastern Washington W 101-66 87%     1 - 0 +33.3 +11.9 +17.4
  Nov 10, 2023 202   UC Riverside W 82-53 92%     2 - 0 +24.2 +6.1 +18.0
  Nov 16, 2023 32   Wake Forest W 77-70 43%     3 - 0 +19.4 +12.7 +7.0
  Nov 17, 2023 2   Houston L 66-76 17%     3 - 1 +11.0 +6.7 +4.1
  Nov 19, 2023 25   St. John's L 82-91 41%     3 - 2 +4.1 +6.9 -2.1
  Nov 27, 2023 21   @ St. Mary's W 78-71 30%     4 - 2 +23.1 +16.0 +7.2
  Nov 30, 2023 159   Hawaii W 79-66 84%     5 - 2 +13.3 +11.8 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2023 246   Southern Utah W 88-86 94%     6 - 2 -4.8 +5.8 -10.7
  Dec 09, 2023 17   BYU W 73-69 45%     7 - 2 +16.0 +4.1 +11.9
  Dec 16, 2023 169   Utah Valley W 76-62 89%     8 - 2 +11.2 +4.4 +6.5
  Dec 20, 2023 312   Bellarmine W 85-43 97%     9 - 2 +30.8 +1.8 +26.8
  Dec 29, 2023 39   Washington St. W 80-58 58%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +30.8 +16.0 +15.8
  Dec 31, 2023 65   Washington W 95-90 67%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +11.2 +9.1 +1.3
  Jan 04, 2024 118   @ Arizona St. L 70-82 68%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -6.2 -0.8 -4.8
  Jan 06, 2024 5   @ Arizona L 73-92 14%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +3.1 +3.4 +1.4
  Jan 11, 2024 93   UCLA W 90-44 75%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +49.6 +21.9 +28.3
  Jan 14, 2024 98   @ Stanford L 73-79 60%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +2.0 +5.1 -3.2
  Jan 18, 2024 137   Oregon St. W 74-47 86%     13 - 5 4 - 3 +26.3 +10.0 +19.7
  Jan 21, 2024 54   Oregon W 80-77 64%     14 - 5 5 - 3 +10.1 +10.6 -0.4
  Jan 24, 2024 39   @ Washington St. L 57-79 38%     14 - 6 5 - 4 -8.0 -2.1 -8.3
  Jan 27, 2024 65   @ Washington L 73-98 47%     14 - 7 5 - 5 -13.6 -0.6 -11.4
  Feb 03, 2024 29   Colorado W 73-68 52%     15 - 7 6 - 5 +15.2 -0.4 +15.3
  Feb 08, 2024 5   Arizona L 99-105 3OT 27%     15 - 8 6 - 6 +10.9 +10.7 +1.6
  Feb 10, 2024 118   Arizona St. L 77-85 83%     15 - 9 6 - 7 -7.4 +1.8 -8.6
  Feb 15, 2024 76   @ USC L 64-68 53%     15 - 10 6 - 8 +5.8 -4.6 +10.5
  Feb 18, 2024 93   @ UCLA W 70-69 57%     16 - 10 7 - 8 +9.8 +10.1 -0.3
  Feb 24, 2024 29   @ Colorado L 65-89 32%     16 - 11 7 - 9 -8.6 +1.7 -11.6
  Feb 29, 2024 98   Stanford W 90-68 77%     17 - 11 8 - 9 +24.8 +19.5 +5.7
  Mar 02, 2024 113   California W 88-59 82%     18 - 11 9 - 9 +30.0 +15.2 +14.7
  Mar 07, 2024 137   @ Oregon St. L 85-92 72%     18 - 12 9 - 10 -2.5 +6.1 -7.9
  Mar 09, 2024 54   @ Oregon L 65-66 44%     18 - 13 9 - 11 +11.3 -2.0 +13.3
  Mar 13, 2024 118   Arizona St. W 90-57 76%     19 - 13 +36.2 +14.2 +19.4
  Mar 14, 2024 29   Colorado L 58-72 42%     19 - 14 -1.2 -4.6 +2.1
Projected Record 19 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 100.0% 10.6% 10.6% 10.9 0.9 9.6 0.2 89.4 10.6%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.6% 0.0% 10.6% 10.9 0.9 9.6 0.2 89.4 10.6%