Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#179
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#221
Pace72.9#64
Improvement+0.3#167

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#184
First Shot-2.7#256
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#37
Layup/Dunks-3.3#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#328
Freethrows+3.8#12
Improvement-0.3#198

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#198
First Shot-0.2#178
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#242
Layups/Dunks-2.4#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#87
Freethrows-0.1#197
Improvement+0.6#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 60 - 10
Quad 21 - 81 - 18
Quad 32 - 53 - 23
Quad 45 - 18 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 268   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 94-93 76%     1 - 0 -7.2 +4.1 -11.4
  Nov 10, 2023 147   Chattanooga L 71-81 52%     1 - 1 -11.4 -9.3 -1.4
  Nov 15, 2023 360   Coppin St. W 61-41 95%     2 - 1 +0.1 -11.1 +13.0
  Nov 19, 2023 23   Texas L 80-81 10%     2 - 2 +12.2 +16.5 -4.4
  Nov 20, 2023 82   Indiana L 66-74 23%     2 - 3 -1.2 -5.3 +4.4
  Nov 26, 2023 280   New Mexico St. W 90-84 OT 77%     3 - 3 -2.6 +6.3 -9.4
  Nov 29, 2023 312   Bellarmine W 73-68 83%     4 - 3 -6.2 -7.5 +1.2
  Dec 03, 2023 61   @ Virginia Tech L 68-75 12%     4 - 4 0 - 1 +4.6 -1.8 +6.4
  Dec 09, 2023 294   @ DePaul L 68-75 64%     4 - 5 -11.6 -9.5 -1.9
  Dec 13, 2023 133   Arkansas St. L 63-75 48%     4 - 6 -12.3 -13.4 +1.0
  Dec 17, 2023 196   Pepperdine W 85-63 64%     5 - 6 +17.4 +6.5 +10.4
  Dec 21, 2023 16   Kentucky L 76-95 11%     5 - 7 -6.8 -1.7 -3.5
  Jan 03, 2024 66   @ Virginia L 53-77 14%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -13.0 +3.1 -21.9
  Jan 06, 2024 33   Pittsburgh L 70-83 17%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -3.8 +4.5 -9.0
  Jan 10, 2024 94   @ Miami (FL) W 80-71 18%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +17.7 +6.2 +10.9
  Jan 13, 2024 56   North Carolina St. L 83-89 23%     6 - 10 1 - 4 +1.0 +8.6 -7.4
  Jan 17, 2024 8   @ North Carolina L 70-86 4%     6 - 11 1 - 5 +4.2 +8.1 -4.0
  Jan 20, 2024 32   @ Wake Forest L 65-90 8%     6 - 12 1 - 6 -10.0 -1.1 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2024 9   Duke L 69-83 8%     6 - 13 1 - 7 +0.5 +4.5 -4.7
  Jan 27, 2024 66   Virginia L 52-69 26%     6 - 14 1 - 8 -11.2 -8.4 -4.4
  Jan 30, 2024 36   @ Clemson L 64-70 8%     6 - 15 1 - 9 +8.3 -4.1 +12.6
  Feb 03, 2024 79   Florida St. W 101-92 30%     7 - 15 2 - 9 +13.4 +11.7 +0.0
  Feb 07, 2024 85   @ Syracuse L 92-94 17%     7 - 16 2 - 10 +7.3 +17.5 -10.1
  Feb 10, 2024 115   Georgia Tech W 79-67 44%     8 - 16 3 - 10 +12.7 +3.3 +9.0
  Feb 13, 2024 74   @ Boston College L 77-89 16%     8 - 17 3 - 11 -2.1 +5.9 -7.6
  Feb 17, 2024 33   @ Pittsburgh L 59-86 8%     8 - 18 3 - 12 -12.6 -2.4 -12.7
  Feb 21, 2024 110   Notre Dame L 50-72 41%     8 - 19 3 - 13 -20.7 -15.7 -6.2
  Feb 28, 2024 9   @ Duke L 59-84 4%     8 - 20 3 - 14 -5.3 -2.3 -4.6
  Mar 02, 2024 85   Syracuse L 76-82 31%     8 - 21 3 - 15 -1.9 -1.5 +0.1
  Mar 05, 2024 61   Virginia Tech L 64-80 24%     8 - 22 3 - 16 -9.6 -4.9 -5.4
  Mar 09, 2024 74   Boston College L 61-67 29%     8 - 23 3 - 17 -1.3 -10.9 +9.6
  Mar 12, 2024 56   North Carolina St. L 85-94 16%     8 - 24 +0.6 +13.4 -12.6
Projected Record 8 - 24 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17 100.0% 100.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%