Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#61
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#70
Pace68.0#187
Improvement-1.1#239

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#31
First Shot+7.8#21
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#230
Layup/Dunks+4.9#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#142
Freethrows+4.6#4
Improvement+2.2#65

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#121
First Shot+1.0#143
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#94
Layups/Dunks-0.7#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#115
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement-3.4#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.6% n/a n/a
First Round0.8% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 43 - 7
Quad 23 - 66 - 13
Quad 36 - 112 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 360   Coppin St. W 100-55 99%     1 - 0 +25.1 +17.2 +5.6
  Nov 10, 2023 51   South Carolina L 77-79 46%     1 - 1 +8.2 +20.0 -12.1
  Nov 15, 2023 309   Campbell W 60-44 96%     2 - 1 +5.1 -11.2 +18.4
  Nov 19, 2023 199   Wofford W 98-76 90%     3 - 1 +17.3 +17.2 -0.8
  Nov 23, 2023 45   Boise St. W 82-75 43%     4 - 1 +17.8 +11.8 +5.7
  Nov 24, 2023 7   Iowa St. W 71-62 19%     5 - 1 +27.2 +14.9 +12.8
  Nov 26, 2023 43   Florida Atlantic L 50-84 42%     5 - 2 -22.8 -21.8 -0.2
  Nov 29, 2023 3   @ Auburn L 57-74 9%     5 - 3 +6.6 -4.0 +10.5
  Dec 03, 2023 179   Louisville W 75-68 88%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +3.5 -0.1 +3.5
  Dec 09, 2023 299   Valparaiso W 71-50 95%     7 - 3 +10.7 -0.5 +13.2
  Dec 16, 2023 109   Vermont W 73-51 77%     8 - 3 +23.4 +7.7 +17.2
  Dec 21, 2023 287   American W 77-55 95%     9 - 3 +12.8 +12.6 +4.3
  Dec 30, 2023 32   @ Wake Forest L 63-86 28%     9 - 4 1 - 1 -8.0 -7.3 +0.5
  Jan 06, 2024 79   @ Florida St. L 74-77 48%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +6.6 +4.4 +2.2
  Jan 10, 2024 36   Clemson W 87-72 50%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +24.1 +21.3 +3.5
  Jan 13, 2024 94   Miami (FL) L 71-75 70%     10 - 6 2 - 3 -0.5 -0.4 -0.1
  Jan 17, 2024 66   @ Virginia L 57-65 42%     10 - 7 2 - 4 +3.0 -1.5 +3.9
  Jan 20, 2024 56   @ North Carolina St. W 84-78 38%     11 - 7 3 - 4 +18.2 +8.1 +9.5
  Jan 23, 2024 74   Boston College W 76-71 66%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +9.7 +8.6 +1.4
  Jan 27, 2024 115   Georgia Tech W 91-67 78%     13 - 7 5 - 4 +24.7 +25.1 +1.6
  Jan 29, 2024 9   Duke L 67-77 30%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +4.5 +5.4 -1.8
  Feb 03, 2024 94   @ Miami (FL) L 74-82 51%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +0.7 +6.9 -6.4
  Feb 10, 2024 110   @ Notre Dame L 66-74 60%     13 - 10 5 - 7 -1.5 +5.5 -7.6
  Feb 13, 2024 79   Florida St. W 83-75 67%     14 - 10 6 - 7 +12.4 +16.9 -4.1
  Feb 17, 2024 8   @ North Carolina L 81-96 15%     14 - 11 6 - 8 +5.2 +14.3 -8.2
  Feb 19, 2024 66   Virginia W 75-41 62%     15 - 11 7 - 8 +39.8 +19.9 +24.5
  Feb 24, 2024 33   @ Pittsburgh L 64-79 30%     15 - 12 7 - 9 -0.6 -0.7 -0.3
  Feb 27, 2024 85   @ Syracuse L 71-84 49%     15 - 13 7 - 10 -3.7 +5.7 -10.0
  Mar 02, 2024 32   Wake Forest W 87-76 47%     16 - 13 8 - 10 +20.8 +20.0 +1.1
  Mar 05, 2024 179   @ Louisville W 80-64 76%     17 - 13 9 - 10 +17.7 +11.8 +6.7
  Mar 09, 2024 110   Notre Dame W 82-76 77%     18 - 13 10 - 10 +7.3 +16.2 -8.7
  Mar 13, 2024 79   Florida St. L 76-86 58%     18 - 14 -3.0 +5.9 -8.8
Projected Record 18 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 1.6% 1.6% 11.0 0.0 1.5 0.1 98.4 1.6%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.6% 0.0% 1.6% 11.0 0.0 1.5 0.1 98.4 1.6%